DragonRaptorHybrid

Sensible Commentary
Membre depuis
25 jui 2016
Équipe préférée
Penguins de Pittsburgh
Deuxième équipe préférée
Coyotes de l'Arizona
Messages dans les forums
845
Messages par jour
0,56
Sujets de discussion
54
Forum: Toronto Maple Leafs31 aoû à 18 h 25
Sujet: So, here's an idea.
Matt Murray for Jack Campbell.

The Leafs haven't had a trustworthy back-up goaltender to Frederik Andersen since... Curtis McElhinney, of all people, left town. The dude's consistently played in &gt;70% of the team's games since he got there, and I wouldn't be surprised if it's started to wear on him. They need a competent back-up to be able to fill in for games where Andersen can't play. Jack Campbell <em>might</em> be it, but I don't think anybody's that sold on the idea.

The Penguins are cutting salary and generally can't afford to pay both Murray and Tristan Jarry what they're worth. Sure, Murray's had a bad couple of seasons, but he also won 2 Stanley Cups as a rookie, and we saw the kind of leverage that got Cam Ward throughout his career in contract negotiations. The Penguins don't really have that kind of money to toss around at the moment. The consensus seems to be that everyone thinks Murray is the one leaving town at the moment, so the next question is, of course, where does he land?

Now, why would the Penguins want Jack Campbell (outside of the obvious "there's only room for 2 goalies on a roster")? A fairly easy answer: cost certainty. He's signed for 2 more years, and it's all base salary with no bonuses. The Penguins don't have to spend time in RFA negotiations with Campbell like they would with Murray and Jarry, and he'll ultimately be cheaper than whatever money they'd have to pay Murray.

Why would the Leafs want Matt Murray? A not-so-obvious answer. He's been kinda bad for the last couple of seasons, as previously mentioned, and, by bad, I mean <em>bad</em>.
But! He's clearly been good before, good enough to win 2 Stanley Cups (and also AHL Rookie of the Year, Goalie of the Year, as well as breaking the AHL shutout streak record).
And, of course, where did Matt Murray play junior hockey? With the Sault. Ste. Marie (now just Soo) Greyhounds. From 2011 to 2014. When Kyle Dubas and Sheldon Keefe were, respectively, the GM and head coach of the Greyhounds.

If there's anybody that knows Murray well enough to maybe help him get back to how good he used to be as a goaltender, it's Dubas and Keefe. And they might know something that we don't, enough for them to take a roll of the dice on it.
Forum: NHL Signings20 jui à 16 h 47
Sujet: Tampa Bay Lightning signed Sean Day (1 Year / $700,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Stanley_Cup_To_Manhattan</b></div><div>What are you going on about? The kid literally has the intangibles to be a STUD. Those issues are the only explanation to what we've speculated that could be wrong with him.</div></div>again: "speculation."

i mean, maybe he is lazy (which i highly doubt, because athletes are competitive by nature, and, if they were truly lazy, they wouldn't have made it this far to begin with), and maybe he doesn't care about hockey. but these are all maybes. i'm not going to state them with any certainty and proclaim that "he'll never make it to the NHL," because those assertions aren't based on any real, hard evidence that i have. saying these kinds of things without hard evidence just makes me look like a jerk. i'm very likely not even correct in my assertions, which then makes me a mean jerk that doesn't know anything about these players.

this is the Internet, so people like this are everywhere to be found. but, y'know, as a <em>moderator</em> on the CapFriendly forums, it's part of my job to promote a welcoming environment, where we can discuss hockey things without resorting to being <em>mean and spiteful</em>.
Forum: NHL Signings15 jui à 21 h 44
Sujet: New York Islanders signed Ilya Sorokin (1 Year / $2,000,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafs_and_Sens_Fan</b></div><div>The KHL is not as good a league but the money is certainly as good if not better. Russians in the KHL get their money tax free. When they come to America, they lose 50% in taxes.

Top tier Russian free agents have a lot of negotiating power.

He clearly took less than what he could have if he played hardball. I dont think the Islanders let him walk for an extra million or 2 when he could be a franchise goalie. Plus they would want a strong relationship with him so he'd re-sign.</div></div>eh. both sides clearly had something they wanted; the Islanders needed a young goalie in his prime that could potentially be a goalie of the future, Sorokin wanted a shot at the NHL. the 1-year deal at $2M is, honestly, more likely than not because of this whole COVID-19 mess and the loss in HRR that the league's sustaining, which led to the flat salary cap in the new CBA. no team in the league is really in a position to hand out a ginormous contract at the moment.
Forum: NHL Signings15 jui à 21 h 34
Sujet: New York Islanders signed Ilya Sorokin (1 Year / $2,000,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafs_and_Sens_Fan</b></div><div>He had a lot of leverage. "Pay me or I stay in the KHL." He just decided not to use it.

That's why teams are afraid of drafting Russian players. They have a lot more leverage because if the KHL.</div></div>that's probably more because there's no transfer agreement in place between the NHL and the KHL, and GMs can never figure out exactly when they can get Russian players to make the move to NA because Russian hockey clubs tend to keep a pretty tight grip on their younger prospects. i wouldn't make it out as "the KHL is just as good an alternative to the NHL," though player agents certainly paint it that way to gain leverage in negotiations.
Forum: NHL Signings15 jui à 20 h 40
Sujet: New York Islanders signed Ilya Sorokin (1 Year / $2,000,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafs_and_Sens_Fan</b></div><div>I'm sure he could have gotten more money playing tax free in the KHL as the top goalie.

So yes this contract is pretty great for him but if he lives up to the hype the Islanders can be cup contenders and he left money on the table.</div></div>i mean, you've seen his KHL track record, i presume. dude's got nothing left to prove in Russia. a lot of European players love the idea of getting their shot in the NHL, 'cause it's got the best competition in the world, and it's the biggest stage for hockey. and athletes are competitors; they relish the chance to challenge themselves. i wouldn't be surprised if Sorokin didn't care about the money more than the chance to compete in the NHL.
Forum: NHL27 jun à 12 h 51
Sujet: Who's winning the lottery
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>justaBoss</b></div><div>No matter what happens, it's an unique situation when some fans actively wants their team to lose the qualification round.

And very many people are going to end salty to the solution.</div></div>yeah, it was a terribly short-sighted move, <a href="https://theathletic.com/1896725/2020/06/26/basu-vs-godin-do-the-canadiens-hope-for-a-playoff-run-or-alexis-lafreniere/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">as Arpon Basu and Marc-Antoine Godin noted in The Athletic</a>:

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quote:</div>[T]his is why the draft lottery being held Friday was a remarkably stupid move by the NHL. It was hoping to give the non-play-in teams something to look forward to, to generate some buzz in their cities. But they never stopped to think what would happen in the play-in cities if what happened Friday night actually happened, which was very possible since the non-play-in teams had a 24.5 percent chance of winning the lottery, just a shade behind the Ottawa Senators at 25 percent (and we both knew the Sens weren’t going to win). So now, fans in Montreal, Chicago, Arizona, Minnesota and elsewhere are thinking the same thing: how the worst thing that could happen to their teams would be to win the play-in, an opportunity that they don’t even deserve. So, instead of generating buzz, the NHL has turned a bunch of fans against their own teams.</div>
Forum: NHL27 jun à 12 h 08
Sujet: Who's winning the lottery
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">First overall pick odds (lmao) <a href="https://t.co/ucUsKW8z4Z">pic.twitter.com/ucUsKW8z4Z</a></p>&mdash; dom luszczyszyn (@domluszczyszyn) <a href="https://twitter.com/domluszczyszyn/status/1276674094658961408?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 27, 2020</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
now, my rankings for maximum "Hockey Internet Melts Down" potential:
6) everybody else not mentioned henceforth
5) the Original Six teams composed of the Leafs and the Canadiens (everybody would scream "rigged" for the Leafs, and mostly everybody would scream "rigged" for the Canadiens, but it'd be a nice story, and i'm not opposed to that)
4) the Original Six teams composed of the Rangers and Blackhawks (everybody would scream "rigged," and the "3 Cups in 6 years" Blackhawks haven't faded away to enough dust for people to not get angry)
3) the Penguins (everyone would definitely have an aneurysm if Crosby and Malkin got a bloody generational talent on an ELC to play on their wing)
2) 'Lottery Ball Specialist' Taylor Hall and his band of Merry Men (the Coyotes)
1) the Oilers (you know the Internet would have a collective meltdown if this happened)
Forum: Toronto Maple Leafs24 jun à 12 h 31
Sujet: Toronto Media is the reason why Matthews wont re-sign
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood</b></div><div>What the hell does that have to do with anything? Arizona has had terrible attendance since they moved to Glendale and it's never changed. No one cares about the team there. It doesn't matter what sport is the most popular in the US. The team loses money year after year and it's just a matter of time before they leave. Same with the Panthers. Organizations that lose money year after year just won't survive.</div></div>what part of "past ownership issues also do not auto-translate to the current ownership situation" did you not get? just because the team hasn't historically done well doesn't mean they can't change with new ownership that's committed to making the team successful. how is that not a concept that crossed your brain? *le gasp*

and, <em>again</em>, attendance is not a single factor that you can point to in "is a team doing well." it, itself, is a product of several different variables. the Bill Wirtz-era Blackhawks had <em>terrible</em> attendance issues, and we didn't call for their heads and re-location (because they're an Original Six market and no traditionalist would ever call for that). their attendance was bad for <em>a number</em> of reasons. we didn't just look at the bad attendance numbers and go, "oh, well, nobody cares about hockey in Chicago." because it's a dumb chain of logic.

see what i mean about "it looks like you're basically just glossing over every single point i make"? do i necessarily believe that you inherently can't construct a good argument? no. but, from what you've demonstrated so far, it sure looks that way. your entire argument is basically pointing to "nobody in the Sun Belt likes hockey, so why should any team be located there?" but, if there have historically never been hockey teams there, of course there wouldn't be a basis for anybody liking hockey. people don't start liking a sport out of thin air. you don't just snap your fingers, and, suddenly, people like hockey.
Forum: Toronto Maple Leafs22 jun à 11 h 55
Sujet: Toronto Media is the reason why Matthews wont re-sign
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood</b></div><div>Cool, still doesn't mean anything. No one cares about the Coyotes in Arizona</div></div>ah, and, here, we see the crux of the issue: you're not very good at internet arguments, it seems. you're simply trotting out re-treads of the same argument without any evidence to back it up and hoping that that (somehow?) will let you bull your way into being right. got it, got it. who needs facts and evidence when you can simply just ignore everything that somebody is saying?

5 bucks you're one of those people who whine "Please Like My Sport" and complain that hockey's the least popular of the 4 major pro league sports in NA and then turn around and gatekeep for the sport.
Forum: Toronto Maple Leafs21 jun à 17 h 36
Sujet: Toronto Media is the reason why Matthews wont re-sign
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood</b></div><div>They haven't made money in more than a decade. That's a pretty good sign the team is destined to leave.</div></div>about a quarter of the league is in the red, according to forbes. that doesn't mean much. it says more about how the NHL is vying with MLS for "least popular major professional sports league in North America."

past ownership issues also do not auto-translate to the current ownership situation. as i noted previously, Alex Meruelo is now the majority owner of the Coyotes, and he is actually a billionaire and (based on reporting from The Athletic) appears to be the kind of person that commits to his owned assets and doesn't just casually toss them aside at the first sign of trouble. of course, you appear to have completely blown by that fact and insisted on re-iterating your original assertion, as if merely repeating it would give it any more validity.
Forum: Toronto Maple Leafs21 jun à 14 h 06
Sujet: Toronto Media is the reason why Matthews wont re-sign
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood</b></div><div>Arizona has the 2nd worst attendance in the league. Also explain Winnipeg then? They make it work with a smaller arena than Quebec city. The reality is, Quebec city would have way more ticket sales which means more money. Arizona is doomed.</div></div>ah, the people who think attendance is actually a key variable in "how well a team's doing" and not "something that is, itself, a product of several different factors." attendance really doesn't tell the whole story, m8. i wouldn't trot that out as an argument alone.


- the Jets don't have to compete with another team in the same province; the Nordiques did and would. and, again, they would just siphon gate revenue away from the Canadiens (and they wouldn't do it well, either; the Canadiens are Québec's team). it would turn into a zero-sum game.

- they wouldn't get more money from a TV deal in the Québec City area compared to the oodles of money they'd get from Phoenix (the weak Canadian dollar, for one, would depress how much money that would actually translate to). TV deals are a big part of how a sports league makes money (look at how the NBA's salary cap jumped by $20 million after their new deal with ESPN, and NBA teams were paying <em>bench players</em> $10 million because they didn't know what to do with all that cap room). again, what does the league care about? moniezzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Québec City doesn't give them nearly as much money as Phoenix would.

- it wouldn't generate any new fans. the league is stupid and short-sighted with its financial gains sometimes, but they at least did one thing right in expanding to new areas to get new fans interested and actually grow the game. why do you think every sports league and their mother is trying to break into China? because nobody else is there right now, and it's the 2nd-most-populated country in the world. it's an un-tapped gold mine of revenue. the Sun Belt was that way for the NHL, and they took advantage of it.


it's amazing that people think that re-location is actually a first option the NHL considers and not a last-ditch option when every other option has fallen through. the Thrashers left because ownership actually did not care in the least about the Thrashers and only cared about how well the Hawks were doing. the ownership situation with the Coyotes has actually stabilized, if you maybe hadn't noticed (which, clearly, you didn't). it's not anywhere close to being bad enough for the league to consider re-location at the moment.
Forum: Toronto Maple Leafs21 jun à 1 h 02
Sujet: Toronto Media is the reason why Matthews wont re-sign
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood</b></div><div>Not at all. Go look at any post on Sportsnet about the Leafs and read the comments. There are as many and usually more trolls posting on those stories than there are Leaf fans. Troll nation is money for the media and they are the ones behind Matthews is leaving. Matthews was totally open to signing an 8 year deal but it was going to cost more, this has all been widely discussed by both Dubas and Matthews. They both said more term would have been a higher hit and it wasn't going to work so they comprised for a shorter term and lower cap. I bet the moment he can resign he'll do another 5 year term or go longer for a bit less since that will stretch into his mid 30's. He loves the spotlight, literally everyone says that and the notion that he'll give that up to go home to a substandard organization is just ridiculous. I would be surprised if Arizona is even a team by then. They'll be in Quebec city by them.</div></div>(disclaimer: this is dumb, and i shouldn't be wading into petty internet arguments)

big lulz that you think the Coyotes are going anywhere, especially to Quebec City, of all places

the Canadian dollar is still weak, Canadian teams still report revenues in CAN while players get paid in USD, the Nordiques always played 2nd fiddle to the Canadiens in Québec, and there's, like, no Anglophone media in Québec City. all the factors that caused the Nordiques to leave in the first place are still there.

why would the NHL expand to Las Vegas and Seattle? moniezzzzzzzzzzz. money that they weren't gonna get from Québec City; the Nordiques would basically just siphon gate revenue away from the Canadiens and result in a zero-sum game.

i mean, there's also the fact that Alex Meruelo is a billionaire, and he just hired the first Hispanic president and CEO of an NHL team, and, in general, he seems pretty committed to getting the Hispanic hockey community in Phoenix interested in the Coyotes.

but semantics, amirite
who needs to take the time to do research instead of just spouting lazy talking points and calling it a day