Quoting: bhavikp27
Unless you're a voter, most people try to take defense in consideration... you know, the thing Nurse doesn't do really well
Have you been paying attention? He's 2nd in the league at +/-, plays more than any player here and also plays tough minutes. Here's Nurse vs the other contenders listed here:
TOI vs Elite forwards
1. Nurse: 259.6 (40.7%) - 1st on team
2. Fox: 223.6 (49.3%) - 2nd on team
3. Petry: 222.9 (45.9%) - 2nd
4. McAvoy: 202.1 (41.2%) - 1st
5. Hedman: 94.6 (18.4%) - 3rd
6. Makar: 43.4 (16.4%) - 4th
The competition in the Central and West is a joke. Hedman and Makar should be docked heavily for that.
League rank in 5v5 TOI/GP (team rank)
2. Nurse: 20:47 (1st on team)
29. McAvoy: 18:07 (1st)
31. Hedman: 18:05 (1st)
51. Makar: 17:28 (3rd)
81. Fox: 16:52 (3rd)
82. Petry: 16:49 (2nd)
Three of these guys aren't in the top-50 in the league and also aren't even the #1D on their own team in their respective coach's mind. Petry, Makar and Fox should lose some points for this.
League rank in 5v5 boxcars (team rank)
1. Nurse: 10-9-19 (1st)
17. Petry: 5-6-11 (1st)
22. McAvoy: 3-8-11 (1st)
23. Makar: 2-9-11 (3rd)
38. Fox: 2-8-10 (1st)
44. Hedman: 4-5-9 (3rd)
Makar has missed time due to injury so there's some mitigation in his 3rd place rank on the team, but missing games to injury also hurts his Norris case IMO. Hedman doesn't look good here TBH, as he's on the best team in the weakest division and still last here in points.
5v5 On-ice Goal Differential (GF% rel)
1. Nurse: +14 (+14.30)
2. Makar: +12 (+8.48)
3. Petry: +11 (+2.80)
4. Hedman: +8 (-2.12)
5. McAvoy: +6 (+14.14)
6. Fox: +6 (+11.90)
Nurse is the front runner here in both categories. Tampa does better with Hedman on the bench than on the ice, which is incredible considering he's +8. Just goes to show how weak the comp is in the Central and how strong the Lightning are.
League rank in overall boxcars (PP boxcars)
1. Hedman: 6-27-33 +13 (1-18-19)
3. Fox: 4-26-30 +11 (2-15-17)
6. Nurse: 12-15-27 +20 (0-4-4)
7. Petry: 11-16-27 +15 (4-8-12)
19. Makar: 3-19-22 +12 (1-9-10)
22. McAvoy: 4-17-21 +9 (0-5-5)
Most of these guys make their living with the man-advantage, it's pretty incredible that Nurse is above most of these picks in overall points without the advantage of a lot power-play time. And he's leading the league in goals, too.