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JP_knows_it_all

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11 avr. 2018
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Canadiens de Montréal
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Forum: Armchair-GM18 août 2018 à 9 h 45
Sujet: see how this works
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>clark</b></div><div>thank buck....when I think of buck rogers, I think of the old expo manager. not making trades and just signing your rfas seems to be a lost art on this sight. of course young players...and borgman, rosen, ozhignokov aren't that young, but the leafs are depending on them to be cost efficient players in next few years. if not good enough it's trades or ufas.</div></div>

If that's the best deal Marner's agent is able to get from TOR, he'll be fired on the spot. He doesn't deserve anything less than L.Draisaitl. And please anyone, don't throw the "centers makes more than wingers" argument since it had clearly been demonstrated, in the past, that it is not the case in 50% of the time (by me, in particular : see this <a href="https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/163186&amp;post_id=565382">https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/163186&amp;post_id=565382</a> reply #13).

If you compare the 2 players (production, ice-time, Pts/60min, draft position, player pedigree, etc), there's really no way Marner is worth 7M$ &amp; Draisaitl 8.5M$. And if we go by cap %...Marner SHOULD get more than 8.5M$ (9 007 350M$ exactly if Marner also gets 11.33% of the cap). I'd say 8.3 to 8.5M$ is what he ends up having.
Forum: Armchair-GM18 août 2018 à 9 h 25
Sujet: Tic Tac To
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Truebeliever</b></div><div>Not surprisingly, both (and Weber) are all ahead of schedule in their recoveries.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Davisoc</b></div><div>Touche, I didn't know that..</div></div>

All indications shows that Byron will be ready for puck drop. Shaw might be ready by the end of October. Weber probably won't be back before christmas. I think that chances are high Habs sign Després, who's on PTO. He's a RHD, can skate and have a good first pass + he'll be cheap (guessing 850-900K$) AND he's french canadian. I think Juulsen plays top minutes in Laval this season again and joins the Habs full time in 2019-2020. It would be best for his developpment than to play with the dreaded Karl Alzner lol
Forum: Armchair-GM17 août 2018 à 20 h 10
Sujet: BOS/CGY Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jp_harvey</b></div><div>Look at the long term outlook...they have 55.3M$ invested in 2019-2020. So that gives them 27.7M$ of free cap space to resign Wheeler/Laine/Connor/Copp/Tanev/Chiarot/Brossoit/Dano (Myers is walking, 100% sure). It's doable, but only by trading either one of Little or Pearreault for picks &amp; prospects ONLY (no money on the books in return). Not THAT hard to do. Both players are still pretty usefull.

8M$ for Wheeler, 10M$ for Laine, 6M$ for Connor, 1.5M$ for Copp, 1.7M$ for Tanev, 850K$ for Dano, 700K$ for Brossoit or E.Comrie, 1.5M$ for Chiarot. For a total of 29.25M$ (over the cap by 1.55M$). Then trade out let's say Perreault &amp; his 4.125M$ and you're at 2.575M$ under the 83M$ cap with 22 roster players.

2.575M$ to add one player is more than enough. There you have it ?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mcoach69</b></div><div>i did and it works out to 85.9 with 22 contracts and no GM is going to cut a team that close IMO</div></div>

I made a small mistake (1M$), but it still work.

8+ 10 = 18 / 18 + 6 = 24 / 24 + 1,5 = 25,5 / 25,5 + 1,7 = 27,2 / 27,2 + 0,85 = 28,05 / 28,05 + 0.7 = 28,75 / 28,75 + 1,5 = 30,25.

That's 30,25M$ of cap hit, not 29,25M$ like I previously wrote (2.55M$ over the cap). So, by shedding Perreault's contract (4.125M$), they'd have 1.575M$ of cap space to add a rookie : say, Lemieux at 839K$, they'd then have 736K$ of cap space. That is very narrow, you're right, so they'd maybe have to move Little instead of Perreault (it would create +1.16M$ of cap space to make it 1.896M$) or try and ask Wheeler &amp; Laine to take small pay cuts of 400-500K$ each or bridge K.Connor.

Still, it only shows that it is possible and it would/will not be "that" hard to do. They'll just face some hard decisions in a who to keep who to move sense and ask their players to sacrifice a tiny little bit of $$ for the well being of the team long term. And for the potential of keeping a team as cup contender for the foreseeable future, players tend to make those kinds of concessions (S.Stamkos &amp; his 8.5M$ cap hit, N.Kucherov &amp; his 9.5M$ cap hit, S.Crosby and his 8.7M$ cap hit, etc.)
Forum: Armchair-GM17 août 2018 à 19 h 21
Sujet: BOS/CGY Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mcoach69</b></div><div>really go to armchair-gm make a 2019-20 jets team add the traded players and the FA and check the numbers it's math don't understand how you could have mistaken what I am saying to you</div></div>

DUDE!!! LOOK ON THE LONG TERM OUTLOOK BUTTON ON THIS VERY ACGM IN WHICH WE ARE DEBATING. YOU'LL SEE, AT THE BOTTOM, THAT, IN THIS SCENARIO, 2019-2020 JETS HAVE 55.3M$ INVESTED IN 14 PLAYERS (AGAIN, IN THIS VERY ARM CHAIR GM WITH THE MOVES DCC94 PROPOSED). PLEASE!!!! TAKE 30 SECONDRS OF YOUR TIME AND DO WHAT I'M SAYING...YOU'LL UNDERSTAND THAT EVERYTHING I SAID EARLIER MAKES PERFECT SENSE.

Just do it, please...it could be so simple for you to understand the situation if you'd just look the "long-term outlook" of this very ACGM.
Forum: Armchair-GM17 août 2018 à 18 h 13
Sujet: BOS/CGY Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jp_harvey</b></div><div>Look at the long term outlook...they have 55.3M$ invested in 2019-2020. So that gives them 27.7M$ of free cap space to resign Wheeler/Laine/Connor/Copp/Tanev/Chiarot/Brossoit/Dano (Myers is walking, 100% sure). It's doable, but only by trading either one of Little or Pearreault for picks &amp; prospects ONLY (no money on the books in return). Not THAT hard to do. Both players are still pretty usefull.

8M$ for Wheeler, 10M$ for Laine, 6M$ for Connor, 1.5M$ for Copp, 1.7M$ for Tanev, 850K$ for Dano, 700K$ for Brossoit or E.Comrie, 1.5M$ for Chiarot. For a total of 29.25M$ (over the cap by 1.55M$). Then trade out let's say Perreault &amp; his 4.125M$ and you're at 2.575M$ under the 83M$ cap with 22 roster players.

2.575M$ to add one player is more than enough. There you have it ?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mcoach69</b></div><div>First of all your numbers are wrong jets have 11 players under contract for 19-20 at a cost of 48.6 or 54.1 if Morrissey is at 5.5. Then add 8 for Wheeler 10 for Lianne 6 for Connor total 24 for a grand total of 78.1 and 15 players 1.5 for Copp 1.7 for Tanev 81.3 17 players .775 for Niku is 82 for 18 players short 5 6 if either Perrsult or Little are moved doesn't quite add up in my books but if a SC is won can you suffer for a year</div></div>

<strong>Look at the long term outlook</strong>...<strong>in THIS scenario, since this is what we are discussing, right?</strong>

I replied to you regarding <strong>this</strong> scenario so all my numbers are perfectly fine as well as all my calculations and moves that have to happen to make it all fit under the cap .

There's no "long term outlook" in the NHL teams cap situation link, on www.capfriendly.com...I don't understand how you could have mistaken what I was saying to you.
Forum: Armchair-GM17 août 2018 à 12 h 31
Sujet: BOS/CGY Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mcoach69</b></div><div>I like the trades for a run at the SC this year but these moves basically cripple the jets next year unless they can make some spectacular trades post season.5 players needing to be resigned (Con, Whe, Lia, Tan,Cop and a backup goalie) and only 7.5 coming off the books makes next year a GM nightmare</div></div>

Look at the long term outlook...they have 55.3M$ invested in 2019-2020. So that gives them 27.7M$ of free cap space to resign Wheeler/Laine/Connor/Copp/Tanev/Chiarot/Brossoit/Dano (Myers is walking, 100% sure). It's doable, but only by trading either one of Little or Pearreault for picks &amp; prospects ONLY (no money on the books in return). Not THAT hard to do. Both players are still pretty usefull.

8M$ for Wheeler, 10M$ for Laine, 6M$ for Connor, 1.5M$ for Copp, 1.7M$ for Tanev, 850K$ for Dano, 700K$ for Brossoit or E.Comrie, 1.5M$ for Chiarot. For a total of 29.25M$ (over the cap by 1.55M$). Then trade out let's say Perreault &amp; his 4.125M$ and you're at 2.575M$ under the 83M$ cap with 22 roster players.

2.575M$ to add one player is more than enough. There you have it ?
Forum: Armchair-GM16 août 2018 à 13 h 25
Sujet: Another Karlsson trade!? Whaaaaaaaaat?
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mm1010</b></div><div>I agree with most of what you are saying. but when a player is on LTIR Insurance pays his salary not the team. so OTT would be able to save money there.
BUt wont happen to many NMC. that no one will waive let alone one of them. and it takes edmontons weak winger position and makes them even worse.
Drake is not a #1 winger he is a 4. Maybe a 3rd liner with injury.
also just found that Nuge has chemistry with Mcjesus so why would they trade him to only have to find someone else who can play with him</div></div>

It would have to be verified, but not all contract are insured. That's what I read from different sources (previous agents &amp; hockey insiders tweets and from different broadcast I watched over the years). For example, I heard that the N.Horton contract isn't insured so it's the team who must pay the player salary and it's not the only case like that. I don't really know how to verify that information, though...
Forum: Armchair-GM16 août 2018 à 10 h 18
Forum: Armchair-GM16 août 2018 à 10 h 9
Sujet: Another Karlsson trade!? Whaaaaaaaaat?
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Goldendelicious</b></div><div>With Sekera its not about LTIR cap space...OTT.
Getting Lucic "saves" the Sens about 4mill. Not really significant because if that was the case. You're assuming Lucic will be easier to move than Ryan, not the case.
Sekera was not a great defender before and now has an achilles injury to deal with which will affect his value the next two seasons. He MIGHT return to form for the final year of his contract. Besides he has a NMC and is not going to waive to go to EDM.

Paying players north of 10mill is not ridiculous when the salary cap is going up year after year. Top players now are negotiating based total cap percentage. The only way EK doesn't sign 11 or higher would be because he signs in a tax-free state.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Davisoc</b></div><div>First of all Sekera goes right on LTIR, so not a problem. Lucic will be easier to move long term VS Ryan. And 9.5mill is top dollar. Its just not ridiculous money like north of 10.</div></div>

OTT is trying to lower the amount of dollars the give out to players. Having Sekera on LTIR doesn't change a thing for them since they ARE paying him his salary anyway.

For the Ryan vs Lucic debate, they already have 4 years of high dollars owed to deadweight Ryan, why would they want to switch that for deadweight Lucic?? They're only interested in taking in contracts with high AAV but low salary left. For example, a 7 years contract at 7M$ AAV with 3 years left with annual salaries of 5M$-4M$-3.5M$. It gives them 7M$ of cap hit for 3 years (21M$ total) while only having to pay 12.5M of real dollars (8.5M$ in actual savings). Also, they do NOT want contract with signing bonuses since they are a cost efficient team and doesn't have the ressources big teams have to pay big dollars on july 1st.

PLUS : Lucic has a full NMC for another 3 years. There's absolutely no way he accepts to go to bottom feeder OTT. Hell, B.Ryan has a 10 team NTC too and EDM might as well be on it!
Forum: Armchair-GM15 août 2018 à 21 h 23
Sujet: No one ever does Ducks AGM, lots of great prospects..but can they still compete?
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HockeyNM1510</b></div><div>I think the Ritchie and Kase contracts should be switched. Other than that, it looks pretty good.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jded</b></div><div>Ritchie for $1.7M, Kase no higher than $2.5M.

Love how hot you are on the Ducks, but they have a few bloated contracts that are hurting them, and guys with dubious futures health wise. Perry looks like trash now. If he starts the season hot I’d ask him to waive that NMC and move him for anything at all. The Ducks are really going to need to rely on young guys coming up big this year if they want to have a chance</div></div>

Did you see O.Kase's contract signing today? 3 years at 2.6M$ AAV. I was at 3 years at 2.65M$ AAV in this thread posted 5 weeks ago. Can you say "spot on"?! ?
Forum: Armchair-GM15 août 2018 à 20 h 48
Sujet: Calm Down Rethink
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MakingHistory</b></div><div>Bro this team is for 19/20 i dont think you looked at it right.</div></div>

Yep, forgot about that. Still, Peca will not be worth squat next season. And the kids will not all start at center. The biggest majority of rookie centers starts on the wing to adapt to the pace of the game. Poehling and/or Kotkaniemi is definitely starting on the wing (I think Poehling finish his University before joining the NHL, so he won't be on the team before 2021). You'll need Peca for the 4th line.

And for Hudon, no way he's expandable next season. If, baring a miracle, he becomes expandable, it'll mean that the Habs rookies and young players had an incredible 2018-2019 season with 4 or 5 of them scoring 40-50pts combine with Hudon having an horrible season, thus making the kids all moving ahead of C.H. on the teams ranking...what are the possibility of that happening this season?? 1 out of 10 000? 1 out of 50 000? 1 out of 100 000? It's not happening.
Forum: Armchair-GM15 août 2018 à 20 h 38
Forum: Armchair-GM15 août 2018 à 20 h 36
Sujet: Calm Down Rethink
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MakingHistory</b></div><div>im sorry but we already have 3rd line center more like 2</div></div>

So what? He is on the team, whether you like it or not (you have no reasons not to like it considering you don't even know the player). And no, we don't have a lot of 3rd line center. Danault would be considered a 3rd line center on the top15 teams in the league but he plays 2nd line center in MTL. Pleky is now a 4th line centerman, just like JDLR. Drouin &amp; Domi aren't even center but they'll probably alternate 1st line center all season.

So Peca perfectly fits them at the 3rd line center position. Again, wait 'till you've seen him play 20-25 gamrs to judge. No matter what, Habs are a lottery team in '18-'19 so better let young players with upside play.
Forum: Armchair-GM15 août 2018 à 20 h 29
Sujet: Calm Down Rethink
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MakingHistory</b></div><div>Not good enough fit in the roster</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>EthanK24</b></div><div>Can’t we trade him then, instead of just left him walk?</div></div>

You're right. After tearing up the AHL for 2 seasons, then ending up with 30pts in his first NHL campain (in 72 games or 0.42pt/game) while playing on the 3rd &amp; 4th line of a bottom 5 NHL team and still only being 24 years old, he's not good enough for the Habs...(sarcasm alert)

There would be ABSOLUTELY NO REASONS for the Habs to not qualify Hudon, next season nor to drop him in the minors. Maybe a trade, but for something meaningful and helpfull. He's an excellent young player with great offensive upside. I really don't understand why you're saying that he's not important and should be shown the door.