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Haymaker26

Membre depuis
3 juin 2021
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Penguins de Pittsburgh
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Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 2 heures
Sujet: Demko Trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JohnJohnson</b></div><div>Yeah sure judge Demko off a 15 game tough sample size, not the two previous years of eliete goaltending</div></div>

I'm judging him based off of both. In the past, Jarry and Demko have had very similar careers, very similar numbers. I care so much about those 15 games because that's how he's played recently and the Pens are absolutely in win-now mode. That alone makes Jarry more valueable than Demko *to Pittsburgh*. If they're going to have a shot at the playoffs, let alone another deep run with this core, they need someone who's good *now*. Demko is usually elite. He isn't right now, bad defense or good defense. And Jarry is. Why should we take Demko and hope he returns to form rather than keep Jarry, who's still playing at an elite level?
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 14 heures
Sujet: Demko Trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JohnJohnson</b></div><div>Save percentage doesn’t determine who the better goalie is. Demkos save percentage is greatly weaken by playing infront of arguably the worst defensive team in the league. Ask any NHL gm or scout, they’d take demko.
And if you think that Jarry is the better goalie then why would you propose this 1 for 1 trade?</div></div>

I didn't propose this trade. I'm not the one who published this ACGM.

And I know that save percentage isn't always the best tool to measure a goalie's performance. But discarding it entirely, especially with the delta between the two save percentages being as high as it is, is foolish. How about this then: via Evolving-Hockey out of all goalies to have faced 600+ shot attempts this season, Jarry has saved 9.21 GSAx (15th). Demko's GSAx is -11.35 (50th).

And yeah, your defense sucks. Ours isn't great. In terms of shots against/60 (again via Evolving-Hockey), the Pens and 'Nucks are neck and neck at 7th and 8th worst (Pens let up ~0.4 shots more/60). In xG against/60, Pittsburgh is in the bottom half. The Pens' defense is average at best.

We're being bouyed by Jarry being stellar and a top 6 that can outscore our problems on occasion. The best goalies can steal games. Jarry does that for us a lot this season. I'd argue the Islanders and Predators are in a similar position, only a little more exaggerated. Demko clearly hasn't.
Forum: Armchair-GMlun. à 9 h 39
Sujet: what is Barbashevs trade value
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Perdikkas</b></div><div>Thank you
And, POJ sucks</div></div>

Dude like 90% of your post history is ****ting on POJ, even though his performance doesn't justify it at all. If you want to complain about anyone on the Penguins, complain about Dumoulin's sharp decline and that he still gets top 4 minutes. Complain about the fact that we pay Carter, McGinn, Kapanen, and Blueger a combined $11+ million to be incapable of offense. Complain about Hextall's ****ty depth or his apparent refusal to do anything about it. Complain about Sully not lowering the ice time of underperforming players, the stagnant lineups, and the times where the 3rd line is playing against teams' top lines (I saw that a few times against SJS). There are so many reasonable criticisms you can have for this team. Yours isn't one. I genuinely wonder if you dislike POJ for reasons other than his on-ice performance.
Forum: Armchair-GMsam. à 10 h 6
Sujet: Deadline - 4C 2LW 2LD 3Rd
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldBoisClubSandwich</b></div><div>lol k whatever you say capt

what exactly is Sandin worth now? Didn't seem like much vs OTT or Zona when leafs lost to both</div></div>

It doesn't paint the entire picture, but I am a stats nerd, so I love Dom Luszczyszyn's GSVA cards. Sandin's GSVA is 2.2, which is the 89th percentile. Gavrikov's GSVA is -1.0, which is the 14th percentile.
Let me reiterate that no advanced stats will tell the full picture, and there are a lot of things that cannot be accounted for. But they're still a useful benchmark that can give further insight into the game.
I don't get the Gavrikov hype. His card is worse than Brian Dumoulin's - and as a Pens fan, I know firsthand how low of a bar that is. I'd much rather have Sandin.
Forum: Armchair-GM24 janv. à 22 h 28
Forum: Armchair-GM15 janv. à 17 h 54
Sujet: This wouldve been awesome
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>evelutions2</b></div><div>There was no way in hell that Seattle was taking a washed up Carter over Tanev or McCann.</div></div>

I think people forget, this was the offseason after we aquired Carter. When we initially got him, he scored 9 goals in 14 games with us, and then 4 goals in 6 playoff games and was arguably the best Pens forward in that series against the Isles that still haunts me in my nightmares. Carter was not washed up at the time, and the rumor was that if he was not protected, he'd be the pick. Hextall didn't want to do that because he'd just aquired a player who at the time was a fantastic 3C. The problem was that Carter didn't stay good for as long as we hoped, and the extention was a bad idea.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BestGMBenning</b></div><div>The funny thing is we could’ve still kept Jeff Carter as well. It would either have been McCann or Tanev to choose from or protect both of them over Carter and Kappy as Carter was going to be on a one year contract and 36 years old at the time I think and would probably have no interest in playing in Seattle. And Kappy would’ve been more cap reasons I feel like. It sucks as well cause that line of McCann-Carter-Freddy Gaudreau/Zucker were dominant together. And I’m not gonna lie I rather would’ve kept Gaudreau over ERod and McCann over Kappy. Because either way our top 6 would’ve been solid. At the end of the day the downfall should’ve been seen at the expansion draft and who Hextall chose to protect. I understand wanting to keep Carter and Kappy but I feel like Seattle would’ve taken someone else if Carter and Kappy were exposed.</div></div>

Also worth remembering that that season was Kapanen's first in Pittsburgh, and also the best season of his career. He was 24, was at a 60 point pace, and looked like a future staple of our top 6. We can say with hindsight that protecting Kapanen and Carter was a bad idea, but we cannot blame management for those decisions when they were good at the time. As for protecting Gaudreau, his career in Pittsburgh is less than 20 games, and under 20 also described his career point total at the time of the expansion draft. I don't think he was gonna be taken. As a matter of fact, the only other player of any significant left unprotected was Zucker, and he was coming off of a nightmare season and was pretty safe. Hextall's choices made sense at the time.
Forum: Armchair-GM15 janv. à 14 h 52
Sujet: Deadline Sellers
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>edeangel84</b></div><div>There’s nothing to go for. They’ve lost 8 out of 10 games. The future doesn’t offer an easier schedule. We could stand pat and just roll with this old and slow team but I’m convinced they’ll miss the playoffs, so I’d rather sell off expiring contracts than hold them for no reason.</div></div>

We've also been missing Petry for over a month, Letang and Jarry all of 2023, and these last two games without Pettersson. Argue with me about how effective Tanger and Petry have been this sesason, replacing your leaders in TOI isn't easy. Look at last night, we had a one goal game against the Metro leader without our starter and missing arguably our 3 best defensemen in the 2nd night of a back to bacl. I expected a blowout.
As for the near future at least, the Devils are the only team we face for the rest of the month in a playoff spot. Get a little healthier, shore up our forward depth, and we won't be dead and buried just yet.
Forum: Armchair-GM15 janv. à 14 h 44
Sujet: Deadline Sellers
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MitchJr</b></div><div>That is a really bad trade for Leafs, no chance Zucker is enough of an upgrade on Kerfoot to warrant a 1st 🤯?
Also bizzare that Pens would do this given they are in playoff spot currently and Sid &amp; Gino are not getting younger so it’s “go for it” every year now isn’t it?</div></div>

I think a lot of Pens fans are overreacting, at least for now. Rumor is that Hextall wants to just ride it out this season. If that rumor is true, it might be time to hit the panic button. At least for now, we're in a wildcard spot by point%, but not by totals.
As for the Leafs trade, I disagree. Kerfoot's play hasn't been spectacular. He's scoring at 1.7 points/60 and his Corsi and xG numbers are ok. Corsi is a little below 50% and xG is a little above.
But Zucker has been excellent this year. His scoring is at 2.7 points/60, his Corsi and xG numbers are great. He's also one of the Pens' leaders in hits and plays a relentless, energetic game. I don't know how much of Zucker's game you've seen this season, but I've seen a lot of it. If I was Kyle Dubas and I was offered this deal, I'm taking it without hesitation.