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DragonRaptorHybrid

Sensible Commentary
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25 juill. 2016
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Penguins de Pittsburgh
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Coyotes de l'Arizona
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Forum: NHL Trades6 août à 12 h 35
Sujet: (PIT/MTL/SJS) - Granlund, Rutta, Petry, DeSmith, Légaré, 2024 1st (PIT), 2025 2nd (PIT) for Pitlick, Hoffman for Karlsson, Hamaliuk, 2026 3rd (SJS)
serious analysis:
- the Pens made out really well here, considering they a) dumped 4 iffy-to-bad contracts and b) only gave up 2 high-round picks in the process
- Nathan Légaré did well in the QMJHL, but it didn't pan out in the AHL, which happens; the same appears to be true for Dillon Hamaliuk
- Mike Grier kinda got painted into a corner not of his own accord (but also kind of his own accord, given how long this dragged out and how he might have gotten a better deal earlier if he hadn't been trying to wring maximum value out of the trade initially)
- lol the Habs ended up winning the Jeff Petry trade by eventually getting both of the big-name players involved in that trade back
Forum: NHL Signings2 juill. à 1 h 19
Sujet: Pittsburgh Penguins signed Ryan Graves (6 Years / $4,500,000 AAV)
I'm guessing the Pens fell out of the Noah Hanifin sweepstakes because they didn't have the assets to pay the Flames, as Rob Rossi's initial reporting seemed to have indicated. Pittsburgh was on Hanifin's short list, and he was amenable to signing an extension if acquired, but this was really the next best thing that didn't require giving up any of the pitiable number of trade assets that Kyle Dubas had on hand.

Graves seems like the kind of player that should mesh well with Kris Letang. Term's a non-issue to me at this point, considering that the Pens have pushed all their chips into the middle of the table at this point. As David Farragut once said, "Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead." It's Cup or bust for Crosby and Friends at this point.
Forum: NHL Signings2 juill. à 0 h 59
Sujet: Arizona Coyotes signed Alex Galchenyuk (1 Year / $775,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Pompadour_de_Armstrong</b></div><div>He took a two-way contract, too. So less actual money if he plays in Tucson. Perfect insurance move and/or camp competition for guys like Jenik. And he loved it here. Best case he comes in motivated as a last chance and Bear can work with him. Worst case, he replaces Carccone in Tucson.

Maybe he can be the translator when the Russian kids get to visit.</div></div>yeah, if i recall correctly, Craig Morgan had reported that Galch had never actually sold his home in Arizona, and he apparently really likes it there.

the Roadrunners need some to do some more work to be a competitive team that's also a good developmental space for their prospects, and Galch was almost a point a game with the Colorado Eagles last year. he can suck up a lot of those hard minutes to shelter younger players who are still developing. and i'm sure it wouldn't hurt if he were still around by the time Simashev and But arrive in NA.
Forum: NHL Trades24 juin à 17 h 47
Sujet: (ARI/LAK) - 2024 2nd (MTL) for Durzi
The Kings definitely needed to get someone off their roster for Jordan Spence; it did seem to me like he had proven his worth in Ontario and needed a roster spot. Curious that they moved on from Durzi instead of Matt Roy, but I would assume Bill Armstrong wasn't as interested in someone like Roy on the roster; Durzi fits more with the current timeline for the Coyotes' roster as opposed to Roy and was likely a more appealing asset to him.

I think Durzi should be looking forward to the opportunity to try and make a case for 1st-pairing mins on the Coyotes' roster; he seems to have the offense necessary for that kind of role but would never have displaced Drew Doughty on the Kings' roster. As it stands, there's really nobody on the existing roster that would likely challenge Durzi for that spot; Josh Brown is a 3rd-pair guy, and Victor Söderström hasn't grabbed that role by the horns yet (though he's only 22, and defenders take longer to develop). I doubt Juuso Välimäki wants to play on his off-side all that much, either (it makes the waiver claim look all that much sillier for the Flames, tbh, though that entire situation is a mess, as we've all discovered). I feel like you can probably teach defensive responsibility to a defender more easily than you can teach them offensive capabilities, though, and I think J. J. Moser should be capable of covering for any weird brain farts that Durzi makes on the ice defensively.
Forum: NHL Signings5 oct. 2022 à 10 h 26
Sujet: Montreal Canadiens signed Logan Mailloux (3 Years / $902,500 AAV)
hello! friendly neighborhood mod here (though i haven't been around the neighborhood much for a while; life, work, mental health issues, and the like have gotten in the way).

quick reminder, from the Forums Rules, "Removal of Posts" section:
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quote:</div>Posts that are sexist, racist, ethnic, gender related, homophobic, malicious, illegal, or in any way discriminatory or hurtful to anyone will not be tolerated. We have the authority to remove such posts immediately in our sole discretion. Such posts will receive 5 infraction points.</div>

not that anybody is currently in trouble, but it's worth re-establishing for newer forum users, especially on a thread as likely to be a hot-button topic as this is.

that'll be all from me; carry on.
Forum: NHL Trades22 mars 2022 à 21 h 20
Sujet: (ANA/VGK) - Kesler, Moore for Dadonov and 2nd Round Pick [REVERSED]
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheBoyDuddus</b></div><div>BLOws my mind that the finger was originally being pointed at Dorion. I'm going to assume that Dorion did pass the list on if it was required but has anyone confirmed that the onus is one him to provide the lsit and not on Vegas to ask the required questions before completing a transaction?

Obviously Vegas is still a new franchise but theyre held in very high regard so wrapping my head around the fact that they had Dadonov for 8 months and never bothered to check in on the M-NTC is mind-boggling.</div></div>tbf i'm just going based off of what I heard Elliotte Friedman report, which is that both Vegas and the league front office were led to believe that Dadonov either didn't have a M-NTC or that his agent hadn't filed the paperwork on time to fulfill the M-NTC. the most recent tweet on this is here:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Latest on Dadonov: Somehow, on trade call from Ottawa to Vegas (a team Dadonov could not block), Golden Knights and NHL were led to believe protection had expired/not filed properly. But, there is correspondence proving no-trade paperwork filed correctly (and on-time) June 30.</p>— Elliotte Friedman (@FriedgeHNIC) <a href="https://twitter.com/FriedgeHNIC/status/1506311773791694850?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">March 22, 2022</a></blockquote>


the thing is, as well, is that, mindbogglingly enough, there's no central registry for trade clauses, and it's a team-to-team thing, which means that both the league and Vegas had to rely upon Ottawa to report the existence of a trade clause. it depends on what happened during that initial trade call between Ottawa and Vegas:
- if no question was explicitly asked, and everybody just assumed Dadonov didn't have any trade clauses, that falls on both the league FO and Vegas for not doing their due diligence.
- but if Pierre Dorion was explicitly asked about a trade clause for Dadonov and he said no, either out of malice or neglect, that's <em>really bad</em> for Ottawa.
Forum: NHL Trades22 mars 2022 à 16 h 55
Sujet: (ANA/VGK) - Kesler, Moore for Dadonov and 2nd Round Pick [REVERSED]
an incredibly ironic sub-note about Vegas apparently not knowing of Dadonov's M-NTC: who is Vegas's capologist?

it's none other than Tom Poraszka, the guy who used to run <strong>General Fanager</strong>.

all of these contract details are <em>publicly available</em> on sites like PuckPedia and CapFriendly. it's already a running joke that the vast majority of team front offices run off of CapFriendly. how did Poraszka not go "hmm lemme just double-check Dadonov's contract on CapFriendly," see the big ol' honkin' <strong>M-NTC</strong> on his contract breakdown, and start asking questions from there?

(tbf, all of the blame seems to be pointing to Pierre Dorion and the Ottawa Senators, but, with the kind of credentials that Poraszka has, it's surprising that this wasn't on his checklist.)
Forum: NHL Signings17 mars 2022 à 15 h 3
Sujet: Pittsburgh Penguins signed Corey Andonovski (2 Years / $925,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BeterChiarelli</b></div><div>If we're looking explicitly at the "gamble" rationale, then why not burn that contract slot on a CHL player with an NHLe that's at least in the double digits? If it's a matter of take time and see what he does, why not offer him an AHL deal as opposed to an NHL contract?

Unless absolutely nobody wants to go to Pittsburgh any more, it's a bad contract no matter how you look at it. There were better-producing kids coming out of junior and other ways to get him into the organizational fold without consuming a name on the 50-man list.</div></div>eh. NHLe's not the end-all be-all statistic that definitely determines how a player will transition to the NHL. it's a model, and, as they say, "all models are wrong, but some are more useful than others." it's an educated guess, but it's still a guess.

there's only so much we, as internet schmucks, can say about how good a player is just from boxcar stats, and actually watching them play and evaluating their on-ice performance is also important. but none of us really have the ability to just casually watch tape of NCAA players online. with how low-risk this signing generally appears to me, i'm mostly defaulting to trust in the Penguins' scouting staff that they've seen something worthwhile in Andonovski's game. i really don't think this signing is going to backfire that badly for the Penguins.
Forum: NHL Signings17 mars 2022 à 12 h 28
Sujet: Pittsburgh Penguins signed Corey Andonovski (2 Years / $925,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BeterChiarelli</b></div><div>I recognize that the Penguins have a puddle for a prospect pool but signing a 2/3 ppg senior off of a very mediocre Princeton team doesn't seem like the way to actually fix that problem.

I'm voting no: I don't even think Andonovski is going to be a factor in the AHL.</div></div>I dunno, I think everybody said the same thing about Drew O'Connor when he signed, and O'Connor's at least an NHL contributor (and he will be more so once Zach Aston-Reese likely leaves in FA).

Bit dramatic to say he won't even cut it in the AHL, methinks. This is the reality of what contending teams that have spent all of their draft capital on NHL players have to do: go bargain-bin hunting in the free agent pool for market inefficiencies to exploit. And they didn't expend much of any assets outside of an SPC slot to get him, so, if he <em>is</em> a bum, the Penguins will shrug, say, "ah, well," and move on. It's generally a fine bet to make, imo.
Forum: Armchair-GM9 janv. 2022 à 18 h 4
Sujet: So the Coyotes have to hit the cap floor next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>bagelbob</b></div><div>yeah, but the precedent for those moves is the buffalo trade for johnny boychuk this year after the eichel deal. in order to get over the cap floor, they acquired boychuk (who was LTIRetired and had one year left) from the islanders for future considerations. accruing cap space is helpful and all that but not helpful enough to give up assets for it. the type of guys you should be going for to pick up assets would be like nick ritchie, lucic, monahan, somebody from the panthers, tyler johnson is a good one, etc.</div></div>I think it's low-key pretty important to have the ability to accrue cap space. Tampa's already in a <em>really bad</em> position. They're sitting at $89M in cap hit right now; while letting Pálat walk would free up $5.3M, Point's cap hit is going up by $2.75M for his extension, and there are no other big-ticket contracts coming off the roster. If Seabrook's $6.875M contract is gone, that puts them at $79.6M, which means now they have actual breathing room instead of faux-breathing room that just pushes the problem later down the line.

Also, sure, the Boychuk trade was the original precedent, but Bill Armstrong's clearly shown that he can extract additional assets to make GMs pay to get cap space.
Forum: Armchair-GM9 janv. 2022 à 17 h 53
Sujet: So the Coyotes have to hit the cap floor next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>EsoYeezus69</b></div><div>I’ve bolded the main things I’ll go over.

1. Klingberg has asked to be traded therefore chances are that he’ll probably not be on the teams roster next year, Nill’s acts of stupidity has shown off and Klingberg was the first to speak out. He’s tired of this joke of a franchise (tbh I don’t blame him). So if he’s out it’s a blow to our d core or more or less our team, which lowers our chances of competing for the cup.

2. Depending on the teams success this year really changes your points, because if we aren’t in a position to win this year, chances are Pavs, Rads and other upcoming free agents will be sold because they don’t bring any value to our team in a long term stand point. If they don’t get moved Nill should certainly get the can (he already should’ve gotten it a long time ago), and if he doesn’t then my other comment gets discarded because I won’t care for this joke of a franchise any longer.

3. After we most likely flop to make the playoffs Nill/Bones should both get fired and then a new GM and Coach get the duties to guide this team through a re-tool. During when our cap situation will most likely be loose and picks will be one of the most valuable assets. Bishop’s cap is only for next year, a year which we shouldn’t be competing.

4. In the scenario we somehow make the playoffs and we keep our upcoming free agents, if Bishop was to be traded it’d probably be in a package to a team like Arizona looking to get to the cap floor, but instead of a dumping of contract it’d be for an asset, which would help a cup run.</div></div>If the Stars do end up moving towards selling assets, this all makes a lot of sense. The main idea was really "who are the Coyotes going to be targeting in order to gain assets?", and those teams are, often, ones trying to push for a Cup, but if the Stars aren't exactly moving in that direction, then, yeah, there would be less incentive to need to trade Bishop.