Quoting: herzausstein
Not sure if serious.... Nylander's contract is 45M over 6 years. If he didn't sign midseason, that'd be a 7.5M AAV. Marner's gotten 61P, 69P, and is currently getting 1.38 points/game (113 point pace). That will likely die down some but he's still very likely to get atleast 82 points. He'll get more that Nylander. He'll have every right to ask for more than 8.5M. Don't know where he'll land but i think 8.5M - 9.0M would be starting range.
Careful now... There is a lot more to it than that. PPG and cap hit percentages are more important. Nylander is 8.75% for all years other than year one. Gaudreau is 9.25% and is Marner's high water mark even if he finishes with 90+ this year.
Quoting: draft_em_sign_em_trade_em
Marner = between Draisaitl and Kucherov. Matthews = between Eichel and McDavid. Do the math and you get 9 million for Marner and 11.5 for Matthews, you're welcome.
Your fan math is good but it Kucherov isn't a comp and the numbers are high.
Using the Toews and Kane model - 11.09% after winning a Cup, at 83M, that's 9.2M now. And neither Marner or Matthews is as valuable as those two were to their team then.
I know it's easy to look at what two bottom teams signed their players to and expect the Leafs to do the same, but it is not realistic. Neither are deals longer than 5 or 6 years.