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Marner Has Got To Go

Équipe: 2019-20 Maple Leafs de Toronto
Date de création initiale: 18 juill. 2019
Publié: 18 juill. 2019
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Can we just stop thinking Mitch Marner should get similar money to Auston Matthews? This is getting beyond ridiculous. Ever since entering the league, no player has scored more even strength goals than Matthews, Marner is absolutely not in the same category in terms of individual ability.

William Nylander is a better individual player than Mitch Marner. So far in their careers, Nylander’s Corsi for is 54% whereas Marner’s is only 40%. In fact, each star forward on the Leafs found more success playing with Nylander than with Marner. Kadri has a .86 G/60 playing with Nylander and .85 playing with Marner. Van Riemsdyk has a 1.33 G/60 playing with Nylander and 1.18 with Marner. Tavares has a 6.27 G/60 playing with Nylander and 1.53 with Marner. Matthews has a 1.53 G/60 with Nylander and a 1.04 with Marner. Just stop for a moment and take a look at Marner’s possession metrics and advanced stats: https://imgur.com/gallery/nVdJHWP
https://imgur.com/a/j04H3vO He literally gets carried by Tavares and is only effective when JT is holding his hand. Across the past 3 seasons at 5v5 in comparison to Marner, Nylander has a higher...
iCF60: 15.03 vs 14.44
iFF60: 11.33 vs 10.64
iSF60: 7.94 vs 7.37
ixG60: 0.78 vs 0.66
So literally the only A3Z metric that rates Marner higher than Nylander across the past 3 years is...nothing.

It is utterly mind-bottling that people think Marner is comparable to Nylander- one drives play at an elite level while the other just waits around for elite centres such as Kadri and Tavares to carry him. I don’t see Marner being anywhere near Nylander’s level. Marner has been sheltered and protected by elite play driving linemates whereas Nylander’s results encompass all manner of adversity and babcock lunacy.
Honestly Mitch Marner in reality is literally the same type of player as Conor Sheary, an average or below average player in terms of skill that relies on elite centres to carry them.
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  1. Marner, Mitchell
  2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2020 (TOR)
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TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2181 500 000 $76 002 199 $0 $82 500 $5 497 801 $
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C, AG, AD
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DG
UFA - 1
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2 750 000 $2 750 000 $
DD
UFA - 1
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700 000 $700 000 $
G
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863 333 $863 333 $
DG/DD
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18 juill. 2019 à 22 h 13
#51
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Banni
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Quoting: Jangle29
I think he was still somewhat bothered by his busted shoulder but ya he has times during the season he was not engaged. But they all did it at some points. Tavares started a bit slow, Marner has long stretches near the end where he scored at a 50 pt pace, Nylander was terrible for the first month or so. Matthews needs to be an 82 game players this season


Exactly, Marner was terrible last season. Always coughing up the puck and turning it over, dude couldn’t do anything right.
18 juill. 2019 à 23 h 52
#52
Jangle29
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Quoting: RahefIssaLeafsHockey
Auston Matthews has already surpassed Sidney Crosby at his peak. Sorry that I hurt your feelings but the numbers don’t lie. Matthews has scored more even strength goals and a higher shooting percentage. He has a greater goals per 60 and his linemates all see a greater goals per 60 playing with him. Plus Matthews’ Corsi possession metrics are better.


Lol my feelings are shattered.
This is the best cap friendly post of all time. Matthews is better than Mcdavid AND Crosby.
Someone needs to archive this or something
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19 juill. 2019 à 0 h 0
#53
LongtimeLeafsufferer
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Quoting: RahefIssaLeafsHockey
I disagree. In ice hockey, nothing beats advanced stats and possession metrics because they provide straight facts. I am someone who’s played competitive ice hockey for a decade, but even I know that. Factors such as the eye test and basic stats for example points per game are not an accurate way to assess talent and skill.


You have just proved what a troll you are. You used the term. "ice hockey". and even said said you even "played competitive ice hockey". Not even a miid fan of the the NHL (or such leagues) uses the term "ice hockey". And no fan on this site would ever use the term "ice hockey" to say they played the game. Sorry bud, you have never laced up skates in your life. And despite being able to watch a NHL game world wide, doubt if you have even seen more than a handful games of TV or the internet.
19 juill. 2019 à 8 h 37
#54
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Quoting: RahefIssaLeafsHockey
Matthews has one of the best 2 way games in the league. Look at his possession numbers and amount of takeaways. You people are really hopeless.


Let's start with the takeaways since you so kindly brought it up. And from here forward I'll order things as his seasons have gone 16/17, 17/18, 18/19.
They're trending in the wrong direction 65,57,48. Yes he missed some games so let's look at his giveaways...they're trending in the wrong direction as well 38,54,54.
How about something simple like GF and GA? Same thing...49/46, 63/31, 55/58. Looks like his line really finished 2 years ago..
How about zone starts? What does his coach think of his defensive game? Offensive zone start % - 71.99, 57.52, 65.96. Uh oh...
Hdgf%?? - 61.70, 71.43, 51.56...looks like someone got hurt and stopped going to the tough areas.
On ice sv% - 92.47, 94.15, 90.07...look, these coincide with the above numbers too.
What else could there be to determine how the league might view a players achievements?? Awards! Let's have a look at the Selke voting because if he is as good as you believe, he must have almost won the trophy.
16/17 - 4 votes. Yay, tied for 38th.
17/18 - none? No votes at all?
18/19 - none again? What? How could this be?

I can appreciate that you've found some stats and when you pick and choose they can be manipulated to show different opinions. I just did it too.

What Matthews is, is raw. He put up a great rookie year, then started to coast a little in year 2 because his line outscored everyone it played against. Other teams take their foot off the gas when they're down by a few goals. Then last year it got real. His linemates changed, the effort wasn't there and after the puck stopped going in on every shot, he wasn't the same. Could be injuries, could be contract negotiations, could be pining for Nylander, could just be that he expected everything to be given to him.
He didn't have a bad year offensively, but defensively, he was average at best. If he commits to the defensive side of the puck the same way Bergeron, Barkov, or Toews does, his contract will be a bargain. If he even just mirrors Tavares, he will be set and so will the Leafs.

My suggestion to you with all your wisdom and advanced stats knowledge, is don't bully people with it. It's one thing to throw out some numbers, it's an entirely other thing altogether when you do it ignorantly.
19 juill. 2019 à 8 h 38
#55
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Quoting: Jangle29
Lol my feelings are shattered.
This is the best cap friendly post of all time. Matthews is better than Mcdavid AND Crosby.
Someone needs to archive this or something


Screenshots. President of the Matthews fanclub. Mom?
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19 juill. 2019 à 12 h 18
#56
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Quoting: RahefIssaLeafsHockey
Even strength goals are the most important and valuable type of point earned.


Darn, I missed the rule in place where an even strength goal is worth more on the scoreboard than a power play or short handed goal. What does your analytics say about a player who is on the ice for more goals scored against than for?
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19 juill. 2019 à 12 h 28
#57
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Quoting: gmurrayt
Darn, I missed the rule in place where an even strength goal is worth more on the scoreboard than a power play or short handed goal. What does your analytics say about a player who is on the ice for more goals scored against than for?


I can’t believe you are serious. Plus minus is an extremely misleading stat. Phil Kessel had a terrible plus minus, that must mean he sucks.
19 juill. 2019 à 18 h 57
#58
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Quoting: RahefIssaLeafsHockey
Matthews has better possession metrics and advanced stats. Plus the better all round player.


I'm ss this response. I've met a lot of leafs fans who I don't get along with, even on this website, but I'm pretty sure that they'll agree with me on this that McDavid is better than Matthews.
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19 juill. 2019 à 19 h 2
#59
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Quoting: RahefIssaLeafsHockey
Matthews has one of the best 2 way games in the league. Look at his possession numbers and amount of takeaways. You people are really hopeless.


Philip danault has better possession numbers. Does that mean danault = matthews?
19 juill. 2019 à 19 h 10
#60
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Quoting: RahefIssaLeafsHockey
I can’t believe you are serious. Plus minus is an extremely misleading stat. Phil Kessel had a terrible plus minus, that must mean he sucks.


Mark giordano was plus 34. he won the norris.
Bergeron was plus 23.he won the selke. Plus minus isn't accuarate, but it matters
Btw according to your logic about Matthews being better than crosby, Gallaghar has more even strength goals this past season than Matthews. Gallaghars line of Danault and Tatar were the 2nd best 5v5 line in the league, and the best possession line in the league. Gallaghar is also ahead of Matthews in every possession metric. Marc Dumont wrote an article on this at the athletic.
So according to your logic, Gallaghar > Matthews. Thank you
19 juill. 2019 à 19 h 25
#61
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Quoting: Goulet
Let's start with the takeaways since you so kindly brought it up. And from here forward I'll order things as his seasons have gone 16/17, 17/18, 18/19.
They're trending in the wrong direction 65,57,48. Yes he missed some games so let's look at his giveaways...they're trending in the wrong direction as well 38,54,54.
How about something simple like GF and GA? Same thing...49/46, 63/31, 55/58. Looks like his line really finished 2 years ago..
How about zone starts? What does his coach think of his defensive game? Offensive zone start % - 71.99, 57.52, 65.96. Uh oh...
Hdgf%?? - 61.70, 71.43, 51.56...looks like someone got hurt and stopped going to the tough areas.
On ice sv% - 92.47, 94.15, 90.07...look, these coincide with the above numbers too.
What else could there be to determine how the league might view a players achievements?? Awards! Let's have a look at the Selke voting because if he is as good as you believe, he must have almost won the trophy.
16/17 - 4 votes. Yay, tied for 38th.
17/18 - none? No votes at all?
18/19 - none again? What? How could this be?

I can appreciate that you've found some stats and when you pick and choose they can be manipulated to show different opinions. I just did it too.

What Matthews is, is raw. He put up a great rookie year, then started to coast a little in year 2 because his line outscored everyone it played against. Other teams take their foot off the gas when they're down by a few goals. Then last year it got real. His linemates changed, the effort wasn't there and after the puck stopped going in on every shot, he wasn't the same. Could be injuries, could be contract negotiations, could be pining for Nylander, could just be that he expected everything to be given to him.
He didn't have a bad year offensively, but defensively, he was average at best. If he commits to the defensive side of the puck the same way Bergeron, Barkov, or Toews does, his contract will be a bargain. If he even just mirrors Tavares, he will be set and so will the Leafs.

My suggestion to you with all your wisdom and advanced stats knowledge, is don't bully people with it. It's one thing to throw out some numbers, it's an entirely other thing altogether when you do it ignorantly.


I love this comment, I've had people throw stats and corsi numbers at me like they proven facts, and I'd always say, numbers are propaganda which can be used to paint any picture.
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23 juill. 2019 à 10 h 19
#62
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Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
Hmmmm so last summer when Nylander held out everyone was hating on him and saying how Marner is so much better. Now it’s reversed. Leafs nation truly has one of a kind logic


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
Marner is a cap dump. Anyone willing to take that ludicrous 10.5 million dollar contract would make Kyle Dubas so grateful.


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
Hey, don't you dare try bring logic, a valid argument or their own thoughts into this to use against them! Do you know who you are talking to?? That's a Toronto sports fan, peasant!!


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
troll account


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
But who replaces the 90+ points you just traded away (with a D & pick I might add) for nothing.

Just make a stupid trade and leave it at that with a 21 man roster even without Marner?

I just read the same damn thing in 3 different other threads and you just mashed it all together with no answer to the problem, your posts are just a b**** fit really.

The posts are no better off than the ludicrous Marner signings we see.


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
You cannot call trolls on Capfriendly all fans. Marner is the better player but marginally. Its not even opinion anymore. It's fact backed up with every stat possible


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
I know the Leafs get a lot of play on this site.....both Leaf fans and haters,

Sure we can discuss/argue the contract of Marner but it MLSE and Marner that will have to agree on contract or else Marner can sign elsewhere throughout the world.
But it just isn't Marner. What about the all the other good RFAs that have just come off their ELC....Point, Rantanen, Tzachuk, Connor, Laine, McAvoy and others that haven't signed. Yea, Marner might want to make Matthews/Nylander comparisons, but really most salary comparisons are made league wide not just one team, Leafs will argue 9.5 Kucherov and 8,45m Aho.
Sorry, even Leaf management won't be so disrespectful to Marner as to compare to Connor Sheary. So really a better argument is needed form the author of this post


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
Mcdavid has more even strength goals just saying..


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
Can we trade away @RahefIssaLeafsHockey to another website? PLEASE! He/she needs to go. he/she is below average level, who needs Corsi or metrics to carry him/her and drive her arguments. It's mind boggling for sure. just look at these stats;

https://imgur.com/dumbass/


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
Don't even bother arguing it. Most people are only saying Marner is worth Matthews money because they're Leaf haters and think that every player is worth 3 million more than they actually are. Try trading Marner for any half decent player and watch as everyone says "Marner isn't worth that much"


Quoting: TheresAlwaysNextYear
I think Dubus created this thread just to see the reaction of a Marner trade , probably should post it on Darren Farris forehead


Please check out my all time Czech Republic team and let me know in the comment section what you think of my selections! https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1345965
23 juill. 2019 à 10 h 20
#63
Marner Enthusiast
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Quoting: Goulet
Mark giordano was plus 34. he won the norris.
Bergeron was plus 23.he won the selke. Plus minus isn't accuarate, but it matters
Btw according to your logic about Matthews being better than crosby, Gallaghar has more even strength goals this past season than Matthews. Gallaghars line of Danault and Tatar were the 2nd best 5v5 line in the league, and the best possession line in the league. Gallaghar is also ahead of Matthews in every possession metric. Marc Dumont wrote an article on this at the athletic.
So according to your logic, Gallaghar > Matthews. Thank you


Quoting: Goulet
Darn, I missed the rule in place where an even strength goal is worth more on the scoreboard than a power play or short handed goal. What does your analytics say about a player who is on the ice for more goals scored against than for?


Quoting: Goulet
Screenshots. President of the Matthews fanclub. Mom?


Please check out my all time Czech Republic team and let me know in the comment section what you think of my selections! https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1345965
23 juill. 2019 à 10 h 23
#64
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Quoting: Plumber
Hmmm you’re way of speaking and almost word for word comparison seems eerily similar to that of BRANDONDUBINSKYGOAT.

Just saying.

https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/252446

Scroll down for the comment.


Quoting: mondo
this guy is a legitimate psychopath. it's one thing to disagree with someone's takes, it's another to parrot them constantly for weeks trying to get a rise out of people, then pretending to be that person.


Please check out my all time Czech Republic team and let me know in the comment section what you think of my selections! https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1345965
 
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