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Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 déc. 2019 à 15 h 55
Sujet:
Leafs improved defense amp backup
delete
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 déc. 2019 à 15 h 54
Sujet:
Leafs improved defense amp backup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LoganOllivier</b></div><div>The current "Rielly is not even a top pair defender" ideal that is spinning out of control is utter nonsense.</div></div>
I haven't seen anyone say "Rielly is a second pairing dman".
Where are you getting this narrative? One guy? Maybe two?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 déc. 2019 à 13 h 39
Sujet:
Leafs improved defense amp backup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Pmwalker</b></div><div>Didn’t the cap stay the same and it’s notexpected to rise above 81.5 until after expansion?</div></div>
No, the cap increased from 79.5 million to 81.5 million.
A quote from 31 Thoughts by Elliotte Friedman:
"There is an interesting development regarding the 2020–21 salary cap. Because players and agents were trying to avoid putting too much salary into what could have been a lockout/strike season, there is less cash scheduled to be paid out next year. There are some big contracts on the way (Torey Krug, Alex Pietrangelo, etc.), but the overall amount of cash is still going to be lower. That’s good news for escrow haters, because (very early) predictions from both the NHL and NHLPA indicate that number will be very low. It’s too early to know for sure, but that opens the possibility the players add some breathing room by using more of their “inflator” on the cap. They can raise it up to five per cent, but have been going considerably lower the last couple of seasons. Cap-strapped clubs would love that news."
Still up in the air, but we're likely to get more of an increase from last year.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 déc. 2019 à 13 h 29
Sujet:
Leafs improved defense amp backup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Pmwalker</b></div><div>Until he learns to play better in his own end he’s not an Elite number one defender. He has elite parts to his offensive game but his overall game is far from elite.
You often downplay others knowledge of the sport and then post stuff like this. It makes some question your hockey knowledge if you think Reilly’s an elite number one defender. Just sayin.</div></div>
Yeah this guy is a pompous doorknob. Rielly is not good in his own end at all. He can't break the cycle to safe his life and is so often out of position.
"Don't know how hockey is played" but thinks Rielly is way above average defensively. Hilarious.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 déc. 2019 à 13 h 16
Sujet:
Leafs improved defense amp backup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>newballcoach</b></div><div>We apparently have very different visions for what defenceman should be. Barrie shouldn't earn 8 million because he can't defend. Playing him with an excellent defender to make him good enough to play is not what you want to do with an 8 million dollar player. Larsson being a solid #4 is also a bit of a question mark.
Not to mention that you've significantly depleted Toronto's depth at winger, greatly weakened the third line and are trusting 3 rookies with fairly important minutes. And you've raised the salary cap 2.5 million, which is far less than it was raised last year.
I really don't think this is very good, sorry. And Slavin is an absolute stud, if Carolina made that trade they would be foolish.</div></div>
You could also move Adam Larsson to the top pair with Slavin. It would be a shutdown pair. Barrie with Dermott has looked good.
Keefe doesn't play the third and fourth guys like Babcock did. Their minutes are greatly reduced since he became head coach. We don't need the insane winger depth when we're paying our top guys a very high percentage of the cap. Let the big boys play while improving the defense.
The cap went up 2 million last year. Early indications are that last year was an anomaly and it should go up more this year. 2.5 million increase is a safe bet.
Can't argue with Carolina wanting to keep him.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 déc. 2019 à 12 h 59
Sujet:
Leafs improved defense amp backup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>newballcoach</b></div><div>That right side is trash. Highly paid bad at defending trash.
Not to mention the fantasy land that the Hurricanes trade is.</div></div>
Rielly + Johnsson is pretty fair value in a vacuum IMO.
A little bit odd that you think the right side is complete trash. Adam Larsson is a solid #4 defensemen on a fair contract. Barrie isn't solid defensively, but I think Slavin and him would pair well together. We don't really know what Liljegren is, but his numbers in the AHL are really good. We'll see how he turns out.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 déc. 2019 à 12 h 50
Sujet:
Leafs improved defense amp backup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LoganOllivier</b></div><div>I like how the guy who finished 5th in Norris voting last season is now worth less then every other defenceman now. I hate this site.</div></div>
I was gonna do Rielly for Slavin 1 for 1, but I don't think Carolina would do that.
Rielly is one of the best offensive dman in the league, but he's horrendous in his own end.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
4 juin 2019 à 16 h 35
Sujet:
Leafs next year big changes
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>draft_em_sign_em_trade_em</b></div><div>A contract of 3 seasons compared to a 8 seasons contract isn't good math. Leafs would have to add more. Muzzin was for a 1st Round, a Marlie and a prospect, for an 1 1/2 year contract rental. Kadri's trade value is less than Muzzin.</div></div>
You're crazy to think Kadri's value is less than Jake Muzzin's value. No way.
There aren't many 30 goal centers in the league dude, everyone is looking for them.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
4 juin 2019 à 16 h 28
Sujet:
Leafs next year big changes
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>draft_em_sign_em_trade_em</b></div><div>Not trolling; Kadri straight up for a Top 4 RHD who is signed for 8 years is a TROLL job.</div></div>
Kari had two 32 goal seasons until his minutes were reduced when Tavares came in.
He is a very solid 2C on a great contract.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
4 juin 2019 à 16 h 24
Sujet:
Leafs next year big changes
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jutila</b></div><div>With Zaitsev+Kapanen combo u have a shot for TVR.
Kapanen for Faulk + .</div></div>
<a href="https://twitter.com/Account4hockey/status/1135979630811385856" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/Account4hockey/status/1135979630811385856</a>
I think the Hurricanes would be crazy to do it, but crazier things have happened.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
4 juin 2019 à 16 h 23
Sujet:
Leafs next year big changes
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>draft_em_sign_em_trade_em</b></div><div>That Ellis trade is missing a 1st Round pick and a top prospect included from the Leafs to get accepted.</div></div>
Trolling?
Forum:
NHL Signings
5 févr. 2019 à 20 h 46
Sujet:
Toronto Maple Leafs signed Auston Matthews (5 Years / $11,640,250 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>That giant Wall, once inflation was added, predicted 11aav + the difference between Matthews and Eichel's. I missed on the term for sure but the AAV was spot on</div></div>
Lmao you never got the AAV, just straight up lying.
Even if you did, who cares? The AAV would be completely different on an 8 year deal.
You're way off all of the time. Stop posting.
Forum:
NHL Signings
5 févr. 2019 à 15 h 9
Sujet:
Toronto Maple Leafs signed Auston Matthews (5 Years / $11,640,250 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>they did get 1 ufa year, but I agree. AAV is fine, term is not good. if it was 7@11.634, it would be a good deal (hell even 6@), but 5 is no bueno.</div></div>
You better update your giant wall of nonsense to reflect these new developments.
Remember when you said I was pulling numbers out my ass when I said the contact will be way higher than your projected 9 million for Matthews?
Hello.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
31 janv. 2019 à 14 h 52
Sujet:
5 Years for Matthews 6 for Marner
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jamiepo</b></div><div>Kane got 10.2% on a 5 year deal. That marner deal seems about right.</div></div>
No, he got 11.09%.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
31 janv. 2019 à 14 h 45
Sujet:
5 Years for Matthews 6 for Marner
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>Yeah, but he doesn't deserve that, and you don't just go an accept what their camp wants.
Nylander wanted 8.5 remember.</div></div>
I agree that he doesn't deserve as much as Matthews.
But if his ask is 13 million at 8 years (that's how much Matthews wants, therefore Marner wants the same), why would he take 9 million instead?
Matthews and Marner have more leverage than Nylander. The two negotiations are very different.
The chance of an offersheet is much more likely for Marner and Matthews.
No one was willing to give up 4 1st rounders for Nylander. I can guarantee there are teams out there who would give up 4 1st rounders for Matthews or Marner.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
31 janv. 2019 à 14 h 40
Sujet:
5 Years for Matthews 6 for Marner
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>I could live with Matthews at that number if it was 7 years long. You could convince me for 6 ( I think 6 years is 9.5 which gets moved to 9.34 to have 34 in the number which is only 500-660k less), but for 5 years that is just too much aav. Remember, Eichel got 8@10
Will have to see though.
On Marner, you could get 7-8 years for just a touch more, as Kucherov is the aav cap for him, so it might as well be done.</div></div>
You realize Marner's camp is saying they deserve as much as Matthews, right?
Good luck getting him for a "touch more" than 8.5 million at 7-8 years.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
31 janv. 2019 à 14 h 35
Sujet:
5 Years for Matthews 6 for Marner
I agree with the Matthews contract. I think that's a fair number for both sides on a 5 year deal.
I don't agree with the Marner contract.
Kane and Marner are virtually identical (position, points per game, similar play style). Why would Marner take less cap % than Kane and give up 1 UFA year?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
30 janv. 2019 à 15 h 53
Sujet:
Doesnt Look Too Bad
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>:shakehead</div></div>
I'll be sure to @ you when Matthews' deal is announced for 11 million @ 6 years.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
30 janv. 2019 à 15 h 41
Sujet:
Doesnt Look Too Bad
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>I'm saying there is more involved, and that all together, his ppg are cancelled out by Eichel all around game. Basically, they are similar players, and should be paid similarly.</div></div>
They aren't the same players. Look at the PPG. You are turning a blind eye because you're so stuck on the AAV that you made up in your head.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
30 janv. 2019 à 15 h 41
Sujet:
Doesnt Look Too Bad
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Juice</b></div><div>Yup. I wouldn't be surprised if it goes as high as $11m for 5 years. $10m would be a big win by my estimation</div></div>
Agreed.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
30 janv. 2019 à 15 h 40
Sujet:
Doesnt Look Too Bad
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>That acgm was built in the off season, and is incomplete as I was waiting for this season to finish before I finished it. The reason it's formatted terribly is because it's literally not done.
The Nylander number was without cap inflation or any other factors included only using the Ehlers comparison. As I said, it is not done.
Nice to know you did not actually read it. Seems like everyone who doesn't thinks the way you do. Funny that...
The part I was referring to was the stats for Matthews, which are. Funny how you don't acknowledge that ...
You argue about me getting the Nylander thing wrong here, yet it was not done and did not factor in 2/3rd of the stuff.
If you are going to critique something, actually give it a ****ing read first...
You also don't talk about any of what I said at all in the post...</div></div>
I'm not going to bother reading your 25 paragraphs of misinformation and outdated numbers. What a waste of time that would be.
I'll end it with this. Your projections for Marner and Matthews are both wrong. I'd bet money on it.
Go back to the drawing board with how you calculate your projected AAV. You're about to get Marner, Nylander and Matthews all wrong.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
30 janv. 2019 à 1 h 8
Sujet:
LEAFS 1920
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jamiepo</b></div><div>And again... I agree with the improved stats completely disagree with the extra cap... do you seriously think that GM’s, agents and player don’t realize the cap will go up when they extend contracts?</div></div>
Of course players and agents know the cap will go up, but they can only project until the actual cap number is released.
When there's a solid number, it's much easier to negotiate.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
30 janv. 2019 à 0 h 47
Sujet:
LEAFS 1920
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>You could add at most a million and get Marner for 8 years you know, so why 5?
(Hint: Marner asked for 8@9, Dubas said no, which is why talks were postponed until after season)
I figure Matthews wont go below 9, give him another year and be cute with it. > 6@9.34</div></div>
Marner asked for 8 years @ 9 million in the summer when his PPG was at 0.82.
Marner is now at 0.92 PPG and it continues to go up game by game.
The cap was also 79.5 million, the projected cap is 83m.
Your numbers are way off in pretty much every post I see from you.
I'm sorry, but it's painful to read. Especially when you post so much.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
30 janv. 2019 à 0 h 2
Sujet:
Doesnt Look Too Bad
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>Okay, so he gets 11.whatever for 8 right? (that is Eichel + inflation + however much better you think Matthews is).
RFA's take off huge parts of their salary due to CBA **** to go shorter.
Take off a year take off a million or so.
Therefore,
I figure he wont go much below 9 so no use going to 5.
6@9.34
7@10.34
8@11.34
Also, the kane and towes argument only factors in points, and not other major factors. Everything included that number is very close, so Kane/Toews is 5@9.2, then Matthews (with some of his issues) would come to 5-6@9.34.
That is a fairly easy comparable.
Now tell me, when you could get Matthews at 8 years for just a touch over your prediction, why go to 6?
I cannot for the life of me understand why people on her think the Leafs will have to so badly overpay for their players. Yeah they are very good. They are even elite.
That doesn't mean you have to overpay for no discernible reason.
Your numbers are stupidly high for no real reason. Eichel got 10 for 8 years. Matthews and Eichel are EXTREMELY COMPARABLE (see <a href="https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/884206">https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/884206</a>) < go to 3rd section
So why would Matthews get that much for way less term. UFA years are expensive, taking them off takes off a huge amount</div></div>
I just checked out the link you sent me to your post.
I'm sorry, but that thing is a bit of a disaster. There's so much outdated information, and it's formatted terribly.
You got Nylander wrong, by a million dollars.
You keep comparing the last season, or the last two seasons when comparing players. This is wrong. You compare the entire ELC PPG. This is why you got Nylander so wrong.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
29 janv. 2019 à 23 h 36
Sujet:
dealing from position of weakness because of cap hell
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>Matthews AAV is the same as Toews at 83 cap. Comparable contracts put that right there for a 6 year deal.
Marner would be the 2nd highest paid winger with this contract behind proven performer and (almost) UFA Kucherov.
The 8 year deals are 8@11.34 and 8@8.5-9 respectively. People here seem to think Toronto needs to badly overpay for their players for no real reason. Marner is much closer to Gaudreau, who got 6.75 I will remind you.
So I ask where you get your absurd numbers for these players? Media who think Marner will get 14? and Matthews will somehow get 25?</div></div>
You're saying Marner should sign less than Kane/Toews, even though their production is nearly identical while giving up 3 UFA years?
Those 3 UFA years are going to be extremely expensive.
It's not going to happen. The Leafs have no leverage here.
Matthews will get way more than Toews did. They are not equal. Matthews' production is way higher through his ELC.
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