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Misterrainer

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21 sept. 2020
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Maple Leafs de Toronto
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Forum: Armchair-GM14 oct. 2020 à 14 h 53
Sujet: ANOTHER SOLUTION
Aaron Dell was a beast for my fantasy hockey team a few years ago... key words being "was" and "years ago"! He was signed as the 3rd string goalie to replace Kasimir Kaskisuo who just signed with Nashville. If we didn't add Dell, our 3rd string guy would have been Ian Scott or Joseph Woll and neither of them are ready for NHL action... and as we saw with Kaskisuo's brutal 6-1 loss to Pittsburgh last November, he wasn't ready for NHL action either! There is no way the Leafs trade Campbell and rely on Dell as the backup given how heavily they will focus on load management with Andersen this year.

As for the RFA signings, you are way overpaying both guys given the current flat cap situation. Mikheyev is expected to get no more than $1.5m according to Bob McKenzie; Dermott doesn't have arbitration rights so there's really not much he can do here if he doesn't like the Leafs QO of $874k. I think the Leafs might come up to $900k on a 1 year deal, but if Dermott wants more than that, he may find himself sitting out for the season... and that would be disastrous for both parties.
Forum: Armchair-GM14 oct. 2020 à 14 h 20
Sujet: Leafs sign RFAs and bury HollEngvall
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafsfan87</b></div><div>They have nine defensemen who should be ahead of him now, but somehow you still have Marincin on the team. Holl should be in the lineup over Bogosian and if teams are going to be allowed to carry some sort of taxi squad, as has been rumoured, then there's no need to carry more than 20 players on your active roster.</div></div>

I would fire Marincin into the sun if I could, but as the 7th dman occupying a cushy seat in the press box, he's the cheapest option we have. I have no intention of ever seeing him on the ice unless we suffer a freak injury early in a game to one of our heavy minute guys. If what you're saying about taxi squads is true then I'm all for carrying just 20 guys, but if we eliminate Marincin and Boyd at $700k apiece, that's still not enough to roster Holl's $2m cap hit. We'd have to cut another guy and run short on the offence with 11 guys instead of 12... OR cut a dman and play Holl instead. Only option they'd consider is Dermott as Rielly, Muzzin, Brodie and Lehtonen aren't going anywhere and this team didn't sign Bogosian to sit in the minors.
Forum: Armchair-GM14 oct. 2020 à 14 h 14
Sujet: Leafs sign RFAs and bury HollEngvall
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lyle_Bubas</b></div><div>or, we bury Marincin, leave bogosian as our 7th D, use the 6'4" 220 lbs Justin Holl who put up very decent numbers with Muzzin this year, and um... don't do this.

We could do better than Holl, but we could also do a lot worse imo</div></div>

Hey, I agree with you as I thought Holl was very effective in a pairing with Muzzin, but at $2m he's a heavy cap hit in a flat cap world. The problem with burying Marincin is that it only saves us $700k of cap space whereas burying Holl saves us $1.075m; I know it doesn't seem like much, but that's a sizeable difference for a team coming within $35k of the cap. I also don't think the Leafs added Bogosian to have him sit in the press box - he will definitely be in the lineup and probably seeing 13-15 mins a night on the 3rd pair.
Forum: Armchair-GM14 oct. 2020 à 10 h 59
Sujet: Final Roster w Dermott and Mikheyev
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DocArin0</b></div><div>From the research I have Done its pretty safe to say Mikheyev will get 1.5-2.25m in Arb</div></div>

This offseason has been unique because of the COVID flat cap: Devon Toews traded because Lou has no cap space in NYI; Nate Schmidt traded for nothing so VGK could afford Pietrangelo; Andreas Johnsson moved for Joey Anderson; Tyler Johnson placed on waivers by TB... and no one picked him up! It wouldn't surprise me AT ALL to see Mikheyev and Dermott accept less than Engvall. And for the record, I think Dubas is trying to trade both Engvall and Holl for the cap space; if there are no takers, I think both guys will be placed on waivers and buried in the AHL so we get relief from their contracts. We won't save the entire amount, but will get $1.075m savings for each of them.

Bob McKenzie believes Mikheyev will get $1.25m-$1.5m in arbitration and since he opted for arbitration, the Leafs get to pick the term and they'll definitely go 2 years.

Dermott is an RFA but doesn't have arbitration rights so there's really nothing he can do other than threaten to sit out for the season - and that would be a foolish move. Some analysts think he might just accept his $874k qualifying offer which will earn him arbitration rights as an RFA next year. At best, I can see him getting the same amount as Mikheyev.
Forum: Armchair-GM9 oct. 2020 à 20 h 49
Forum: Armchair-GM9 oct. 2020 à 20 h 45
Forum: Armchair-GM9 oct. 2020 à 17 h 48
Sujet: After the draft before free agency
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tryger</b></div><div>Topline potential is great, top-line potential at $4M is still good, top-line potential but 8 goals and an injury last year is the reality the Leafs are selling. I'd expect the Kings to get a second and third for Kempe, who outscored Johnsson last season, has less injury issues, and is paid 40% less. So we already have a player like Johnsson in Kempe, Iafallo, and Grunstrom at a much lower cap hit. I don't understand how the Kings would be seen as winners in this trade.</div></div>

I see what you're saying and think you're completely undervaluing what Johnsson can do based solely on his stats from last year when he was pushed down the lineup in Toronto and then got injured. He was a 20 goal scorer the season prior and even last year when he was playing on the top line, he was putting up better than 0.5 points per game in 15 mins TOI. That said, I don't even care about the 2nd round pick in this trade - all I want back is the Leafs' own 3rd round pick in case we decide to offersheet someone and need the compensatory pick. If you think Johnsson at $3.4m is overpaid then I don't know what to tell you.
Forum: Armchair-GM9 oct. 2020 à 13 h 11
Sujet: After the draft before free agency
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tryger</b></div><div>If Mikheyev believes getting paid $1.5M x 2 is what he's worth that's fine, and he can turn down all the offer sheets he gets. But if another job was paying you 25% to double as much what you are making, I'd call you crazy if stayed put.

Johnsson being a top-line player seems pretty inaccurate, he looks pretty close to Adrian Kempe who is a middle-six player for nearly 75% more of a cap hit (during a frozen cap) and he isn't coming off a season-ending injury. Sort of seems like a bum deal for the Kings to give up futures and cap space for someone who only scored 8 goals last season on one of the best offensive teams in the league.</div></div>

Do you think there's a team that's going to offersheet Mikheyev at more than what the Leafs will offer him? I don't. He's going to get $1.25m-$2.0m and I can't see any other team going above that - especially when it's going to cost them a pick. The entire point of an offersheet is to overpay and make it difficult for the current team to match. No one is going to do that for a guy like Mikheyev.

As for Johnsson, on many other teams in the league he'd be playing on the 1st line; in Toronto, that didn't happen because we've got Matthews-Marner and Tavares-Nylander as our top pairs and then lined up puck retrievers with them: Hyman and Mikheyev. Johnsson ends up relegated to the 3rd line where his skill gets wasted; he'd be at least a 2nd liner on the Kings.
Forum: Armchair-GM8 oct. 2020 à 17 h 19
Sujet: When nothing happens
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Boomer125</b></div><div>I do want Gudas , mostly for 3rd or 2nd pair , not a Hamonic fan (injury guy). There are still options in the trade market, I'm in love with stealing Weegar out of Florida with a heavy 4x4 OS if a AJ plus can't get a trade done</div></div>

My list has Stecher at $2m AAV, Vatanen at $3m, Gudas at $3m and Hamonic at $4.5m. I too would prefer a 2nd or 3rd pairing guy instead of throwing big money at a 1RD, but if we don't acquire one via free agency, who plays with Rielly? I've heard rumours of Dermott going to the right side and the new stud from the KHL (Mikko Lehtonen) is a leftie that can play the right too. And he's eating big minutes in the KHL (22:23 TOI this year, over 20 last year) so maybe he's the guy.
Forum: Armchair-GM8 oct. 2020 à 16 h 36
Sujet: After the draft before free agency
Traded Johnsson to LA just to gain the cap space... but they could use a talented LW as their current options are limited. Also wanted to get back our 3rd round pick from last year's Muzzin/Clifford deal just in case we decide to "go for it" and offer sheet Ryan Pulock in NYI! Lamoriello is in a jam as he's only got $8.9m available and has to sign RFAs Matt Barzal, Ryan Pulock and Devon Toews. If the Leafs throw a $6m offer sheet at Pulock (who's just 25 and a 1st pairing RHD) then we wouldn't sign Gudas and Lehtonen/Holl drop down a pair. We'd also have to trade away Kerfoot to make space for Pulock but I don't think that will be too difficult.

As for Lehtonen on the top pair, I know that will raise eyebrows, but he led all KHL dmen in scoring last season, is doing it again this season (6 G, 12 Pts in 8 GP) and is averaging 22:23 TOI for Jokerit. He'll likely start on the 3rd pair to get adjusted to the N.American game, but I can definitely see him move up to at least the 2nd pair and log big minutes + QB our 2PP unit.