Quoting: Salzy
Yeah, I'm just a big fan of his and would love to see him in SoCal, this was done assuming Shatty stays and Foote can take that step forward
Do you think Cernak is the least likely to move out of him Sergachev and Cirelli? Say if one of them has to go
I think Cernak is a prime candidate for an offer sheet from a team like us
All 3 are staying... it's not rocket science... there is no answer to that question...
You could ask the same for Byram or Makar from Col leaving in future... no point to this...
If anybody of these types of guys gets traded, you can't ever predict that... like Killorn you can predict... or even guys with NTC... but RFA's with good performance usually gets resigned...
If there is low/no cap space.. then for bridge contract/1 year deal etc...
Tampa likes Serg/Cirelli/Cernak same way... they are not expendable assets for unknown return. And all 3 has even more potential in future years. All under 25 years...
Noone is offersheeting any under 5 million players(especially from a lottery team--> the factor of likeliness is like out of world, 10 times less likely than other mediocre teams).
He had a down year btw, like Manson... so it's even more unlikely for this particular player...
I want to help you:
Learn it now, or you will be disappointed in every offseason in the near future.(at least until new CBA)
Hint: offersheets are a myth.
If you learn these couple of words. You will be more successful at creating possible future team evaluations/ACGM's
The biggest problems with offersheets are: The offersheeted player says no thanks.
In case of Cernak noone is offering him 8.x millions... which he would probably accept... That money is huge compared to the 3-4 million $ we possibly offering him in the offseason...
Even he can't refuse it most likely, but that's not happening. He is not on that level to get 8.x million $ offer...
So let me illustrate you with a quick example for Cernak, in case if he wants to accept it.(for some unknown reason- like he hates to play in tampa.. idk i cant find a good reason.. so you have to find one
)
$4,227,438 - $6,341,152
1 First Round Pick
1 Third Round Pick
Okay so you say Anaheim is offering him max contract: 6.3 million $ for max years possible.
He accepts the offersheet(see above the reason LUL).
In this case:
TBL probably says: Thanks for the possible top5 unprotected lottery pick and also the freebie the 3rd rounder. ( where we can sometimes find gems).
So we let Cernak go and we trade for a little worse player for much cheaper... but the future will be brighter for the tampa D.
Other scenario we invest with the unprotected 1st round lottery pick and offer it for some serious D-man with good contract.Who is better than Cernak = win for
.
Top10 lottery picks = really huge value... you can get a player like top tier Top3-Top4D, if additional assets even a Top2D might be possible.
Oh now you probably say, no " i meant for 4.2 million $ offersheet. In that case it's an easy match and an extended summer holiday on Hawaii for the GM.(1 less troube to deal with for months).Just ask the Carolina GM about the Aho offersheet. It was the easiest decision of his life...
I hope you can see now, why these things will not happen. And finally u forget about this "myth". Hopefully together with other people...
Not worth the time to deal with these "scenarios" in any ACGM topic...
You're not the only one who doesn't think through this... Last time i heard in one of these topics... Yzerman is offersheeting Tampa last year for Sergachev... LUL
For sure he will LUL
Yes, with a new CBA soon'ish... things might get different in the future, but the current offersheet system is flawed/bad.
It's working good in NHL EA games hahaaa...(that game is exploitable, unlike real life GM's).
Game AI GM's Vs real life GM's = infinite difference