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Liguori911

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22 juill. 2017
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Canadiens de Montréal
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Forum: Armchair-GM24 févr. 2019 à 11 h 34
Forum: Armchair-GM24 févr. 2019 à 12 h 15
Forum: Armchair-GM23 févr. 2019 à 18 h 9
Forum: Armchair-GM22 févr. 2019 à 19 h 2
Forum: Armchair-GM2 janv. 2019 à 11 h 33
Forum: Armchair-GM25 déc. 2018 à 17 h 41
Forum: NHL4 août 2017 à 19 h 15
Sujet: 2017-2018 MTL Canadiens standings predictions (using only stats from Price + backups)
Here is my prediction of where MTL finishes in the standings, using only Stats from Price and his backup (Lindgren, Montoya, etc...)


I'm only using Price's stats from now going back to the 2013-2014 season (after the lockout shortened season) as I think this better represents how Price is playing now.

So since 2013-2014, Price has played 199games. He won 125 of those games, which gives him roughly a win percentage of 63%.

Price also averages 62 games a season since 2013. (Price's injured 2015-16 season was removed from this average since he only played 12games)
So putting his win percentage (63%) to the avg games he plays (62games). Price, <strong>ON AN AVERAGE SEASON</strong>, should put up 39 wins or 78 Pts.
Again 39wins is just an AVG, and not a definitive number. I consider Price to have had an AVG season this past year (even if he still got nominated for the Vezina, I think everyone can agree that he wasn't going to win it) and he had 37wins. It's also worth noting that during Price's MVP season, he had 44wins.

This isn't even counting losses in overtime which would give an extra 1point per game, and just taking a look at Prices stats since 2013, and he usually avg 5 or 6 OT losses a season. so lets add 5pts to the 78 avg. Now we have 83pts

So if Price puts up 83pts on an "ok" season playing 62games, there are still 20games left for the backups.
So if I do the same for Montoya as did for Price, since 2013, Montoya has played 92games and has won 39. a win % of 42...very meh
so let's put a 42% win percentage over 20games...about 8 wins, so 16pts. Montoya's OT losses avg to about 3 a season, so now we are at 19pts.

MTL with both Goalies having just an "ok" season should get the Habs to 102pts. Definitely in the top 3 of their division at least.

I have not even taken into consideration the possibility of Lindgren taking over Montoya as backup. Lindgren will at the very least put similar or better stats than Montoya, which should increase the Pts MTL get at the end of the season.

All this to say, Price on an average season with a below average backup still gets the habs to about 100pts.

Let me know what you guys think! or let me know if there are any mistakes!