Quoting: trickydick55
A. offensive contributions from Defensemen are not solely reliant on points. starting the play out of the defensive zone is a key aspect of how D drive offense and as such Zone exit tracking has become a very popular metric inside NHL front offices. if you're getting hung up on Point production in a year where everyone on the Isles is adjusting to a new, defense oriented system, you're missing the forest for the trees.
B. Puck moving defensemen do not grow on trees either. and you can get one in UFA? who. the one's available next year are Jake Gardiner and Eric Karlsson. JG is easily 6-7 AAV and EK is closer to 9-10 AAV. you could go the stralman route but h's a RH and would be more than Hickey AAV.
C. You clearly do not pay attention to the Defenseman trade market. Hamonic: a 1st and 2 2nds. probably the most comparable to hickey. worth more because he's a bigger body and a little bit better of a shot. Nick Hjalmersson is slow as sh.it and has very little offense to his game but he went for a guy who went 20th overall and a guy who went 39th overall-at the time he had 2 yrs left on his deal. getting guys who are proven reliable D men in the league is tough. D prospects take a long time to develop and are often more likely to bust than not. this is a guy who has a proven track record of very good defensive zone awareness and puck moving ability signed for 4 years at a very low cap hit and no movement restrictions.
now all that being said, if montreal has a guy on their board that is falling to them at their projected spot which is like 20-22, then they aren't going to trade that pick. but if they don't see a player they really want, they can easily move that pick for defensive help and trade back up the ladder, as they would have (after this trade) 3 second round picks
A) So we're not getting a point producing offensive dman, we're getting a zone exits dman? Puh leeze. You don't trade 1sts for middling players. Hickey is a bottom pairing player on the Isles, why would he be anything other than that with the Habs? I hear a lot of excuses for a guy YOU are trying to trade to the Habs. Don't piss on my head and tell me its raining. He doesn't solve any of our problems. His value is at an all time low this year. Habs are a retooling team that isn't going all in, especially on Hickey so there is no reason to trade any 1sts. So why are we making this trade? Answer because some Isles fan wants to try and get another 1st out of someone. Not a chance.
B) Puck moving dman of those guys skill level, no. There is but Gardiner, Karlsson maybe a few others could be considered. That of Hickey's skill level? Your telling me Edler, Myers, Kronwall, Stralman, heck even Bouwmeester couldn't get the job done without losing a 1st? Once again, Puh leeze..... Hickey does not provide any added value over those guys to warrant moving that far up into the 1st round for. So what if they are older, my team doesn't lose a 1st in the process. Habs have tons of cap space, overpaying slightly isn't problem. Trading a 1st for a non solution is however.
C) You clearly are blinded by 1 hit wonders and bad Gm'ing. Guess the going market for Adam Larsson type defenceman is an MVP winger who was selected 1st overall in his draft year? Bad trades happen all the time, Calgary (Just like Ottawa did with Duchene) paid for Hamonic dearly and got burned. Don't try and pawn your infinite wisdom upon the masses by using bad trades that almost every person in the hockey world knows was a bad trade. If you use these trades as the going rates of market value, I think you are the one whose missing the forest for the trees.
Montreal doesn't need a player like Hickey. They have cheaper alternatives already providing what Hickey does but didn't cost the Habs what you are alluding to and even if they are by all accounts, not quite as good as Hickey, they certainly are not so low below Hickey that the upgrade would send the Habs through the roof. You know what may though? Drafting a player in the 20-22 range like Vancouver did in 2015. Yeah it doesn't always work out that way but neither does middling dman thrust into roles that are above them.
Plus you're trying to extrapolate upwards. That's not how it works. Teams don't move from a 1st to a 2nd just land a bottom pairing dman with mediocre top 4 ability. If very approximate price of moving into the late 1st round is two 2nd rounders, I would rather pay the 2nd alone for Hickey than to trade my 1st for Hickey and 2nd.
Teams would rather trade the 1st outright and get the ACTUAL top 4 dman whose not just good at existing the puck but also provides offense in the offensive zone. See Muzzin trade. See McDonagh trade. Where you get into trouble is when you pay to acquire players a like Hamonic, Larsson, etc dearly when there were just as good to slightly worse options available for fractions of the price.