Leafs 2019-20 what I think will happen

Équipe: 2019-20 Maple Leafs de Toronto

Date de création initiale: 28 déc. 2018

Publié: 28 déc. 2018

Mode - plafond salarial: Basique

There are going to be no major trades done at the 2019 trade deadline or in the summer 2019. The team is going to be improved internally through the development of prospects. The leafs are going to follow the mindset of Detroit's management over the last 25+ years that saw them make the playoffs for 25 straight years and win 4 cups.

With that said Marleau is not going anywhere. He is a great mentor for the kids and can still play albeit on the third or fourth line next year.
Hainsey is going to be resigned to a 1 year deal and if he ends up as a scratch he is still valuable as a mentor to the kids on defense kids.

Matthews and Marner get signed for a combined 20 million per for 6 years at which time Tavares contract is up and is 11 million can be used to resign Matthews and Marner again. I used 11 and 9 but it could 11.25 and 8.75 etc. but the total will be 20 mil between them.

Rosen will get the promotion to the big team. I think his play with the Marlies has earned it. Ozhiganov continues to improve as he adjusts to the NHL and has earned another contract. Also I think that Sandin and Liljegren can use another year with the Marlies with large minutes to develop their craft.

As much as five million will be allocated to sign Kapanen and Johnsson to two or three year deals. I did 3 years deals at 3 and 2 million per year but again that can be more or less for each as long as the total is 5 million.

Trevor Moore has earned a new contract and a promotion to the big team.

Lindholm is a great utility guy and I think will be resigned but as a UFA it will be for more than a million.

Unfortunately that leaves no money for Gardiner - some team will pay big for him as a UFA and good for him. He deserves a good payday. I would really love for him to be able fit into the plans. Travis Dermott is fully capable of taking over for Gardiner.

The 23 spot will be filled by Marincin or Ennis if they can sign either of them for a million. I am afraid as a UFA someone will pay a bit more for Marincin. I am not sure that Ennis has earned more yet and is good as an extra veteran forward for the leafs and will be the one signed. Also the team has quality defense kids that can be called up to fill in without waiver issues.

The 2020-21 leafs will have Marleau's 6 million plus the increase in cap space to focus on defense improvements if the kids Sandin and Liljegren are still not ready to jump in. Also Dermott will need to be resigned and he will get a nice raise.

Added - Jan 2, 2019 for additional support for Matthews and Marner numbers

My opinion is that Matthews for 8 years at 11 million (13.25% of 83mil) per is fair (4 years RFA at 8.5mil (10.25% of 83mil) and 4 years UFA at 13.5mil (16.26% of 83mil) = 11mil average)
My opinion is that Marner for 8 years at 9 million (10.84% of 83mil) is more than fair (4 years RFA at 7.5 mil (9.03% of 83mil) and 4 years UFA at 10.5 mil (12.65% of 83mil) = 9mil average)

Historical Contracts
John Tavares – 5.5 mil as RFA starts 2012-13 (9.16% of 60mil), 11 mil as UFA starts 2018/19 (13.83% of 79.5mil)
Jonathan Toews – 6.3 mil as RFA starts 2010-11 (10.60% of 59.4mil), 10.5 mil as UFA starts 2015-16 (14.70 of 71.4mil)
Patrick Kane – 6.3 mil as RFA starts 2010-11 (10.60% of 59.4mil), 10.5 mil as UFA starts 2015-16 (14.70 of 71.4mil)
Tyler Sequin – 5.75 mil as RFA starts 2013-14 (8.94% of 64.3mil, 9.85 mil as UFA starts 2019-20 (11.86% of 83mil)
Steven Stamkos – 7.5 mil as RFA starts 2011-12 (11.66% of 64.3mil, 8.5 mil as UFA starts 2016-17 (11.64% of 73mil)
Nikita Kutcherov – 4.76 mil as RFA starts 2016-17 (6.52% of 73mil), 9.5mil as UFA starts 2019-20 (11.44% of 83mil)
David Pastrnak – 6.67 million per for 4 years RFA and and 2 years UFA starts 2017/18 contract(8.89% of 75mil)
Nathan Mackinnon – 6.3 million per for 4 years RFA and 3 years UFA starts 2016/17 (8.63% of 73mil)
Mark Scheifele – 6.125 million per for 4 years RFA and 4 years UFA starts 2016/17 (8.39% of 73mil)
William Nylander – 7.5 million per for 4 years RFA and 2 years UFA starts 2018/19 (9.43% of 79.5mil)
Jack Eichel – 10 million per for 4 years RFA and 4 years UFA starts 2018/19 (12.57% of 79.5mil)
Vladimir Tarasenko – 7.5 million per for 4 years RFA and 4 years UFA starts 2015/16 (10.50% of 71.4mil)
Connor McDavid – 12.5 million per for 4 years RFA and 4 years UFA starts 2018/19 (15.72% of 79.5mil)
Leon Draisaitl – 8.5 million per for 4 years RFA and 4 years UFA starts 2017/18 (11.33% of 75mil)