Quoting: JhonnyCanuck5
I understand where the picks are. So you understand that this years draft is significantly deeper than last years weaker class?
So are you saying Detroit is guaranteed to get a better prospect at 17 OA than Marco Kasper (who they took at 8 OA last year)? I think there's a bit more nuance to a "deep/weak" draft class, for example I've heard this year is a "weak" draft for defensemen, but last year had 4 D go in the top 10. So does that mean last year's 7 OA more valuable if your team needs defensemen?
Don't get me wrong, I can see how each draft has a unique value for draft picks, but I'm just not convinced that this year's 17 OA is more valuable than last year's 7 OA. I'm curious which prospects projected around 17 you're super high on though, because it seems like you're pretty confident 17 OA this year is more valuable than last year's 7 OA. BTW Ottawa's trade for DeBrincat was universally regarded as a steal, so even if we assume this package is worth more than what Ottawa paid for him, it's still not an overpay.
Quoting: JhonnyCanuck5
Also, Ottawa trades for a 41 goal scorer with a 6.4M cap hit. They are trading away a 27 goal scorer with a 8-9M cap hit. Tell me which holds more value.
Maybe I'm missing something here, he's still a 2x 41 goal scorer... Are you saying he's not capable of that production anymore because he didn't put up 40+ playing for the powerhouse that is Ottawa? Even if we assume that his production already peaked, 27 goals puts him in 2nd for most goals on the Wings last season, only Larkin had more with 32, so the $8-9M AAV seems about right. The $6.4M cap hit would be great if it lasted longer than the 1 season Ottawa had him.
So I think it's pretty obvious a 25 year old top line winger with a 7 or 8 year contract (with a team he wants to play for) is much more valuable than the one year Ottawa got at a ~$2M lower AAV.