Quoting: Aryan
I get what your saying but I can’t look at just one season. Before this season Hintz and Kerfoots production was similar, I wanna make it clear I in no way think Kerfoot compares to Hintz at all but I think the difference of 20 points is makes up by the second,2 depth pieces and a 5th. I will once again restate Hintz was a second round pick and sending the islanders pick you never know what could come out of it
Hintz was a PPG last year as well, when Kerfoot put up 23 points in 56 games. I just think that the track record is there for Hintz to be considered at *worst* a low-end top line forward - 41 points in 43 GP last year, followed up by 37 goals this year? That's top line stuff at a middle 6 salary. Kerfoot put up *fine* numbers but you keep acting like it's *just* a 20 point difference between the 2 while not acknowledging the idea that Kerfoot might have been a beneficiary of finally getting a solid place in the lineup with Tavares & Nylander after spending a lot of time with the likes of Spezza, Engvall & Mikheyev the 2 years before this.
Depth pieces like Anderson and Kral really don't bring any value to the table - they're AHL guys who maybe come up for 10-15 games if someone gets hurt. Anderson having a decent year in the AHL as a 23 year old isn't something I'm going to get too excited over - he still only put up 42 points in 56 games down there, for what it's worth.
As far as trying to get another Hintz with that pick in the 2nd, sure, it could happen, but statistically it's unlikely. Here's a decade worth of guys picked #45, from 2007 through 2016:
-Colby Cohen (3 GP with the 2010-11 Avs, 0 points)
-Zac Dalpe (154 GP over an improbable 11 NHL seasons, the quintessential AHL tweener)
-Jeremy Morin (82 GP over parts of 5 seasons, 10-12-22 overall)
-Ryan Spooner (325 GP over 7 seasons, 167 career points, peaked as a 45ish point player on the Claude Julien Bruins)
-Markus Granlund (335 GP over 7 seasons, 101 career points, was a 25 point, good D center)
-Anthony Stolarz (62 GP over 5 seasons, .915 SV% & 2.73 GAA, had almost half those games this season for a mediocre Ducks team)
-Nick Sorensen (5 GP, 1 assist with the 2016-17 Ducks)
-Brett Pollock (no NHL games, 107 career AHL GP with 35 points, playing in the DEL now)
-Jakob Forsbacka-Karlsson (29 GP, 3-6-9 over 2 seasons with Boston)
-Chad Krys (no NHL time, 100 AHL GP with 25 points, let go by original team and now with the Marlies)
There's a couple more recently drafted guys that look interesting (Alex Texier, Scott Perunovich) but they're still too young to make a definitive call on. But that's why I really can't see Dallas putting so much stock in maybe finding another Hintz with that pick - finding a guy like that in the second round is the exception to the rule. Or, as I've said before, I can't picture Jim Nill saying "Sure we've got Roope Hintz - but that 2nd rounder could be anything. It could even be a Roope Hintz!"