Quoting: Hobo
So you assume because he has 1 year left and he gets to pick15 teams he is willing to take a trade to that he will automatically not resign? you dont think that part of a trade may have an extension already in play? Given the success rate of round 1 draft picks playing over 250 games is only like 28% there is a higher probability that the Ullmark signs to a team he has had a hand in picking. Even if you look at the averages all up (1969 to 2023) the 10th overall pick averages 35.2 games played in the NHL. There is a reason that most teams suggest stock piling picks as it can be a crap shoot (you hedge odds with more selections). The 1st round yields the most success of any round but it is still far from a guarantee.
If the Devils actually got a goalie they would be scary good, so I hope you are right and that they keep selecting in the top 20 every year of the draft. It literally is the true definition of insanity, watching them do the same thing for the last 12 years and making the playoffs twice.
Value doesn't dictate value at all unless it is a super star player. Value is determined by each team unless the asset is deemed universally spectacular - needs don't dictate where they use value, it dictates where they place value. For the Devils, Is there more value for a 10th over all pick or a goalie that improves their current team instantly and likely gets them into the playoffs?
A rental is a rental.
There is more value in the 10th overall pick. Because you can use other assets for a goalie. If every team who needed a goalie paid through the teeth, why have none of these through the teeth trades ever actually happened? Are you claiming NJD is the only team to ever need a goalie?
I can tell you that stat about 35 games is complete bull****. 35x54 years would be 1900 games. Teemu Selanne alone played 1400+.
Every single 10th overall pick from 1985 to 2021 has played more than 35 games. The real average is around 500 games for a 10th overall pick.
Linus Ullmark is not eligible for an extension until after the draft, so no an extension could not be in play. 31 year olds "traded with extension" also isn't a real thing that happens to increase value. It's something fans say to pretend their rentals aren't rentals.
NJD in the last 12 years is literally the team who has paid the highest price for a goalie, 9th overall for 26 year old cory schneider, who was 1st in SV%, 1st in GAA, and 4th in GSAx over the previous 3 years (his comp would be swayman, not ullmark). How are you including the Cory Schneider years as somehow "cheaping out on a goalie".