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Tonir87

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Forum: NHL Signings1 déc. 2023 à 16 h 24
Forum: NHL Signings1 déc. 2023 à 16 h 4
Sujet: Montreal Canadiens signed Samuel Montembeault (3 Years / $3,150,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HockeyScotty</b></div><div>I've been tracking goalie contracts and deployment for a few years now.

For 2023 the Avg Cap Hit per Start = $88,758

For reference, I have found a range like this seems to hold fairly true for deployment (major injuries aside):
<strong>Workhorse Goalie</strong> = 59-72 starts (80% start rate or 4 out of 5 games)
<strong>1A</strong> = 47-58 starts (65% start rate or 2 out of 3 games)
<strong>Tandem</strong> = 36-46 starts (50% start rate; every other or "hot hand" rotation that evens out)
<strong>1B</strong> = 24-35 starts (35% start rate or 1 out of 3 games)
<strong>Backup</strong> = 10-23 starts (20% start rate or 1 out of 5 games)
<strong>Spot Duty/Call-up</strong> = 1-9 starts (injury fill-in from AHL, rookies on ELC slide, or the "old school" backup that only played in B2B games)

Cap inflation next year is expected to be around 5%; thus projecting a $93,542 figure (the actual will be less since many AAV's carryover; but the UFA/RFA's are unkown)

This means the $3,150,000 contract is roughly "average price" for 34 starts per year; thus an above average 1B goalie.

Another way of looking at is the Habs committed 41% of an average team's goalie budget to Montembeault.

In that sense this seems perfectly fine. The question for Montreal (a team coming off one of the most expensive goalie contracts ever) is are they trying to lowball the position (Avs, Kings, Coyotes) due to lots of pending RFA deals; or do they see someone else as their 1A long term (Primeau, Fowler ?).

The good thing about this deal is they have flexibility either way (and with lack of NMC/NTC).</div></div>

I really like this way of looking at goalie deployment, thanks for posting.

I wonder what that goalie budget number would look like if you compare "efficient" nets (e.g., Boston, NYI) to "inefficient" nets (teams that have bad contracts inflating their goalie costs; e.g., Edmonton, Anaheim, Florida). That's probably too subjective, but I think there are probably some outlier teams who have regrettable contracts on their books inflating overall costs for the league.