NHL Analytical Standing Predictions

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Créé par: Devil

Équipe: 2022-23 Équipe personnalisée

Date de création initiale: 7 oct. 2022

Publié: 11 oct. 2022

Mode - plafond salarial: Basique

Description

Continuation of Jfresh's twitter posts
https://twitter.com/JFreshHockey/status/1578821817896431616
https://twitter.com/JFreshHockey/status/1578806577976311808
https://twitter.com/JFreshHockey/status/1578790891795677190
https://twitter.com/JFreshHockey/status/1578769277812736000

Averaging the totals from Bulsink Bot, The Athletic, JFresh, Evolving Hockey, Puck, TopDown Hockey, 538, and Hockey Viz to get most analytically accurate point predictions

Atlantic Division:
Florida Panthers: 105
Toronto Maple Leafs: 105
Tampa Bay Lightning: 103
Boston Bruins: 103
Ottawa Senators: 87
Detroit Red Wings: 84
Buffalo Sabres: 80
Montreal Canadiens: 74

Metropolitan Division
Carolina Hurricanes: 102
Washington Capitals: 98
Pittsburgh Penguins: 97
New York Rangers: 97
New York Islanders: 92
New Jersey Devils: 89
Columbus Blue Jackets: 80
Philadelphia Flyers: 74

Central Division
Colorado Avalanche: 107
Minnesota Wild: 102
Nashville Predators: 95
St. Louis Blues: 95
Dallas Stars: 93
Winnipeg Jets: 89
Chicago Blackhawks: 70
Arizona Coyotes: 70

Pacific Division
Calgary Flames: 103
Edmonton Oilers: 100
Vegas Golden Knights: 95
Vancouver Canucks: 94
Los Angeles Kings: 92
Seattle Kraken: 85
Anaheim Ducks: 82
San Jose Sharks: 78

FORMATION

VUE À LONG TERME

INTÉGRÉ

TEXTE INTÉGRÉ

TAILLE DE LA FORMATION	PLAFOND SALARIAL	CAP HIT	EXCÉDENTS	BONIS	ESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
32	82 500 000 $	48 099 277 $	0 $	1 527 500 $	34 400 723 $

Ailier gauche	Centre	Ailier droit
Balcers, Rūdolfs 750 000 $750 000 $ AG, AD UFA - 1		Aho, Sebastian 8 460 250 $8 460 250 $ C UFA - 2
Abramov, Mikhail 809 444 $809 444 $ C RFA - 2		Alexeyev, Alexander 863 333 $863 333 $ DG/DD RFA - 1
Barré-Boulet, Alex 758 333 $758 333 $ AD, AG UFA - 2		Andonovski, Corey 925 000 $925 000 $ AD RFA - 2
Ahcan, Jack 750 000 $750 000 $ DG UFA - 1		Blais, Samuel 1 525 000 $1 525 000 $ AG, AD UFA - 1
Aspirot, Jonathan 768 333 $768 333 $ DG UFA - 1		Adams, Collin 800 000 $800 000 $ AG UFA - 1
Andreasson, Pontus 842 500 $842 500 $ (82 500 $$82K) C, AG UFA - 1		Bahl, Kevin 795 000 $795 000 $ (82 500 $$82K) DG RFA - 1
Asplund, Rasmus 825 000 $825 000 $ AG, C RFA - 1		Angle, Tyler 850 833 $850 833 $ (82 500 $$82K) C RFA - 2
Anderson, Josh 5 500 000 $5 500 000 $ AD, AG M-NTC UFA - 5		Allison, Wade 785 000 $785 000 $ AD RFA - 2

Défenseur gaucher	Défenseur droitier	Gardien de but
Aamodt, Wyatt 925 000 $925 000 $ DG RFA - 1	Andersson, Rasmus 4 550 000 $4 550 000 $ DD UFA - 4
Addison, Calen 795 000 $795 000 $ (82 500 $$82K) DD RFA - 1	Barrie, Tyson 4 500 000 $4 500 000 $ DD UFA - 2
Afanasyev, Egor 789 167 $789 167 $ (132 500 $$132K) C, AG RFA - 2	Ahac, Layton 897 500 $897 500 $ DG RFA - 2
Acciari, Noel 1 250 000 $1 250 000 $ C, AD UFA - 1	Åman, Nils 883 750 $883 750 $ (82 500 $$82K) C RFA - 2
Arcuri, Francesco 841 667 $841 667 $ C RFA - 4	Allard, Frédéric 750 000 $750 000 $ DD UFA - 1
Appleton, Mason 2 166 667 $2 166 667 $ AD UFA - 3	Beniers, Matthew 897 500 $897 500 $ (925 000 $$925K) C RFA - 2
Allan, Nolan 847 500 $847 500 $ DG RFA - 4	Andersson, Axel 772 500 $772 500 $ (57 500 $$58K) DD UFA - 1
Bjugstad, Nick 450 000 $450 000 $ C, AD UFA - 1	Agozzino, Andrew 775 000 $775 000 $ C, AG UFA - 2

11 oct. 2022 à 7 h 50

cMac73

Sway4Vezina

Rejoint: nov. 2021

Messages: 809

Mentions "j'aime": 361

For the Atlantic Division, people don’t realize how close it was last year, at least between spots 2-4. When the Bruins are healthy, they could be just as good as any team in their division, especially with the significant downgrades from other teams. By the end of the year, spots 1-4 should be tight. And again, I think Boston will for sure be in that mix as when healthy, they have an improved lineup from last year. There isn’t much logic to thinking the Senators finish ahead of them simply because they were a 73 point team last year. They’ll develop a winning culture and eventually make the playoffs but only after they have an 80-90 point season, and they improve their awful defense

11 oct. 2022 à 8 h 22

Austerity

Rejoint: avr. 2019

Messages: 174

Mentions "j'aime": 56

I agree that Boston is mad underrated right now. There are concerns that Krecji may not be as good as two years ago, and the Bruins being pretty injured to start the season, but come playoff time they still have one of the more threatening rosters with one of the best top lines in the league, good defensive depth, and one of the best defensemen in the league with McAvoy.

I think Toronto has only improved their roster from last year, however, and for the regular season I think it's tough to see Boston being the better team.

11 oct. 2022 à 8 h 36

CD282

Rejoint: mars 2017

Messages: 24,036

Mentions "j'aime": 7,746

So, nobody over 107 points? That doesn't seem likely. Your method has all the good teams getting worse and all the bad teams getting better. Maybe it's not the most accurate way after all?

11 oct. 2022 à 9 h 53

earl08

Rejoint: janv. 2019

Messages: 3,759

Mentions "j'aime": 970

Quoting: CD282

So, nobody over 107 points? That doesn't seem likely. Your method has all the good teams getting worse and all the bad teams getting better. Maybe it's not the most accurate way after all?

Averaging compresses the results. Not sure if point totals are accurate, but standings should be, based on the data.

CD282 a aimé ceci.

11 oct. 2022 à 9 h 56

CD282

Rejoint: mars 2017

Messages: 24,036

Mentions "j'aime": 7,746

Quoting: earl08

Averaging compresses the results. Not sure if point totals are accurate, but standings should be, based on the data.

Exactly my point. It's not possible to be "the most accurate" due to the averaging.

11 oct. 2022 à 12 h 32

Xqb15a

Rejoint: août 2020

Messages: 11,389

Mentions "j'aime": 9,030

If AZ AND CHI both get 70 pts I would be beyond shocked. They actively suck and are looking to get worse. They are going to be so bad it might be embarrassing for the league.

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NHL Analytical Standing Predictions

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