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TMarch

Membre depuis
3 avr. 2017
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Red Wings de Detroit
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Forum: Armchair-GM11 juill. 2023 à 10 h 18
Sujet: 23-24
Forum: Armchair-GM11 juill. 2023 à 10 h 16
Sujet: 23-24
Forum: Armchair-GM15 juill. 2020 à 12 h 24
Forum: Armchair-GM7 juill. 2020 à 17 h 24
Forum: Mock-Draft7 juill. 2020 à 11 h 59
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>In my mind, Dach has the best season of the Cs in this draft class, but Hughes still is the better long term prospect, with Dach as the 2nd best. Dach didn't play sheltered minutes in CHI (53/47 split), didn't get a ton of PP time (2nd PP unit), or a lot of ice time overall (14min/night, 3rd line minutes), but still had 162 shots in 64 games playing down the lineup. His shot totals showed up in his Corsi (-.5 relative, almost flat). He was trusted to play tough minutes as a kid, and even though he didn't play a ton of C, still took 222 draws (only won 33%, something that will get fixed as he gets older and stronger, not an uncommon issue).

When I went into the draft, I had Hughes, Turcotte, Zegras, Dach, Cozens, and Newhook in that order for the Cs. After this season, it's Hughes, Dach, Zegras, Turcotte, Newhook, and Cozens, but the spread isn't as wide as it may seem. You can make an argument for almost any order.

Also, the 2019 C class could be one of the better ones in recent memory, especially on depth. McMichael and Pinto really showed something too. In a 5 year redraft, you could have 8-9 Cs in the first 10 picks.</div></div>

One other stat to point out about Dach which is really impressive for a 18 year old kid in the NHL is 38 takeaways to 16 giveaways. That speaks volumes to how good his puck possession is and how well his defensive abilities are. You just don't seen 18 year old centers doing that or wingers. Usually a young forward has trouble protecting the puck, as example Hughes with 53 giveaways and 42 takeaways. Dach's ratio in this area is very strong for a season vet let alone a 18 year old kid.

I agree that Hughes will eventually be the better C, but Dach for the first 3 years should be the clearcut winner in the draft class as he is more physical mature then the rest and now has 1 year more experience then the rest aside from Hughes. Turcotte I think is going to struggle to adjust to the NHL this coming season but ultimately will be a good. My money is Zegras is the dark horse but Dach is going to be a 1C if he can get his faceoffs together and stays mentally astute as he's shown so far.
Forum: Detroit Red Wings23 juin 2020 à 10 h 19
Forum: Armchair-GM7 mai 2020 à 19 h 28
Forum: Armchair-GM28 avr. 2020 à 14 h 6
Forum: Armchair-GM20 avr. 2020 à 18 h 10
Forum: Armchair-GM20 avr. 2020 à 12 h 30
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMarch</b></div><div>Couple of points:

1. Johnson has a ton of trade value, and there are ways to get people to waive their no-trade clauses (benching, demotions, etc. Use the same logic for Gourde, Palat, and Killorn as well) Guys want no trades to get control over the situation and be part of the process, not necessarily to stop a trade (unless they are a very seasoned veteran, whereas well-run teams "defer" to the vet with the clause). I suspect that if JBB needs to move Johnson, he'll find it pretty easy, with a pretty good return.

2. Trading Sergachev may be counter-productive. While his numbers aren't earth-shattering, he was easily the 2nd best Dman overall for TBL. He was second on the team in dmen points (34), 3rd in TOI (:20 behind McDonagh), 2nd in hits, 2nd (overall and amongst dmen) in blocks. He was sheltered in the same fashion that Hedman was (Hedman and Sergachev both had a 54/46 Ozone/Dzone start split). He also generated offensive chances at the same rate as Hedman (who played 4 fewer games than Sergachev, so the numbers are skewed). Doing this with 2nd PP unit time (he was #2 dman on the team in PP time behind Hedman), and on the 2nd unit for PK (so playing all situations). All of this while only being 21 years old, which means he's got 6+ years before he is near his peak development. For teams that need to balance now vs future, Sergachev is a no brainer at 4.5-5.5mm x 4-5 years.

3. If you get a CBO, the only real candidate is Gourde, as his trade value isn't near his contract value. Johnson, Palat, and Killorn would return close to their trade values (though, no one is giving TBL full value on any trade, since everyone knows what kind of position they are in).

4. My changes would be trade Johnson (who should return a low-level 1st rounder+), Palat (the trade listed above is good value), and CBO Gourde, which would free up 15.466mm in cap space. Give Gourde's money to Sergachev. Keep the rest of your signings. In a couple of years, Shattenkirk will move on, leaving room for Foote.</div></div>

Oh I definitely do think Sergachev is a great player. A #2/3 d man as of now. If the Lighting can trade Johnson, they definitely should.