Shoutout to @MrApplesauce: I liked his AGM and wanted to make my own tweaks and expand on his work (https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/448277?post_id=2318565). Keep in mind I don't know the Sabres super well: I only really maintain an interest in rebuilding teams.
Tankathon simulation has the Sabres picking third behind the Senators and Devils: my suspicion is that Beniers and Power go first and second overall, leaving the Sabres with Guenther. With the 9th overall pick, I would see the Sabres take Chaz Lucius. The 16th pick would be used to select Matthew Coronato.
Given these picks and assets already in the system, I think the Sabres 'rebuild' should only last 3 years tops and will correlate with the development of the 2021 draft selections: the trio all return to the NCAA/WHL for a season, play in Rochester for a year, and then look to make the big club. Along the way, the Sabres have a near-guaranteed shot at one of Lambert, Savoie, and Wright, as well as a top prospect from the 2023 draft. In the meantime, Laaksonen, Quinn, Samuelsson, and UPL will likely graduate into full-time NHLers for the 2022-23 season while the graduations of Chisholm, Coronato, Guenther, Lucius, Lundkvist, and Peterka all follow suit with the selection of a top prospect at the 2023 draft.
I figure Skinner is going to be bought out at the end of the 2023 season regardless of performance over the next two years. There's a lot of risk in that contract and none of it has been warranted lately. Kapanen and Olofsson are likely Sabres for at least until this point as well, possibly until the end of 2025 when it's no longer feasible to keep their cap on the roster.
The Sabres are going to look top capitalize on waning Bruins and Panthers teams in order to compete for a playoff spot with the likes of Detroit, Montreal, and Ottawa with a fast, high-skilled, very young roster. The selling point for the Pegulas to reinvest in the Sabres like they did in the Bills will likely require an internal cap over the next 5ish years: after bonuses are accounted for, let the extra near-$10M be used to redesign the scouting departments and facilities accessible via the players. This show of good faith to the fans, players, and prospects must be made.
The only reason I don't maximize the available cash for the Pegulas to throw at upper management is because I believe there's an opportunity for the Sabres to pick up Vancouver's pick by 'outbidding' other teams in terms of value going back to the Canucks: Davidsson being a former 2nd rounder, likely not interested in signing in Buffalo, and needing a change in scenery outside of Sweden represents more value going back to Vancouver than most teams looking to take on Eriksson for the Canucks' draft capital. I'd even be willing to include up to the Bruins' 2nd round pick. Key point is getting pick #9 for a year of Louis is always going to be worthwhile to a rebuilding organization.
You can't just assume players will waive NTCs or NMCs to strictly benefit the Rangers. Other clubs have to be capable of taking those players on at a price they're willing to pay. Trading from the ilk of Fox, Kakko, Kravtsov, Lafreniere, Miller, and the two goaltenders doesn't make sense in terms of building a competent roster. Those are the players you move heaven and earth to keep.
My point isn't that Lafreniere isn't expendable: it's that the internal value of Kakko is higher to the Rangers right now.
The traded you made has laf, Chytil, nils and a first and I’m telling you that won’t happen all of it. And I’m also telling you that laf wouldn’t be part of the deal. You can argue that kakko has more value to us but the point is laf wouldn’t be in the deal let alone adding that much also. If we had to trade Chytil or kravstov cause we are running out of cap in the future then oh well we will get value back for them but the point is we can afford them all now. Back to the laf point he played half a season and didn’t get a proper off season and didn’t play hockey in over 7-8 months. If you think we’d trade him after that when his value isn’t as high as it was before he played you’re crazy.
Oh I thought u meant zibby going in a trade not just leaving for free agency or another team. You might be able to make an argument for buch this year because of his play and the pk but kakko is probably our best defensive forward and definitely not our third best defensive rw. If you think that I’m convinced you didn’t even watch any games and even if you didn’t look at all the stats and analytics backing that kakko is probably our best defensive forward from last year if not top 2-3.
Yeah I meant it as Mika was leaving after next season via free agency. Don't get me wrong Kakko has improved greatly in the defensive aspect of the game (expected goals against is all the way down to somewhere around 1.9) but Buch has become one of our most reliable two way forwards both 5v5 and on the pk.
Yeah I meant it as Mika was leaving after next season via free agency. Don't get me wrong Kakko has improved greatly in the defensive aspect of the game (expected goals against is all the way down to somewhere around 1.9) but Buch has become one of our most reliable two way forwards both 5v5 and on the pk.
Ok I said you could make an argument for buch but other than that I don’t think anyone else is ahead of kakko and definitely not kravstov.
You're blatantly overlooking the point of the return on this dump being higher than anything anyone else is offering, including up to recouping a 2nd round pick.
I'm not against bumping the pick to 2022, but you're likely not getting a return beyond Davidsson.
I fully believe the trade should have been Thomas, the two cap dumps, and the picks as they were OR Kyrou, the two dumps, and two firsts. Thompson was a mistake from the get-go.
I am serious. O'Reilly for Tarasenko would have been a win-win.