with matvei

You could need to add a lot more quality and less quantity if you want Verbeek to even talk to you about 3OA

Sens decline

I imagine Foerster, 12OA, and 32OA for 3 and 3rd rounder.... draft value chart put 12OA and 32OA around 150pts short. Foerster certainly makes up for that. I'd argue maybe Foerster, 12, 51 would work

Neither Farabee nor Grans nor the player we might draft at 31/32 is going to be anywhere near the same quality as the player we draft at #3. This one isn't any closer to happening than the Marner-to-Anaheim trades some Toronto guys keep proposing.

This century, there have been exactly two trades for top 5 picks (not counting trades for future picks that became top 5): #4 for #8 and #59 in 2004 and Alexis Yashin for Zedeno Chara, Bill Muckalt, and #2 in 2001. No model can be calibrated properly for top 5 picks, so the models aren’t reliable there.