Not sure if anyone else has posted something like this, or if anyone has written about it, but I can't see why the Leafs wouldn't do this option to resign Hyman, but as the title says. Maybe I am totally losing it.
Lets say Hyman on the open market can get something around 5yrs x $5M or 4yrs x $6M, his next contract total will be in the $25M range. We can assume that after this contract, he will most likely be back in the $2.5AAV (if lucky) or less even, possibly the $1M range (depending on wear and tear on his body and playing style). So over the next 7-8 years, can we assume he will make somewhere around $30M max?
Why don't the Leafs offer him a 7 or 8 year deal at $3.5-4M, front loaded contract. Total value of contract falls around $25-30M, hope to get 3-5 serviceable years (during this so called "cup window") at an ok cap hit, and if he regresses, he can be traded to a cap floor, cash poor team (lower actual salary than cap hit) for the past few years.
For the purpose of this exercise, the team is basically made up of generic guys that I wouldn't mind on the Leafs, salary estimates to get near the cap, and the Scratches can slot in and out of the line-up with any other player on the roster
And here are my 2 cents on other Leafs players:
- Galchenyuk: Very much meh for me... But if he can sign another $1M prove-it deal (full year with skilled teammates and Leafs development team), I wouldnt lose my mind over it.
- Reilly I added on LTIR for the purpose of not counting against this cap, but I think the Leafs need to get heavier on D and Sandin takes over his spot. Obviously the drop off is significant, but the value of trading Reilly for future assets and cap space trumps. Too many RFA and FA to resign at higher cap hits next year means if Marner isnt traded (my ideal option), Reilly wont be resigned.
- The only reason Brooks makes the team is his AAV is lower than the 2021-22 league minimum. I dont get what people see in this guy that he can bring to the team as an extra forward or 4th liner. Not much offense, small and runs around like a chicken with his head cut off. Trevor Moore-lite.
-I think the Leafs either protect 4 & 4 and lose Kerfoot, or if they can trade him, they lose Dermott or Holl, thinking they can get a better return for Kerfoot (3rd?) and sign more impact FAs.
So, let me have it. Am I losing it on the Hyman idea or what?
Hyman or almost any valuable UFA will have trade protections clauses which makes a trade to team with cap (a poor team) in the latter years of his contract almost impossible.
I like this kind of out of the box thinking, especially being front loaded could help a potential buy out come year 5 or 6 of this deal. If he were to sign something like that without trade protection in the final few years it would really be genius.
Almost all Leaf fans are hoping for a scenario where Hyman signs. I wouldn't mind an 8 year deal, totally front loaded and without trade protection. I think $4.5M x 8 would work. He can get $5.75M x 4 right now I think from Edmonton but if the Leafs pay him everything upfront and then when his knee issues are too much place him on LTIR while paying him $1M per season (cap of 4.5) works for me.
The problem still becomes, is he the best usage of $4.5M for the next 4-5 years? He is a PHENOMENAL 3rd line winger. He is a decent LW with M(Matthews)&M(Marner) (Why is M&M not a thing?) but can you get a real top line LW for that or close to that? I think that is the question. I bet Dubas is working on trade scenarios right now trying to land an impact 1st or 2nd line LW before he makes a Hyman decision.
BriGuy a aimé ceci.
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