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jr400
Membre depuis
20 juill. 2021
Messages dans les forums
1038
Messages par jour
1.1
MESSAGES
SUJETS
MENTIONS "J'AIME"
ÉQUIPES VIA FAUTEUIL-DG
Forum:
NHL Trades
22 févr. à 21 h 5
Sujet:
(PIT/CBJ) - Nylander, 2026 6th (PIT) for Bemström
Imagine telling someone a year ago that Dubas traded Nylander
Forum:
NHL Trades
9 mars à 1 h 14
Sujet:
(MTL/NJD) - Allen for 2025 3rd (NJD)
No chance Allen and Kaapo Kak are both one the opening night roster, especially if Fitzgerald wants to be GM moving forward. My guess is that both goalies will be auditioning for the backup role for next season. Devils will bring in a real goalie this summer.
Forum:
NHL Trades
9 mars à 9 h 11
Sujet:
(NJD/WPG) - Toffoli for 2025 2nd (WPG), 2024 3rd (WPG)
Quite the turnaround for the Jets from the offseason uncertainty. They look like real Cup Threats atm. Cool to see for Jets fans.
Forum:
NHL Trades
8 mars à 7 h 37
Sujet:
(PIT/CAR) - Guentzel, Smith for Bunting, Koivunen, Ponomarev, Lucius, 2024 2nd (PHI), 2024 5th (CAR)
My benchmark for a fair deal on Guentzel was Bunting + Canes' 2024 1st.
Keeping in mind that Guentzel is a pending UFA while Bunting has term.
With Ty Smith having no trade value, this is what it comes down to:
Canes' 2024 1st
versus
Flyers' 2024 2nd that upgrades to Canes' 2024 1st if the Canes makes the Cup Final
Canes' 2024 5th if the Canes win the Cup
Vasili Ponomarev
Cruz Lucius
Ville Koivunen
IMO, this is worth more than the Canes' 2024 1st.
Pittsburgh wins the trade.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 21 h 24
Sujet:
(SJS/TBL) - Duclair, 2025 7th (SJS) for Thompson, 2024 3rd (TBL)
That’s a very good return for SJS, especially with no retention
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 17 h 13
Sujet:
(TOR/CAR) - 2026 6th (TOR) for Webber
Fair. Toronto gets a big defensive prospect, Canes get another dart throw for a player well down their depth chart who wasn't gonna sign.
Forum:
NHL Trades
6 mars à 19 h 41
Sujet:
(COL/BUF) - Byram for Mittelstadt
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LuckyMoneyPuck</b></div><div>I don't know, if they don't give Mittelstadt better wingers I don't see much of an impact here, at least this year.
Maybe next year is something else?
This looks less like a TDL move and more like a Draft day trade with both teams working on the future. As I don't really see much of an impact in COL cup chances here.</div></div>
It's a huge upgrade at 2C for Avs. Mittelstadt > Ryan Johansen. It's a fairly even move Byram = Walker; I would argue Walker is more reliable defensively.
So cup chances improved, cap space for additional moves this year is improved
Forum:
NHL Trades
6 mars à 17 h 51
Sujet:
(COL/BUF) - Byram for Mittelstadt
I think the trade is fair. Both Byrum and Mittelstadt fill needs for their new teams and have histories of injuries.
Mittelstadt, previously the 3C with the Sabres, had been leading the team in goals scored. The Sabres are deep in scoring centers. Mittelstadt is the player who had to move. The Avalanche have an opportunity to see Mittelstadt develop as a 2C.
Byrum, possibly in need of a change in scenery, should address the Sabres' need for a defensive, puck clearing top two pairing right defenseman. The Sabres' inability to clear the puck out of the defense zone has led to many goals against and losses. The 5-2 loss against the Winnipeg Jets on Sunday, 3 March, is a recent example of the Sabres' ineffective defense. Byrum will be expected to improve the Sabres' defense.
Forum:
NHL Trades
6 mars à 12 h 33
Sujet:
(OTT/FLA) - Tarasenko for 2024 4th (FLA), 2025 3rd (FLA)
This is laughably bad for the Senators, they couldn't even pry a decent prospect out of Florida. I get that the trade protection on Tarasenkos deal allowed him to dictate where he went, but that doesn't change the fact that this trade is horrible. For crying out loud, Anthony Mantha cost the Knights more than this.
This is highway robbery for the Panthers who add another lethal offensive weapon to their already loaded forward group. At only 2.5m, he is going to be extremely valuable. If they want to buy more, they easily could (granted they don't have the money). This was a masterclass of a trade from Zito and a complete blunder by Staios
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
19 janv. à 22 h 15
Sujet:
JACK IS GONE
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jr400</b></div><div>…which I think is a good return for Columbus if they plan to honor his trade request. I don’t think Merzlikins has been consistent enough to be worth $5.4M, and he has three more years left at that cap hit,
…which might not be a bad deal for Columbus if they want to honor his trade request. Lavoie may not amount to anything, but Merzlikins hasn’t been consistent enough to be worth $5.4M, and he’s got three more years at that cap hit, so I think his contract makes him a liability for most teams. Not as much of a liability as Campbell’s, which is why Edmonton has to give up a package of futures to make this work.
That said, I don’t think Martin and Tarasov are good enough to be an NHL goaltending tandem, so Columbus might be better to patch things up with Elvis than trade him for Campbell and some futures. Martin being waived makes me think that that’s what they’re trying to do.</div></div>
I know this isn't the main point going on here, but moving Elvis gives them the ability to take the rest of the season to evaluate Tarasov PLUS give Jet Greaves, who actually has real potential to be a future 1, some NHL time for the rest of the year. Then they'd hopefully get a good idea where they'll stand next season and if they need to make a move. They already suck, so having a terrible goaltending room the rest of the year isn't a concern at all.
Forum:
NHL Trades
19 janv. à 0 h 40
Sujet:
(WPG/LAK) - Dubois for Iafallo, Kupari, Vilardi, 2024 2nd (MTL)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jr400</b></div><div>So you’re saying the Kings spent $68M and a probably early 2nd-round pick just to clear a couple of roster spots? I must be misunderstanding you because that makes no sense.</div></div>
Obviously the Kings thought they were getting a better player. Last off-season, the Kings had a backlog of forwards. Byfield and Vilardi both weren't getting the minutes they needed, and Laferriere was coming into the lineup. My understanding of the trade, from the Kings perspective, is that they gave the top6 opportunity to Byfield and used Vilardi to acquire a star player. They also moved Iafallo and Kupari, which gave them enough cap space and room in the lineup to fit Laferriere and the star player. The Kings basically consolidated a few average players into a star player, clearing their forward backlog in the process. It was a net -2 forwards and -1 Dman (MTL 2nd = Sean Durzi) which created space for the Kings future (Byfield, Laferriere, Spence) to flourish.
Admittedly, the last 3 weeks have made this trade look even more lopsided, as the Kings have lost 9 out of 10 games since I posted my first comment on Dec 27th. They are also currently losing to the Predators as I type this out. The Kings thought that they were getting a star player in PLD. For Rob Blake's sake I hope PLD starts playing like he cares.
It doesn't make sense from a strictly Chel trade value meter perspective, but it does make sense from the position that the Kings found themselves in. You can only dress 12 FWD, 6 D, and 2 G. The Kings had too many players that deserved a spot in the lineup and the opportunity to consolidate a few "old toys" into a "new shiny toy" while making room for their other homegrown shiny toys. It would be easier to justify if PLD was playing like the "super hot studmuffin Ferrari" the Kings thought they were getting instead of the "shopping cart with 3 wheels" the Jets knew he could be at times.
So yeah the Kings spent $8.5M on 1 player instead of 4 players (MTL 2nd = Durzi), opening up roster spots for the new kids in the process.
Just for comparison's sake:
Group A: PLD, Byfield, Laferriere, Spence combined cap hit = $11,089,167. (8.5M + 894,167 + 875,000 + 820,000)
Group B: Iafallo, Vilardi, Kupari, Durzi combined cap hit = $10,137,500. (WPG: 4M + 3,437,500 + 1M = $8,437,500; + ARI: $1.7M)
It's only ~$900K difference between the two. Byfield and Spence have impressed me so far. if PLD was performing like an 8.5M player, then any rational GM would rather have Group A.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
19 janv. à 16 h 23
Sujet:
Leafs need D
Zero interest in Kämpf for NSH. He's redundant, when they have a better version of him in Sissons.
Asking NSH to use their final retention spot on multiple years of Schenn would drive the acquisition price well above what he's worth.
Forum:
NHL Signings
12 janv. à 12 h 25
Sujet:
Chicago Blackhawks signed Nick Foligno (2 Years / $4,500,000 AAV)
I understand Chicago wanting to keep Foligno, I don't understand the AAV however. I get it that Chicago is rebuilding and likely not a cap team but it is so far above his market value. I feel like they could hit the cap floor in other ways to help their young players have talent around them to develop.
Forum:
NHL Signings
7 déc. 2023 à 22 h 7
Sujet:
Toronto Maple Leafs signed John Klingberg (1 Year / $4,150,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jr400</b></div><div>That’s another reason I thought it didn’t make sense for Toronto to sign Klingberg. Timmins doesn’t look as good this season, but he was a pretty effective offensive defenseman last season, and they played him only when Reilly was injured. Then they got Gustafsson, and he didn’t play much either. I’m not saying I disagreed with the decision to sit those guys, but it tells me that an offensive defenseman wasn’t a priority in the stretch run and playoffs, so why did it suddenly become one going into the regular season? Even if it was, I didn’t think Klingberg would be enough of an upgrade over Timmins to burn over $4M of precious cap space on him.
I don’t know how badly Nashville wants to get rid of Tyson Barrie – they don’t need the cap space, so it may be Barrie wanting it more than the team – but if he’s available with 50% retained for a late-round draft pick, would you make that trade?</div></div>
In general Klingberg if healthy and motivated would have been better than Barrie or even last years Timmins but sadly hip gave out
Timmins has looked fine but not someone I would trust for playoffs.
So were gonna have to start looking
Forum:
NHL Signings
28 nov. 2023 à 15 h 7
Sujet:
Detroit Red Wings signed Patrick Kane (1 Year / $2,750,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jr400</b></div><div>I agree with you when it comes to some of the off-season signings and other moves they’ve been making, but I don’t put this move in that category, because this is not a building move. It looks more like a deadline rental in that the opportunities to use their remaining cap space are becoming limited, so they used some of it on a guy with no commitment beyond this season who could give them a bit of a boost if he fits in well. This is actually better than a deadline rental because they get him three months earlier and they didn’t have to give up any draft picks. (New York gave up a 2nd, 3rd and 4th to get him at a similar cap hit at last season’s deadline, and 79% of the people thought that was a win.)
Of course, there’s the surgery, but that’s supposed to make him better, right? He’s a little more than a year removed from a 92-point season, and he wasn’t bad playing hurt last season, so I see more potential upside than downside.
The contract has a no-trade clause but not a no-move clause, so if he turns out to be a disaster, they can waive him and the cap space he’s costing them goes down to $1.6M. I don’t know if this qualifies as an over-35 contract since he just turned 35 last week, but I like that there are no bonuses that could hurt the team beyond this season. But since the contract was signed after the beginning of the season, shouldn’t his cap hit be higher than his salary?</div></div>
Contract is $2 million; cap hit is $2.75 because of being pro-rata
And not a 35+ contract since he wasn't 35 at the start of the league year (July 1) regardless of when it was signed
Forum:
NHL Trades
28 nov. 2023 à 21 h 25
Sujet:
(VAN/CHI) - Beauvillier for 2024 5th (CGY/CHI)
Beauvillier is on pace for about 30 points this season and his on-ice goal differential is 5.4 ABOVE expected. He's a good player. Unfortunately for the Canucks, he was so far down the depth chart that he was playing 4th line minutes this season and you can't pay your 4th liner $4.15 million.
I suspect he will play a LOT more in Chicago and will score lot more points, so Chicago might have won this trade. On the other hand, you usually have to give up assets to get $4.15 million in cap space, so the Canucks might have won this trade.
Call it a fair deal.
Forum:
NHL Signings
28 nov. 2023 à 11 h 25
Sujet:
Detroit Red Wings signed Patrick Kane (1 Year / $2,750,000 AAV)
I frankly cant understand lopsided voting on "No", 1 year prove it deal for a future HoF with plenty of winning experience. Not to mention the overwhelming chemistry with Cat. If he struggles off the surgery so be it, but the risk-reward is favorable given it's not a long term commitment. No question a W for the team.
Forum:
NHL Trades
8 oct. 2023 à 23 h 46
Sujet:
(TOR/VAN) - Lafferty for 2024 5th (VAN)
Fair trade at a glance.. But digging more into Lafferty I feel like the Canucks are getting the most upside in the trade. Leafs are downgrading in quality to shed cap and do not improve. Canucks upgrade their bottom 6, add depth and fill a need for a RH shot that can play Center, take faceoffs and PK.
Forum:
NHL Signings
2 oct. 2023 à 7 h 14
Sujet:
Minnesota Wild signed Marcus Foligno (4 Years / $4,000,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DennisIN</b></div><div>Yes, 4m for four years is risky.
However, I think Foligno brings a lot more to the table than just grit. He is a leader and motivator and well respected in the locker room.
With Rossi moving up the depth chart Foligno might end up playing with Ek again. The GREEF line was one of the best defensive lines in the NHL the year before last year. Greenway can easily be replaced by someone else.
Foligno was injured for most of last year and seems fit in training camp. In the worst case he will end up in LTIR towards the end of the contract.
With the salary cap increasing and the penalties coming off the books the overall risk is not as big as people are saying. The Wild will have plenty of prospects on ELC or bridge deals meaning that spending 4m in a role player with grit and offensive upside is affordable.
In a time in which raw skill is as high as it is now in the league players that not only bring physicality will be valued. Just consider how much Tampa gave up for Jaenott.</div></div>
"salary cap rising" is not a valid argument in bad contracts... This is a bad contract. Cap going up is still only maybe, before it really happens anyway...
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
29 sept. 2023 à 14 h 9
Sujet:
Tampa gets a goalie
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jeff902</b></div><div>If Calgary wants to lose Vlady to make room for Wolf, they may need to accept less as a return.
Would be a shame for Wolf to spend another year in the AHL.</div></div>
Actually with Kylington flaking out again the Flames could use a cheap depth defenseman. Something like Hayden Fluery (762.5K AAV UFA 2024) and a 3rd could work too.
Hanifin/Zadorov - Andersson
Zadorov/Hanifin - Weegar
Oesterle - Tanev
Fluery/Gilbert
Forum:
NHL Trades
3 mai 2023 à 17 h 33
Sujet:
(SJS / OTT) - Karlsson, Perron for Tierney, DeMelo, Norris, Balcers & picks
I feel the only mechanisms needed to "get around cap", is not let stupid GMs have so much power that make awful trades and resignings. As bad as the trade might have been for SJ, it was the resigning of EK that made it so much worse. Like the Tkachuk trade to Florida. Thought the Flames did well getting Huberdeau, Weager and a first. But Flames make a mistake that will haunt them for eight years when they resigned Huberdeau to a 10.5m X 8 year externsion starting at age 30.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
24 sept. 2023 à 16 h 9
Sujet:
Ana wpg
So incomprehensibly bad for Anaheim. I cannot put words to how awful this trade is for them. Surely you're trolling
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
18 sept. 2023 à 13 h 25
Sujet:
Is It Too Much
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheLand</b></div><div>What is I took out Rosen?</div></div>
Take out rosen and either of krebs or the first. Overpaying for a ufa goalie on the wrong side of 30 isn't going to be very helpful for the sabres future
Forum:
NHL Signings
11 sept. 2023 à 16 h 5
Sujet:
Ottawa Senators signed Jake Sanderson (8 Years / $8,050,000 AAV)
You can't really compare Ottawa and Toronto's contracts in the future because they are apples and oranges. Ottawa is where Toronto was 5 or so years ago when Toronto signed all the young players they acquired in their rebuild to RFA contracts. The Tavares contract, along with the upcoming extensions to Matthews, Marner, and Nylander are all UFA contracts. Of course they are going to be more expensive than RFA contracts signed on ELCs.
The window for most teams to win is when their stars are on RFA deals. Ottawa is going to be in a better position than Toronto to load up over the next 3-5 years because the core will be underpaid and the cap will theoretically go up. As much as I hate Toronto, they were one of the teams hurt the most by the timing of COVID and the flat cap. They should have had a 2-3 year period where the cap was 88.5-100 million and they still had Matthews and co. under their RFA cap hits. They would have been able to go all in. Instead, they had to make consolations to account for the flat cap. Yes, other teams also had to do the same thing, but you can still measure which teams were hurt the most based on where they were in their build. Toronto was at the worst possible stage to be hit with a flat cap.
Forum:
NHL Trades
20 mars 2022 à 15 h 54
Sujet:
(TBL/CHI) - 2x 1st, Katchouk, Raddysh for Hagel, 2x 4th
Chicago wins here, hands down, they get amazing value out of a middle six winger, but the way they won is they found 1 trade partner that needed specifically what they had to offer, and by making it clear they didn't need to move him allowed them to extract that price even if there was only one team willing to come close to the ask. Excellent move.
I don't think that makes it bad for Tampa, they basically decided they have limited draft capital for their remaining cup window, and Hagel has a cap hit and skill set that fits in well with the window that they are zeroed in on. They have 2 cups, they would love to 3 peat, but if they have 3 serious contending years left in this core, maximizing the opportunity to win 3 or even 4 cups with this core would solidify them as the most successfully run team in the modern era (I think they already are), so getting someone that can give them a few kicks at the can was worth paying a premium for.
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