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Thoughts

Créé par: OilersNation
Équipe: 2023-24 Oilers d'Edmonton
Date de création initiale: 28 sept. 2023
Publié: 28 sept. 2023
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Transactions
NSH
  1. Ceci, Cody
  2. Desharnais, Vincent
  3. Kulak, Brett
  4. Choix de 1e ronde en 2024 (EDM)
  5. Choix de 1e ronde en 2026 (EDM)
Rachats de contrats
Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
2024
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de NSH
2025
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
2026
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
Logo de EDM
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2283 500 000 $82 991 625 $850 000 $4 725 000 $508 375 $
Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
5 125 000 $5 125 000 $
AG, C
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
12 500 000 $12 500 000 $
C
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
775 000 $775 000 $ (Bonis de performance3 225 000 $$3M)
AD, AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance650 000 $$650K)
AG, C
RFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
8 500 000 $8 500 000 $
C, AG
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 2
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
5 500 000 $5 500 000 $
AD, AG
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
5 125 000 $5 125 000 $
AG, AD
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
2 100 000 $2 100 000 $
C
RFA - 2
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
874 125 $874 125 $
AD, C
RFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
2 750 000 $2 750 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
775 000 $775 000 $
C
UFA - 2
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
900 000 $900 000 $
C, AD
UFA - 2
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
9 250 000 $9 250 000 $
DG
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
3 900 000 $3 900 000 $
DD
RFA - 2
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
2 600 000 $2 600 000 $
G
UFA - 3
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 3
Logo de Predators de Nashville
2 500 000 $2 500 000 $
DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
G
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
863 333 $863 333 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
DG
RFA - 1
Logo de Predators de Nashville
2 500 000 $2 500 000 $
DD
UFA - 1
Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
1 000 000 $1 000 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Oilers d'Edmonton
762 500 $762 500 $
DG
UFA - 1

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28 sept. 2023 à 3 h 13
#1
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Neither Carrier nor Fabbro are worth a 1st. I'd be hard-pressed to offer a 2nd for either of them, in fact. Overall, you'd have to have an awfully negative view of both Ceci and Kulak for this to make even a bit of sense.
Ausbear17 a aimé ceci.
28 sept. 2023 à 7 h 47
#2
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Nashville would jump at this.
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 34
#3
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This must be Liam from OilersNation because this is an awful take!
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 38
#4
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Quoting: SupremeBone
Neither Carrier nor Fabbro are worth a 1st. I'd be hard-pressed to offer a 2nd for either of them, in fact. Overall, you'd have to have an awfully negative view of both Ceci and Kulak for this to make even a bit of sense.


Fabbro is likely worth a 1st, underrated numbers, RFA rights and low QO. Carrier isn’t, but is definitely worth a 2nd. He also has great numbers with Ekholm, with a lot of Dzone starts. Ceci is mediocre on a good day andhas one decent season in his entire career, so yes IMO he has negative value (-2nd round pick) . Kulak is decent but is holding back opportunities for Broberg. Desharnais is simply replaceable, however a guy like Trotz might like him.
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 38
#5
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Quoting: SHOWTIME_TTV
This must be Liam from OilersNation because this is an awful take!


How so?
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 40
#6
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Quoting: SupremeBone
Neither Carrier nor Fabbro are worth a 1st. I'd be hard-pressed to offer a 2nd for either of them, in fact. Overall, you'd have to have an awfully negative view of both Ceci and Kulak for this to make even a bit of sense.


I do think GMs are probably higher on Ceci than me and almost certainly with Desharnais. So you are probably right that I overpaid, but I didn’t want to be labeled as a homer. However, I think Carrier and Fabbro fit the team perfectly.
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 46
#7
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Quoting: OilersNation
How so?


It's a no brainer. This is awful on multiple levels!
INSANE overpay for downgrades on defense.
You seriously should delete your account. OilersNation... more like OilersDetonation!
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 47
#8
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Quoting: SHOWTIME_TTV
It's a no brainer. This is awful on multiple levels!
INSANE overpay for downgrades on defense.
You seriously should delete your account. OilersNation... more like OilersDetonation!


You’re delusional if you think Ceci and Kulak is better than Carrier and Fabbro. Both analytics and the eye test would agree.
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 50
#9
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Quoting: OilersNation
You’re delusional if you think Ceci and Kulak is better than Carrier and Fabbro. Both analytics and the eye test would agree.


You just going to ignore that you also have Desharnais AND 2 1ST ROUND PICKS ADDED TO Ceci & Kulak??? WTF are you watching that has Carrier & Fabbro as no doubt upgrades??? You're dreaming!
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 50
#10
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Quoting: OilersNation
You’re delusional if you think Ceci and Kulak is better than Carrier and Fabbro. Both analytics and the eye test would agree.

Carrier has the shakier metrics but has really good numbers with Ekholm. Would create an ideal shutdown pairing. Fabbro is a smart, cost controlled, defensive dman that’d work great with Broberg. This d-core immediately becomes top 5 in the league.
28 sept. 2023 à 19 h 55
#11
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Quoting: SHOWTIME_TTV
You just going to ignore that you also have Desharnais AND 2 1ST ROUND PICKS ADDED TO Ceci & Kulak??? WTF are you watching that has Carrier & Fabbro as no doubt upgrades??? You're dreaming!


Oh no! The 27 year old dman who plays 10 minutes a night with no competition! We’d be ruined without him! Ceci has negative value because he is not good and Kulak is an overpaid #5-6 at best, while blocking Broberg. So no, I’m not adding two firsts for Fabbro and Carrier. I’m dumping negative assets, while obtaining assets that fit this team much better. Price might be too much but remember Goodrow, Lehkonen and Coleman?
28 sept. 2023 à 20 h 0
#12
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Quoting: OilersNation
Oh no! The 27 year old dman who plays 10 minutes a night with no competition! We’d be ruined without him! Ceci has negative value because he is not good and Kulak is an overpaid #5-6 at best, while blocking Broberg. So no, I’m not adding two firsts for Fabbro and Carrier. I’m dumping negative assets, while obtaining assets that fit this team much better. Price might be too much but remember Goodrow, Lehkonen and Coleman?


This has to be Liam LOL
You're delusional!
28 sept. 2023 à 20 h 14
#13
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Quoting: SHOWTIME_TTV
This has to be Liam LOL
You're delusional!


I’m not the one who thinks Ceci is actually serviceable.
28 sept. 2023 à 20 h 19
#14
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Quoting: OilersNation
I’m not the one who thinks Ceci is actually serviceable.


His numbers were better than both Carrier & Fabbro last season and it's not a mystery that he had a down year...
Neither Carrier or Fabbro were plus players at 5on5. Ceci, Kulak & Desharnais all were!
You have a crap view of talent all because Ceci is your new whipping boy and Broberg is your new crush.
Get a life!
29 sept. 2023 à 4 h 9
#15
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Quoting: OilersNation
Fabbro is likely worth a 1st, underrated numbers, RFA rights and low QO. Carrier isn’t, but is definitely worth a 2nd. He also has great numbers with Ekholm, with a lot of Dzone starts. Ceci is mediocre on a good day andhas one decent season in his entire career, so yes IMO he has negative value (-2nd round pick) . Kulak is decent but is holding back opportunities for Broberg. Desharnais is simply replaceable, however a guy like Trotz might like him.

Quoting: OilersNation
I do think GMs are probably higher on Ceci than me and almost certainly with Desharnais. So you are probably right that I overpaid, but I didn’t want to be labeled as a homer. However, I think Carrier and Fabbro fit the team perfectly.

Quoting: OilersNation
Carrier has the shakier metrics but has really good numbers with Ekholm. Would create an ideal shutdown pairing. Fabbro is a smart, cost controlled, defensive dman that’d work great with Broberg. This d-core immediately becomes top 5 in the league.

While Carrier certainly has good numbers with Ekholm, that's true of most Dmen. I don't have any reason to believe that their chemistry was unique and hence worth investing 2 1sts in acquiring.

Meanwhile, Fabbro has 1 season I'd say he was a demonstrable net benefit to his team at even strength (from the perspective of relGF, relxGF, & microstats) and that was in 21-22 when he spent the vast majority of his TOI (900 of his 1100min) with Roman Josi at the top of his game. Otherwise, he's been a pretty standard two-way Dman being played too high up the lineup until this past year where his struggles persisted despite playing notably less. I'm in no way confident that Fabbro is an upgrade on Kulak (even on his offside) and, therefore, don't think he's worth acquiring.

For the sake discussion, I'll grant you the terms of the Ceci cap dump. You're still trading a 1st, the difference between a 1st and 2nd (another late 2nd, value-wise), and Kulak for a pending UFA who had good numbers with Ekholm and a pending RFA who, even if you're confident he'll bounce back, just had a pretty rough season that should hurt his value. More specifically, you're trading away our ability to use those two 1sts in an acquisition for a more certain upgrade and one that either a.) has more of a playoff track record or b.) has a higher likelihood of not being exploited in the playoffs. Which brings me to my ultimate point:

Regardless of the specific value calculations, if you're spending two 1sts, you should be aiming much higher than Alexandre Carrier and Dante Fabbro.
 
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