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TheEarthmaster

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Blues de St-Louis
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Forum: Armchair-GMven. à 18 h 52
Forum: Armchair-GM14 avr. à 13 h 37
Forum: Armchair-GM11 avr. à 13 h 55
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>Binnington is obviously overpayed, but I don't think it's a matter of "Binnington doesn't play well in front of the Blues' style of play and Husso does". I think it's much simpler than that- the Blues are not very good defensively this year (bottom ten in the league in expected goals against this year, though they have maybe been a little better recently) and Husso is having an unbelievable season which is papering over a lot of that while Binnington is having a rather poor season and thus the Blues' poor defense is very apparent in front of him. Husso playing well is decently independent of the team in front of him and while I think he's a solid goalie, I don't think his performance is necessarily something to bank on going forward. But the defense is poor all the time, no matter who is in net.

Shedding Binnington's deal (if they can find a sucker) and re-signing Husso is a good move just from a perspective of getting out from Binnington's deal and going cheaper in goal, and a few select forwards need to shoulder some blame this year as well, but at the end of the day defensemen need to suppress chances and all of their defensemen besides Parayko and sometimes Mikkola have been putting up mediocre defensive results this year at 5v5. A few of those defensemen are bringing the offense to make up for it, most aren't. I'm not sure how much Joel Edmundson is going to cover up those issues considering he's had very bad defensive results most of his career outside of the shortened season when he only played against six other teams and was stapled to Shea Weber all year. They need to fix that if they want to have success because the odds Husso is a .920 goalie every year now is probably not high, even if I think he's generally pretty good</div></div>
For reference, Husso was spectacular in his first 14 games, but merely average since then.

Up to Jan 27: 14 gp, 1.81 GAA, .945 sv%
Since Jan 27: 21 gp, 2.74 GAA, .909 sv%

Just thought this would reinforce much of what you are saying.
Forum: Armchair-GM9 nov. 2021 à 13 h 23
Forum: Armchair-GM6 nov. 2021 à 20 h 14
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>Koskinen definitely isn't going to be "the solution" going forward but his good performance is exactly why goaltending doesn't need to be a big concern and why the big names aren't always the solution either. Marc-Andre Fleury (very rightly) won the Vezina last year, but he looks cooked this year (and even if you want to blame that on Chicago, the year BEFORE he won the Vezina he was so bad the Knights had to bring in and immediately extend Robin Lehner). Florida extended Sergei Bobrovsky for eight years two years ago and is just this season seeing him come anywhere close to living up to it. On the other hand, Freddie Anderson looked cooked too, but he's putting up unreal numbers in Carolina for comparatively little money. One of the best goalies in the league last year was a 25 year old rookie, and we all saw what happened with Jordan Binnington- making 650k- in 2019.

All of this is to say, goaltending is complete nonsense. There are two guys in the league that you might say are night in and night out great- Hellebuyck and Vasilevskiy. If you aren't getting one of those guys or don't have one on your roster, you don't need to be giving up anything approaching a first round pick for a goalie and you shouldn't be paying them anymore than 5 million dollars.

Gibson is an interesting case because he used to be insanely good and he's decently young so you never know, but it's not worth the risk. You can get solid enough goaltending from somewhere else. The Oilers don't need to be allocating too much cap space to goaltending when McDavid and Draisaitl will be outscoring the other team on the regular no matter who is net.</div></div>

Saros has been very consistent in his career as well, between .914 and .927 yearly, as well in smaller samples that are much more prone to fluctuations
Forum: Armchair-GM6 nov. 2021 à 19 h 9
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>Koskinen definitely isn't going to be "the solution" going forward but his good performance is exactly why goaltending doesn't need to be a big concern and why the big names aren't always the solution either. Marc-Andre Fleury (very rightly) won the Vezina last year, but he looks cooked this year (and even if you want to blame that on Chicago, the year BEFORE he won the Vezina he was so bad the Knights had to bring in and immediately extend Robin Lehner). Florida extended Sergei Bobrovsky for eight years two years ago and is just this season seeing him come anywhere close to living up to it. On the other hand, Freddie Anderson looked cooked too, but he's putting up unreal numbers in Carolina for comparatively little money. One of the best goalies in the league last year was a 25 year old rookie, and we all saw what happened with Jordan Binnington- making 650k- in 2019.

All of this is to say, goaltending is complete nonsense. There are two guys in the league that you might say are night in and night out great- Hellebuyck and Vasilevskiy. If you aren't getting one of those guys or don't have one on your roster, you don't need to be giving up anything approaching a first round pick for a goalie and you shouldn't be paying them anymore than 5 million dollars.

Gibson is an interesting case because he used to be insanely good and he's decently young so you never know, but it's not worth the risk. You can get solid enough goaltending from somewhere else. The Oilers don't need to be allocating too much cap space to goaltending when McDavid and Draisaitl will be outscoring the other team on the regular no matter who is net.</div></div>

This. Well said.
Forum: Armchair-GM14 oct. 2021 à 16 h 21
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>I think Pang is half right about Dach's shot, in that I do think he has a good one, but from what I've seen and read about Dach is that his shot is a complement to the real asset he has, which is his vision. He was always able to see things really well at lower levels in his career which allowed him to score goals that no one else could score (a testament to his finishing), but it also helped him in his playmaking which is how he was able to rack up the assists in the WHL. I don't think he's quite figured that out at the NHL level yet, but he's only 20 years old.

That said, Byram was always the better prospect, and a lot of people criticized Chicago at the time for reaching on Dach when Byram (and others) were available. In that sense, Dach is probably unfairly going to have to be compared to someone like Byram when you really can't blame a player for getting picked too high. But it's only been one game, Byram played not near as tough of minutes as Dach last night and he plays on a much better team. I do think Byram is going to be the better player (even though comparing a defenseman to a forward is apples to oranges in some regards) but it's much too early to make any definitive statements about Byram's progression or Dach's lack therof and Dach is still going to be a good player in this league. It may be as simple as "he was picked ahead of better players", and like I said, not his fault.</div></div>

Well said! I literally don’t have much to add to that.
Forum: Armchair-GM2 sept. 2021 à 12 h 44
Forum: Armchair-GM30 août 2021 à 20 h 12
Sujet: Eichel
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>Well, then that's where you and I differ. I am not interested in:

1- Throwing our salary structure out of whack, which can only come back to hurt us when others run out of contract or we chase a FA.
2- Throwing our team structure, which has carefully been crafted over years, out of whack.
3- Risking on a 10M player with a potentially problematic neck situation that doesn't seem to have an end in sight ATM.
4- Losing extra important players beyond what is paid out in the trade because we can;t afford them, and turning ourselves into Edmonton.
5- Blocking Thomas progress in every way (on ice role/future leadership role).
6- Blasting a huge hole in the prospect depth we're actually starting to build back up, which can only help our cap situation moving forward.

And last but not least:

7- Agreeing to a trade that hands Tarasenko to the damn Avs FCOL.

Meanwhile, <strong>none </strong>of this works anyway because Thomas is not signing for that pittance. So now we'd piss him off and he'd hold out, and the next thing you know we're ditching him, too.

Sorry, I'm not going to get distracted by every shiny toy luxury item. If we're going to go get a crazy expensive piece, I'd rather it be one we actually need.</div></div>

Your points are fine, there is logic to avoiding a 10m AAV when the money is as tight as it is. And I can't pretend to know the severity of JE's neck injury... it does sound scarier than most injuries.

But did you say something like this when we got ROR? We already had schenn and thomas and a newly-added bozak to center the top 3 lines... why on earth would they give up the balance in their lineup and good future pieces for something they don't need?

My philosophy is start with the best players and figure the rest out. Eichel would be the best player to wear the Note in a long time - that's 100 pt potential. That wouldn't be exciting to you? There is a way to make Eichel work, if not exactly this trade. But if you're more worried about what the Blues would lose than what they'd gain then I wouldn't bother trying to convince you.
Forum: Armchair-GM30 juill. 2021 à 17 h 45
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mamlaahd</b></div><div>Carolina are not looking to swap top-6 forwards they are looking to add. Why would Carolina give St.Louis a healthy Nino for an injured Tarasenko, that literally makes zero sense. I think Gunler (considered a top-15 prospect in 2020 draft, he fell due to attitude) and a 1st for Tarasenko is good aslong as we can get half of his salary retained, but I want to move Martinook so bad because I want Drury to play on the 4th line. Drury played good in a league that is better than the AHL, so it literally makes zero sense for him to play there. It's just very confusing.</div></div>

Yeah, the half-retained route is something I think Armstrong should be looking at at this point.

Maybe it's semantics, but Tarasenko isn't injured. He had surgeries on his shoulder to correct an injury, and there is concern that the shoulder might never be 100%, but it isn't like he's on LTIR or questionable if he'll return. Anyone with interest is checking out his medical records and know what they're getting. When he played this past season, his movement and physical game looked fine, he just had trouble making plays at NHL pace from missing so much time. I expect Vladdy to put up better numbers than Nino, not to slight Nino or anything because he's a good player, but Tarasenko will finally be coming off of a full offseason and he'll have a lot to prove this year. If he didn't request a trade, I wouldn't bring up a 1-for-1 trade like that.
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