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MC27

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26 juill. 2021
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Ducks d'Anaheim
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Forum: Trade Machine Proposals29 avr. 2023 à 9 h 53
Sujet: Revisiting Turcotte rumors
Why this makes sense for LAK: LA is very deep at the center position, but thin at LHD (both in the NHL and in their system). Turcotte has clearly struggled since turning pro and is a change of scenery candidate. There is no doubt that he could becomes a useful NHL player, but anything more than a middle-six forward looks to be out of the question. With the Kings being competitive, Turcotte will need to prove that he is a NHL quality player to crack the lineup. So far, he has been unable to do that. While Kaiser may not offer the same upside, I think it's safe to say that his floor is higher at this point. LA could wait another year as Turcotte won't be waiver eligible until 2024-25, however, they would likely lose all leverage in trade talks if he does not take a major step forward in his development.

Why this makes sense for CHI: LHD is the deepest position in Chicago's prospect pool. They can afford to wait on Turcotte and allow him to develop while playing 15 minutes per night in the NHL. Kaiser is a solid prospect, but with Korchinski, Vlasic, Phillips, Del Mastro, and Allan in the system, they can afford to move one of their LHD's to bolster their forward pool.
Forum: Armchair-GM16 déc. 2022 à 15 h 34
Forum: Armchair-GM3 juill. 2022 à 16 h 9
Sujet: Daddy is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jah1722</b></div><div>You do realize that Comtois had wrist surgery in season right? He didn’t have a perfectly healthy season and just not produce. He also plays for the worst coach in the league who finds someone to punish so he can play his favorites. He did it with Henrique and Heinen in 20-21.

Yes he struggles defensively but it actually improved this season relatively significantly. Also you’ve underestimated his ability to create for others. His primary assists per 60 is solid for a guy who’s more prone to scoring than assisting and better than Puljujarvi’s. Also he was pretty good at worlds much like Henrique who had came back and had a career year after all the BS he dealt with in 20-21.

I’m biased but give me the finisher that doesn’t take his puck and go home when things aren’t going his way.</div></div>

Yes I do, which is why I said that I do believe he'll bounce back. But it would be unrealistic to expect him to match his shooting percentage from 20-21 again. 17% is Auston Matthews territory. He was bound to regress a bit, even without the surgery.

Should he have been scratched last season on a young team that struggled to score? Probably not. But he was given opportunities in the top 6 and didn't play exceptionally well. If he can't stick in the top 6, what will his role be? I genuinely hope that he can turn it around and prove me wrong. I just believe that most Ducks fans are putting too much stock into a relatively short stretch of games in which he had an unsustainably high shooting%.

I don't believe Comtois is a bad player by any means. I think it's silly that some fans are willing to trade him for a mid-round pick or use him as a "throw-in." But Puljujarvi has already established himself as a solid two-way forward. He's the type of player who makes his line-mates better, even if his own numbers aren't gaudy. I'd rather flip one of the Ducks' numerous 2nd's for him, but if Edmonton is looking for a NHL player in return, I would not hesitate to make the swap.
Forum: Armchair-GM2 juill. 2022 à 17 h 24
Sujet: Daddy is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jah1722</b></div><div>His analytics say he is but he can’t score even while mainly playing with McDavid. So how much better is he really?

You’re also putting a ton of stock into a season in which Comtois had wrist surgery. Let him have a healthy start to the season and see what he can do. He’d also be better off if he didn’t play for the worst coach in the NHL but that’s for another conversation.

Also the very first thing I said about all this is that I thought Comtois was the better bet, meaning I’ll take the player that finishes with some lesser analytics than the guy with good analytics but an inability to finish.</div></div>

Ducks fan here. I like Comtois, but Puljujarvi has both a higher floor and ceiling. There's no way I'd take Barrie's contract without some type of compensation, but a Comtois-for-Puljujarvi swap would be a no brainer. Puljujarvi is an excellent two-way play driver who has trouble finishing. It's easy to attribute some of his numbers to playing with McDavid, however, McDavid's 5v5 goal share and 5v5 expected goal share are both significantly higher with Puljujarvi on the ice vs without him. On the power play, McDavid and Draisaitl's numbers are also significantly better with Puljujarvi. They are seeing a ~25% increase in goals scored with him on the ice. This suggests that, despite his trouble finishing, Puljujarvi helps control the puck in both zones which leads to better/more offensive opportunities for his teammates. If he is able to get his shooting percentage up 2-3%, he could wind up being Nichushkin 2.0.

Comotis, on the other hand, is not as effective at driving play in either zone. He relies more on finding soft spots around the net and waiting for his teammates to pass him the puck. This is why he was effective in 20-21, when he shot 17%. At the beginning of last season, when he was struggling mightily (pun intended), his underlying numbers were nearly identical to his previous season's. The difference was that he was no longer finishing at an unsustainably high rate. I think it's fair to expect him to rebound next season, but unlikely for him to replicate his 20-21 numbers. Even then, he is not very effective at creating opportunities for his teammates or playing in his defensive zone. Those two things really limit his upside. Basically, he will need to score at a consistent pace in order to be an effective middle-six power forward.
Forum: Armchair-GM19 mai 2022 à 20 h 46
Sujet: Ducks 22-23
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shaners79</b></div><div>I'm going to pretty frank here. I would love to have Gibson on our team but I'm not sure he's worth swapping 1st and then us adding. Case in point, Schneider was traded for 9th overall (Horvat) straight up. He was younger and had a above .920 save percentage for 3 + years.</div></div>

That is a fair trade to bring up. I'd say 9OA is very similar to the value of the pick swap (which is somewhere between the value of an additional 10-12OA pick) and a few smaller pieces. As for Schneider, he had never started more than 30 games in a NHL season. I compare that trade to the Raanta deal, though there were more pieces involved. Like I said in my explanation, your opinion of the deal is going to vary based on your opinion of John Gibson. I do believe he commands more respect around the league than his numbers may reflect. He was recently ranked 4th in the annual players poll and was 5th in an anonymous NHL GM/coaches poll prior to the season. Obviously I don't know where NJ's FO stands on him. But Anaheim isn't desperate to trade him and I don't think he'll be going anywhere unless they get premium value.