If we lose round 1

If the Leafs lose round 1 they keep Matthews, Rielly, Nylander, Knies, McCabe, Benoit, McMann, Woll, and get rid of the rest.

If they lose again I think Shanahan is as good as gone and Keefe will have the shortest of leashes to start 24-25

No they won’t. Tell me one time in NHL history when a team overhauled 70% of their roster in one off-season.. it never happens and that’s quite a big overreaction.

Shanahan has ownership’s ears in the grasps of his hand. Even with Keith Pelley coming in as new CEO they’ve made it clear it’s Shanahan’s department to run the NHL team. Barring any massive change in that, Shanahan will likely have at least next year to improve them team and that gives Pelley more time to evaluate him before he makes any changes.

& unfortunately when they lose in the first round this year, Keefe is likely gone. I don’t think coaching is the problem - I think the issue is the roster isn’t good enough and the core doesn’t have what it takes. It’s a personality issue with the core that Shanahan refuses to change. Treliving can’t do much about it because he answers to Shanny and that’s who’s making the decisions (the GM takes the fall for it, it was the same way with Dubas). Treliving was brought in to do some heavy lifting but that likely doesn’t happen till Tavares’ contract comes off then books. So it’ll be a couple years before a massive roster shake up

That's what I don't get.

Why have a GM if he doesn't have full authority over hockey personnel?

And I agree with you the core does not have what it takes. Marner should go this summer. There are great pending UFA forwards that could take his place on the roster and the Leafs could use his departure to upgrade the defense which still needs big time help.

Marner to Seattle makes a ton of sense IMO