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Eric Duhatschek from The Athletic reviews some NJD goalie trades

Créé par: NHLfan10506
Équipe: 2024-25 Devils du New Jersey
Date de création initiale: 26 mai 2024
Publié: 26 mai 2024
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
The Athletic’s Eric Duhatschek review six goalie trades for New Jersey. He seemed to view the first Calgary option as most likely, so I am using that one for this ACGM.

But overall, he did seem like Calgary was NJD’s best match on a goalie. Although he offered a new take on why the February trade didn’t take place: “My understanding is that the original talks stalled because Calgary was holding out for Dawson Mercer, whom the Devils weren’t prepared to trade. New Jersey would almost certainly have moved Holtz, but Calgary’s greater long-term need is at center, not the wing.” Up until now, only speculation had put Mercer into Markstrom talks. All the major reporters at the time were saying it was Holtz.

But it would explain Fitzy’s “extortion” comment a bit.

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He also reviewed some Brady Tkachuck trades from multiple teams and simply said no to all of them because Ottawa isn’t trading Tkachuk. He added, “The sense I get from talking to people around the league is that, yes, he’s getting frustrated by the team’s lack of success and has made that frustration known to the powers that be. But that’s not the same as asking out.“

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Personally, I don’t like any of them for New Jersey. For that I think is most likely, I am leaning towards option of either a move down with 2024 pick or dealing protected 2025 pick if the goalie dominoes fall after the draft (all signs point to goalie carousel moving after draft). So the Calgary second option seems to me to be most likely of all of them (if it were NJD pick for Markstrom (50%) and Vancouver pick).

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(UFAs are just placeholders)
Signatures de joueurs autonomes
RFAANSCAP HIT
33 500 000 $
2900 000 $
2800 000 $
2800 000 $
2800 000 $
UFAANSCAP HIT
21 500 000 $
21 500 000 $
24 000 000 $
CRÉÉANSCAP HIT
Brandsegg Nygard, Michael
3950 000 $
Transactions
1.
NJD
  1. Kuzmenko, Andrei
  2. Markström, Jacob (3 000 000 $ retained)
  3. Choix de 3e ronde en 2025 (CGY)
Détails additionnels:
There were three packages listed and this was the most promising. Duhatschek says “this proposal is interesting because it includes Holtz, and Casey as a sweetener, and also holds out the promise of a future first-round draft choice if the Devils prosper with Markström in net. If offered, the Flames would have to seriously consider it.“
CGY
  1. Casey, Seamus
  2. Holtz, Alexander
  3. Schmid, Akira [Droits de RFA]
  4. Choix de 2e ronde en 2025 (NJD)
Détails additionnels:
“Conditional pick that upgrades to a first-round pick if the Devils make the second round of the playoffs in 2025”
2.
NJD
    Alternate #2

    Jacob Markstrom
    2nd round pick (#33)

    In this scenario, “Calgary trades Markström to San Jose for pick No. 14.” And then, “San Jose trades Markström plus a second-round pick to New Jersey for pick No. 10”

    Duhatschek suggested this route was “unnecessary” and that a similar route could be done without San Jose. While this route “gets it done” it is not “reasonable value”
    CGY
      Alternate #2

      1st round pick (#10)
      3.
      NJD
        Alternate #3

        Jacob Markstrom
        2025 5th round pick

        While this one provided “in the ballpark as reasonable value for Markström, but as framed here, both teams say no.” He didn’t really explained his reasoning. (Although from Devils side, including Siegenthaler and no retention on Markstrom are probably the issues)
        CGY
          Alternate #3

          Alexander Holtz
          Jonas Siegenthaler
          2025 2nd round pick
          4.
          NJD
            Nashville option #1

            Juuse Saros

            “Casey and the 10th pick feels like an overpay, even for a goalie of Saros’s pedigree. The Predators, a team in a soft rebuild and stocking assets for the future, would have to consider it. A lot depends on Saros, though, too. Nashville is trying to sign him to an extension, and Saros has indicated publicly he doesn’t want to leave. If both sides are to be believed, then Nashville may ultimately keep Saros and move on from prospect Yaroslav Askarov instead.”
            NSH
              Nashville option #1

              1st round pick (#10)
              Seamus Casey
              5.
              NJD
                Nashville option #2

                Juuse Saros

                Duhatschek dismissed this one outright. “If New Jersey was unwilling to give up Mercer in a deal for Markström, it’s unlikely they would be willing to trade him to Nashville for Saros, either.”
                NSH
                  Nashville option 2

                  Dawson Mercer
                  2024 3rd round pick (#92)
                  6.
                  NJD
                    Boston option

                    Linus Ullmark

                    He said Bruins would do it, but since New Jersey could move that pick for better option in goal, it would depend on Devils view of Ullmark. Using Calgary’s goalie as example, Duhatschek said, “Markström probably is better suited to play as a true No. 1, whereas Ullmark likely would top out at 50 games. But with Jake Allen now in the fold in New Jersey as a backup, maybe that’s good enough.”
                    BOS
                      Boston option

                      2024 1st round pick (#10)
                      Frais appliqués
                      Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
                      2024
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de WPG
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de COL
                      Logo de NJD
                      2025
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de WPG
                      Logo de CGY
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de NJD
                      2026
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de DAL
                      Logo de WPG
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de NJD
                      Logo de NJD
                      TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
                      2387 700 000 $85 557 230 $1 538 897 $5 100 000 $2 142 770 $
                      Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      8 800 000 $8 800 000 $
                      AG, AD
                      NMC
                      UFA - 7
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      8 000 000 $8 000 000 $
                      C
                      UFA - 6
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      7 875 000 $7 875 000 $
                      AD, AG
                      NMC
                      UFA - 7
                      Logo de Flames de Calgary
                      5 500 000 $5 500 000 $
                      AG, AD
                      M-NTC
                      UFA - 1
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      7 250 000 $7 250 000 $
                      C
                      M-NTC
                      UFA - 3
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      3 500 000 $3 500 000 $
                      AD, C
                      RFA
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
                      AG, AD
                      NMC
                      UFA - 3
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      3 150 000 $3 150 000 $
                      C, AG
                      NTC
                      UFA - 2
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      800 000 $800 000 $
                      AD, C
                      RFA
                      1 500 000 $1 500 000 $
                      AG
                      UFA - 6
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      1 000 000 $1 000 000 $
                      AD, C
                      UFA - 1
                      1 500 000 $1 500 000 $
                      AD, AG
                      UFA - 2
                      Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      3 400 000 $3 400 000 $
                      DG
                      M-NTC
                      UFA - 4
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      9 000 000 $9 000 000 $
                      DD
                      NMC
                      UFA - 4
                      Logo de Flames de Calgary
                      1 125 000 $1 125 000 $
                      G
                      NMC
                      UFA - 2
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance1 850 000 $$2M)
                      DG/DD
                      RFA - 1
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      918 333 $918 333 $ (Bonis de performance3 250 000 $$3M)
                      DD
                      RFA - 2
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      1 925 000 $1 925 000 $
                      G
                      M-NTC
                      UFA - 1
                      4 000 000 $4 000 000 $
                      DG/DD
                      UFA - 6
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      4 400 000 $4 400 000 $
                      DD
                      M-NTC
                      UFA - 3
                      Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      1 050 000 $1 050 000 $
                      DG
                      RFA - 1
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      1 350 000 $1 350 000 $
                      AD
                      UFA - 1
                      Logo de Devils du New Jersey
                      800 000 $800 000 $
                      AG
                      RFA

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                      26 mai à 15 h 19
                      #26
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                      Quoting: gmgb
                      If NJ gets to negotiate an extension with Saros as that proposal suggested, Casey and a 2025 1st feels light to me.


                      (Both feel like too much to me)

                      I was just saying that should have been used in example instead of 2024 pick.
                      26 mai à 17 h 7
                      #27
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                      Quoting: NHLfan10506
                      I had seen that about the Swayman ask too. I think one said Sweeney told Fitzgerald to “pound sand”. I don’t think any GM would be annoyed by another GM asking about their players. It happens all the time.

                      It’s not like case either Calgary, where the GM agreed to a trade, got player to not only waive, but also address the locker room to inform of trade…then call back and say, “we want more”….and believing somehow they had created leverage via media leaks.


                      Depends on how many times it was brought up and at what stage in the negotiations. If it happens when you are closing a deal, it can be viewed as a bait and switch comment that forces you to wonder if the other GM is serious.
                      26 mai à 17 h 14
                      #28
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                      Quoting: Celtics21
                      Depends on how many times it was brought up and at what stage in the negotiations. If it happens when you are closing a deal, it can be viewed as a bait and switch comment that forces you to wonder if the other GM is serious.


                      Deal was done, agreed to…but I think ownership jumped in and pulled carpet from under their GM
                      26 mai à 17 h 24
                      #29
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                      Quoting: NHLfan10506
                      Deal was done, agreed to…but I think ownership jumped in and pulled carpet from under their GM


                      Assuming you are talking about the Markstrom deal? Who knows what was agreed to or not? Curious to see if it became about Mercer or not. I find the Athletic to be highly speculative in general.
                      dgibb10 a aimé ceci.
                      26 mai à 17 h 43
                      #30
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                      Quoting: Celtics21
                      Assuming you are talking about the Markstrom deal? Who knows what was agreed to or not? Curious to see if it became about Mercer or not. I find the Athletic to be highly speculative in general.


                      Yes, the Calgary deal. There was never even really a link between Boston and New Jersey.

                      The deal was Holtz for Markstrom. Conroy agreed, Markstrom waived, addressed teammates to tell them he had been dealt. Then Conroy called and said, “we want more”.
                      26 mai à 18 h 3
                      #31
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                      Quoting: NHLfan10506
                      Yes, the Calgary deal. There was never even really a link between Boston and New Jersey.

                      The deal was Holtz for Markstrom. Conroy agreed, Markstrom waived, addressed teammates to tell them he had been dealt. Then Conroy called and said, “we want more”.


                      I did not read every article, but I seriously doubt a deal was agreed upon and then reneged. If so, then would Fitzgerald revisit the deal OR is Calgary off his trade list?

                      Maybe it was far enough along to discuss with Markstorm and ownership didn’t like the optics of trading Markstrom for a player who has been designated as a disappointment at best. Conroy seemed decisive in other deals.

                      Not sure why Markstrom is different than Tanev, Lindholm, and Hanifin other than maybe it had a longer timeline. It sounds like a BS narrative coming out of NJ at a high level.
                      26 mai à 20 h 59
                      #32
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                      There is no world where NJ pays for a 36 yearold goalie with a .900 over his last 2 years making 6 mil a year
                      26 mai à 21 h 1
                      #33
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                      Quoting: Celtics21
                      I wouldn’t be shocked if Calgary held out for Mercer in that deal especially if they don’t buy Saros as an option and views guys like Gus and Knight as desperation plays.

                      The irony is I think Boston would trade Ullmark for Seamus Casey straight up if offered. Not sure of any package with Alex Holtz as the primary return.

                      While I prefer Saros, Ullmark has been better the last two years. Same with Markstrom and he’s younger.


                      You think a 36 yearold goalie with a .900 over his last two year is worth anything more than a 4th? Let alone a 22 yearold two way center with 60-70 point potential?
                      26 mai à 22 h 50
                      #34
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                      Quoting: Bigboi69
                      You think a 36 yearold goalie with a .900 over his last two year is worth anything more than a 4th? Let alone a 22 yearold two way center with 60-70 point potential?


                      To be fair, that 22 year old center is coming off a bad year and frankly there should be questions of which year is the anomaly while that older goalie was playing extremely well at the the time.

                      I do agree it is too high of an ask. Consider the success rate of late first rounders, they really are kind of fools gold. Most likely turning into an AHL player, but with enough of a hit rate that you get the occasional bump.

                      Markstrom is worth a lot more than a 4th, but not worth Dawson Mercer. There is a lot of space in between those data points.
                      3 juin à 17 h 38
                      #35
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                      Quoting: Celtics21
                      To be fair, that 22 year old center is coming off a bad year and frankly there should be questions of which year is the anomaly while that older goalie was playing extremely well at the the time.

                      I do agree it is too high of an ask. Consider the success rate of late first rounders, they really are kind of fools gold. Most likely turning into an AHL player, but with enough of a hit rate that you get the occasional bump.

                      Markstrom is worth a lot more than a 4th, but not worth Dawson Mercer. There is a lot of space in between those data points.



                      Markstrom is old as **** hasn’t been good in multiple years now and has a bad contract he has next to no trade value
                      3 juin à 19 h 1
                      #36
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                      Quoting: Bigboi69
                      Markstrom is old as **** hasn’t been good in multiple years now and has a bad contract he has next to no trade value


                      He was good last year for whatever it’s worth
                       
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