It's going to be a rough 2 years

I’m not sure about the whole Campbell on ltir and you need to factor in Browns overages for next year, which very well might be the full 3.25.

Also Holloway and broberg are likely more expensive than the deals you have them signed to.

No way to know how much the RFA's will he worth next summer, some of them will get opportunities in 23-24 that they didn't get before. But even if they perform well, if they don't have arbitration rights the GM will probably be able to keep their cap hit low. Any that play well will get in the $1.2M range - more than you've projected but not by a lot. Will Tarasenko get a $15M offer? Best he could do this summer was $5M x1, but again it'll hinge on his performance in 23-24.

This is the best team in the league offensively already, I think I'd prefer they spent that $15M on defensive upgrades if possible. But if Tarasenko is healthy that's a pretty scary looking offense.