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valiqs
Membre depuis
12 janv. 2017
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Rangers de New York
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Forum:
Armchair-GM
27 févr. 2023 à 14 h 13
Sujet:
Patrick Kane and Panarin
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>xercuses</b></div><div>God your insufferable
They do play together now. The three games I’ve watched he’s played on Breadmans line.
You idiot</div></div>
I’ll say it a lot nicer than he did.
Kane and Panarin have had almost poetic chemistry in the past. Put those two with Mika and it’s a damn close replica of what they had in Chicago. Kreider, senko, and Vladdy gonna play together after Kane is in NY unless gallant has other plans. I honestly don’t care where they’re slotted as long as the job gets done hahah
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 févr. 2023 à 12 h 11
Sujet:
Finishing touches
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>I think the one big thing we are missing with Kravy on the bench recently is that he's likely spending a ton of time in the gym to get up to top 6 level speed/strength, which is where he needs the most work. His skills are there, just not the full athletic and physical nature of a top-6 NHL role. It's really tough to build to that level when you're playing games every other night mid-season.
I know lots of people will say that he should be at that level now! He's 23 and not a developing kid anymore. The problem with that is this is his first full NHL season. He's closer to a year behind Laf/Kakko, in terms of development than trying to be their contemporary. I think if NYR is patient with him and Kravy is dedicated to earning his spot, he will get a shot on the top 6 with Kakko, but there's a ton of off-ice and practice work to be done with him first. I don't think that work can be completed during this season, much less 11 games.
IMO, work on the kid through this season and the off-season and see how it translates on ice next year. Don't move him unless the offer you get is too good to turn down.</div></div>
Excellent points here...I think you are spot on regarding his need to work on his strength. I've mentioned many times in other threads that the NHL is not a developmental league...but unfortunately the way Krav's development has been handled if he is to be an NHL player here or elsewhere development will have to happen at this level.
But just 2 more things to consider: 1. While development of most forwards does start to plateau around Krav's age, several Russian players have "popped" later than North American players. and 2. Even though Krav looks a little out of place in the NHL, he is not hurting the team for the minimal opportunity he has been given (unlike others the NYR choose to play). His analytics are actually very good for the sample size he has.
In the end, if they can receive compensation at least what they received for Lias Anderssen, I guess they have to consider...but moving Krav for a pure rental might prove disastrous. For now- as long as he isn't hurting the team (which is what the stats show) best thing is to continue to play him, and give him good minutes. With an NHL season behind him and some increased strength/conditioning....he might be ready to blossom.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 févr. 2023 à 0 h 23
Sujet:
The Rangers are in serious trouble of an offer sheet
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>Thanks. NYR is my number 1 team by far, but CAR is actually my wife's team so I follow them pretty closely too. We're going to the stadium series next week to watch the Canes blow the Caps out of the water. Gunna be fun.
Also, I would say you are mostly correct. The Canes front office/coaching is absolutely master class at cap management. They go HARD after a guy they want while also being ready to walk away from players at the right time. And they do all that while putting a contender on the ice. I've watched it for a few years now and all I can say is, "Bravo. Keep it up." This is why it's imperative for NYR to not be slow on their RFA deals this year unless they want to risk a situation that you mentioned. In that case, you either let one guy go and take the picks, go the buyout route and pay for the dead cap later on, or figure out a creative trade where maybe you give up a few more future assets than you should to make sure your young guys stay.
However, I'm not sure anyone would really want to risk giving Laf a juicy one-year contract. If you offer Laf something like 4.2M for 1 year, his QO the next year would be over 5M. If Laf doesn't take steps, that deal is a pretty big albatross, so he'd become a UFA. Also, even Laf would know this and maybe not sign that deal. If you were him, would you risk one-year at 4.2M on a 'bet-on-yourself' deal knowing his past play (which has been okay, but not exactly sterling) or take a 2-year bridge to try to build your skills/resume to a long term, high value contract? Now if some team offers him 4.2M for 7 years, I think NYR says, "take him and good luck with you 3rd line LW making as much as a 2C." It would be a VERY interesting day, if an OS happens, though.
Finally, the one thing I will give a small push back on is that I don't think ANY player can really replace Jordan Staal at 3C. He's one of the best 3C's I've ever seen. That role is just so perfect for him that I don't think you can just slot any C into it and expect similar results. He provides a differentiation of skill from every other C on the team that forces opponents to game plan against him where they wouldn't need to focus on his size/faceoff/defensive prowess if it were just Aho/KK/Stastny/Stepan. If I were CAR, I'd consider re-signing him, just at less than he makes now. Say, 3.5M for 2 years. You get a perfect role player back, his leadership, the fans get to keep their captain, you gain 2M in net cap space, and you likely get a contract you can easily trade at the TDL in 2025.</div></div>
Spot on once again. We’ll be at the outdoor game too and can’t wait!
Your counterpoint on Laf makes a lot of sense. So many interesting ways it could play out honestly.
With Staal, both he and the team have essentially said they’ll keep doing short term deals as long as he wants to play. He’s been through some personal family stuff the last two years which is the only reason I think he’ll end up doing one year deals from here on out but I’m hoping he’s got a couple years left in him. Totally agree on his skill set and really he’s an extension of RBA in the room and on the ice. Perfect fit for this team.
I more so meant that KKs floor long term is 3C. He isn’t the same player as Staal but he’s also very strong defensively, great in the circle, has really good vision and drives play pretty well despite not scoring at the rate you’d want. While I love Staal at 3C I’ll also be happy with KK filling that role when the time comes.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
9 févr. 2023 à 22 h 27
Sujet:
The Rangers are in serious trouble of an offer sheet
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>So right now Laf and Miller are Group 1 RFAs until July 1 (remember they are coming off their ELC), which means they are ineligible for an offer sheet until that time. Since QO's are due by June 25th, NYR should make it a priority to nail down contracts on both players before the threat of any offer sheets. Miller should get the Slavin contract (7yr x 5.3M), Laf gets the Kakko bridge (2yr x 2.1M). Problem solved there.
At that point, Chytil is the only player at risk of an offer sheet. Anything below 4.2M, NYR will take immediately. Remember that NYR has over 16M in cap space for signings next year. Will the Miller and Laf signings above, they will have no issues matching an offer below the 4.2M threshold. If a team offers Chytil anything below 6M, NYR likely takes the contract. If a team offers over 6.3M, NYR should probably take the 3 compensatory picks. I think the only debate in NYR's camp would be an offer around 6-6.2M with term.
Also, recall that NYR is not afraid to buyout players. They do it all the time. Trouba will not likely get traded (due to his contract status, not his captaincy), but he can get bought out. Goodrow, on the other hand is not an immovable contract at all. Check his stats. He has had career years each year he's been with NYR. He still has positive value even with his current deal despite what people on this site seem to think.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>Also, just want to add a few things:
- Several teams don't have the compensatory picks to offer over 4.2M = COL, EDM, FLA, OTT, TBL, and TOR
- Several teams are just starting their rebuild years so having Chytil as a prime 2C during re-build years is not going to help = ANA, ARI, CHI, CBJ, PHI, STL, VAN and SJS
- Several teams have a long term or burgeoning 1/2C combo already = BUF, CAL, DAL, MTL, NJD, PIT, SEA, WSH, VGK, and WPG
- Several teams have a worse cap outlook for next season than NYR (so no cap leverage) = LAK, NYI, NSH, and MIN
This leave us with BOS, CAR, and DET with the picks, a 2C need, not in a full re-build, and with cap leverage.
- BOS cannot offer over 6.2M since they don't have the compensatory picks. Also, they have priorities with Pasta and Swayman, who both have earned raises. Makes it tricky for them to navigate a deal NYR won't match and also not put them in a future cap crunch.
- DET would be silly to offer sheet Chytil IF they re-sign Dylan Larkin. Right now, Larkin is a better player and Chytil's ceiling may not be that high. That would give them Larkin/Copp as a long term 1/2C pair, which is strong going forward and then they don't need Chytil on an overvalue offer sheet contract.
- CAR is the one to worry about. I think Chytil would pair perfectly with Necas and Svechnikov on the 2nd pair. My concern would be CAR getting burned by the KK offer sheet. They may be wary about such decisions in the future. Also, NYR MIGHT still match any contract below the the 3 compensatory picks needed to get Chytil, which is a hefty cap and pick price to pay.</div></div>
I appreciate how well thought out the original post was and your responses, really good stuff.
I think the way a team could get at the rangers assuming they don’t get the Miller and Laf signed ahead of the OS timeline would be to send an uncomfortable OS at Laf that the rangers sign and then follow that up with a much harder one for Chytil once they’ve been put up against it with Laf. Not sure if this is realistic or feasible but that’s how I would conceptually go after it.
I was waiting for you to get to the Canes as a potential option here. They’ve already shown they’re willing to go that route and the need is there. They’ve maintained cap flexibility even as they’ve moved to contender status and even though they’re going to be due some raises for their core I think they still have plenty of flexibility for a move like this while also not putting a target on their back. It’s true KK hasn’t become what we wanted yet, but at the same time he’s seen as an easy Staal replacement at 3C whenever Staal hangs them up with a small potential remaining to become the 2C we all hoped he’d turn into. I don’t think that’ll deter them from making a move like this for Chytil if it came down to it though.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
14 avr. 2021 à 0 h 27
Sujet:
Canucks Trade with 21-22 Layout
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>I would say that I could see them doing a deal with Seattle, but won't that be their nemesis team? Maybe that sours plans for a cap space trade by pushing the value even higher? Sending the contract back East makes sense from that perspective and NYR will have a LOT of space this offseason (unless something happens). Perhaps VAN could pit NYR and NJD against each other to try to lower the value here? Would a 2nd and a prospect be reasonable w/o VAN retaining?</div></div>
While a 2nd and a Prospect can be done, the Devils and Rangers aren't going to LOWER their price by being pitted against one another.
They aren't eager to take on Eriksson. They are just doing it for a significant sweetener. If it's not sweet enough, then they have no intention of taking it on.
Vancouver isn't selling an asset. They are trying to unload a Dump. Being pressed against a Flat Cap puts them at a disadvantage when bargaining. Not the other way around.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 avr. 2021 à 23 h 53
Sujet:
Canucks Trade with 21-22 Layout
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>The two questions in that scenario are:
1) Who is your partner to make that 50% retained trade for the buyout? Most of the teams with space to do that deal need that space for their own RFA's this offseason. Was thinking maybe NJD (maybe Seattle would play ball?), but they have a lot of RFA's who need raises and some entering arb. They might not bite for a 3rd unless the prospect is very solid. Perhaps a 2nd in that case.
2) Does retaining $3 million even make the trade worth it for VAN? If the goal is cap relief, does retaining money while giving away multiple high-value assets really make it worth it?
Finally, does VAN even need to move Eriksson's contract? I know it would help, but the price is super high right now. Could they just buy him out or weather the storm and deal with the last year of it while also signing Petey and Hughes? I'm not up on VAN's situation so I ask looking for info.</div></div>
According to their page, the Canucks have about $16M in space, with 16 players signed (it says 13, I counted 16). If the plan is to lock up Hughes and Petterson long term, that eats up practically all of that. Then you still have 2 or 3 Roster spots to fill out. Couple other lesser RFA's to give a raise. It's tight.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 sept. 2020 à 1 h 17
Sujet:
NYR-CAR Connection Again
Nope, they already tried this experiment with Eric Staal and it backfired. The Rangers want younger and cheaper not old and expensive
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 juill. 2019 à 22 h 43
Sujet:
Are The Rangers A Playoff Team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>Yeah, unfortunately the Atlantic is really top heavy and those highly skilled teams tend push the rest of the division off a cliff. That's not the Metro. Even PIT lost a lot of paper points by replacing Kessel with Tanev so if they get into injury trouble, they can easily fall into a nasty fight for the playoffs. Out of NYI, CAR, PHI, NYR, CBJ, and NJD it's likely that at least 3 of those will be trying to claw their way into not just a WC spot, but a divisional spot!</div></div>
I would say WSH is the only team I would be surprised to see out of the playoff in the Metro
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 juill. 2019 à 22 h 29
Sujet:
Are The Rangers A Playoff Team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>Potentially, but there are a ton of question marks here.
First, they literally can't field this roster because it's over $6.5 million over the cap.
Second, there is so much youth and so many new players here. It's unlikely that they all work out right away, but again not impossible.
However, the Metropolitan division is very wide open after PIT and WSH who would likely need to meltdown to not make the playoffs so they have a shot.</div></div>
Your right about the metro been wide open. Every team could think that they have a chance at playoff in october. Unlike the Atlantic where Detroit and Ottawa are alredy out (we never know but still..)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 juill. 2019 à 16 h 21
Sujet:
Trade with NY Rangers
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>valiqs</b></div><div>Miller (a 1st rounder) is arguably NYR's top D prospect and DET has a need there. NYR is also in need of cap space. So this move does fit. Problem here I think is value. Vlad is not a negative asset due to being on a 1 year deal and still providing solid forward depth. He could likely get a 3rd/4th by himself. The Beleskey contract is not that unattractive (when buried) as to need to add Miller to the deal. If you swap Beleskey for Brendan Smith, then yes I think you give up Miller and Vlad and that 2nd return could drop to a 3rd.
Reasonable though. Thanks!</div></div>
Everyone's freaking out because Miller is a top notch D prospect....but the Rangers are swimming in those. They have Miller, Lundkvist and Fox. They also have Trouba and Skjei. That's 5 x top four defensemen. Not including Shattenkirk. Where do they all fit?
Detroit has lots of good D prospects but Miller or Lundkvist would be a great add to Seider, McIssac, Hronek, and Cholowski. I'd be happy with either.
Namestnikov, Smith, and (Miller or Lundkvist) for a 2nd round pick. NY's cap problems disappear to sign Trouba and Buch and Detroit gets a young prospect. They let Namestnikov walk as a UFA and can eat Smith's salary next year when Ericsson and Daley are off the books. I'm sure Detroit fans would flip at the though of Smith returning but it'd be worth it if Miller of Lundkvist comes in. All hinging on Smith waiving that NTC to Detroit.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
26 févr. 2018 à 14 h 2
Sujet:
Pens in on McDonagh?? At what cost?
your talking sprong, 1st, maata, and sheary for mcdonaugh and thats with no retention. with retention you add a 2nd or 3rd and anohter top prospect.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 janv. 2017 à 11 h 48
Sujet:
Shatty resigns...get Nylander
Yeah Shattenkirk wont sign for that? Easily the market will dictate for Shatty 7 years $49 million any team out there would gladly outbid that for Shattenkirk's service.
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