Probably gotta throw Beau Akey into that Guentzel deal if I had to guess.

Per recent reports it seems like itll be closer to a 1st, 3rd and Holloway tho (using Giroux trade as frame work)

I like these trades, but I think the comparison is not quite there. The key in both of these trades was that Detroit received a top-20 first round pick with upside, whereas the Oilers will almost definitely have a very late first. The pick in the Giroux trade also held a lot of value because it was far out and unprotected, giving some uncertainty and upside. It is very cool to see that the Oilers could absolutely get trades done, but I think they would have to pay slightly more because there picks will be so late.

Zero chance EDM includes McLeod in a trade. He's a key component of both the McDrai timeline and any post-McDrai future.

I think both returns are a bit light tbh

Also, a key difference between the Hronek trade and any Hanifin trade (especially to EDM) is that Hronek was a pending RFA and thus had team control. Hanifin is a UFA that, if I'm guessing, likely isn't keen on re-signing in Canada.

Easy no for the pens.

If you're going off the Giroux trade then you need better than McLeod

Tippett is a better player, and was younger at the time of the trade. IF that's the type of return Dubas wants he's going to want someone 23 or younger with NHL experience (similar to Tippett at the time of the trade).

Flames laugh in your face

Pens decline. Take out one of the 3rds and add one of your top prospects and its closer. Oilers dont really have much to offer in that department though. Also Tippett is better than Mcleod so itd have to be a better player. And were retaining so itd be extra.

Hanifan makes zero sense for Edmonton.

No

probably holloway imo

Excellent argument you really managed to convince me of your opinion, kudos.

The Canucks sent the 17th overall pick in one of the deepest drafts in recent memory, the Oilers 1st this season is not that and the draft class isn't comparable at all. Then to take on Ceci and retain, it's not close.