DoctorBreakfast

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Forum: The Box9 mai à 12 h 6

Sujet: What is the best site for comparing players advanced stats.

I'd say the "Big Four" of public analytics sites are:

HockeyViz.com

Evolving-Hockey.com

MoneyPuck.com

NaturalStatTrick.com

HV and EH have paywalls for their more advanced work, but it's well-worth the money in my opinion.

There's also JFresh/TopDown who have some great work out there as well, but they don't have a website, just access through JFresh's Patreon. You can also see the raw data on Patrick Bacon's tableau.

AllThreeZones.com is Corey Sznajder's manual tracking project and is also really cool too, though it also requires a subscription.

Forum: The Box9 mai à 11 h 51

Sujet: What don't you get the hype for?

Superhero movies. Mainly because I'm not a big fan of action movies in general.

Although I did like the new Batman film, mostly because it's more of a detective-style movie than your standard MCU film. I also have a soft spot for the original Sam Raimi Spider-Man trilogy since I remember watching it when I was younger and it makes me nostalgic.

Forum: NHL Signings23 mars à 11 h 40

Sujet: Toronto Maple Leafs signed Curtis Douglas (2 Years / $837,500 AAV)

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Rooney</b></div><div>Always wondered why Dallas didn't sign him to an ELC...guys huge and is putting up decent numbers in the AHL, solid 4th line option in the near future.</div></div>

I'm pretty sure I remember Jim Nill saying Covid was a factor. His rights were due to expire right in the middle of the pandemic, after the season was put on pause, so I'm guessing it was a financial decision.

Forum: NHL Trades22 mars à 10 h 42

Sujet: (WPG/NYR) - Copp and 6th for Barron, two conditional 2nds and a 5th

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Roysboy72</b></div><div>Looking good! The value seems to be fair on both sides, everybody gets what they want.

My biggest question: Does Copp end up re-signing in New York after this season?</div></div>

That was my first thought when seeing the return. It's quite a lot for a guy like Copp, so I'm wondering if NYR tries to re-sign him instead of Strome.

Forum: NHL Trades21 mars à 10 h 42

Sujet: (DAL/ARI) - conditional 4th for Wedgewood

<strong>When you're a Dallas goalie...</strong>

<img class="for_img" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/2_nnbEcpqTE/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="maxresdefault.jpg"><strong>...that makes less than seven figures</strong>

<img class="for_img" src="https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/032/597/Call_An_Ambulance_Banner_HQ.jpg" alt="Call_An_Ambulance_Banner_HQ.jpg">

Forum: NHL Trades17 mars à 15 h 40

Sujet: (CGY/SEA) - 2nd, 3rd, 7th for Järnkrok

Jarnkrok is a good player and a great fit for Calgary, but this was quite the overpay.

Forum: The Box29 nov. 2021 à 10 h 45

Sujet: Favourite Candy Bar?

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Saskleaf</b></div><div>What they call those smarties in the US? We Canadians call the non chocolate candies pictures here rockets.</div></div>

I'm pretty sure that the chocolate Smarties aren't sold in the US, even under a different name. The closest thing would be M&M's, but those are sold everywhere.

Forum: Site Discussion29 oct. 2021 à 12 h 29

Sujet: Cap Errors Megathread

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Banks</b></div><div>Playoff games don't count towards accrued seasons</div></div>

Gotcha. I was a little confused since it burned a year off of his contract, I figured it would count as a season toward free agency. Seems kinda silly that he both reached the 25 game rookie cutoff and burned a year off of his contract, but still doesn't count as an accrued season because he didn't reach the 40 game threshold.

Forum: Site Discussion28 oct. 2021 à 16 h 31

Sujet: Cap Errors Megathread

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Banks</b></div><div>He didn't accrue a season in 2016-17 so he will be at 6 seasons at the expiry of the contract, not 7</div></div>

34 regular season games and 5 playoff games isn't enough to accrue a season? That seems odd. I'm assuming it has something to do with age/where he was drafted out of?

Forum: Site Discussion25 oct. 2021 à 12 h 8

Sujet: Cap Errors Megathread

Is Timo Meier really a RFA at the end of his current deal? The way I see it, next season is the final year of his current deal and it will be his 7th NHL season. So shouldn't he be a UFA when it expires?

Forum: NHL Signings15 oct. 2021 à 11 h 49

Sujet: Boston Bruins signed Charlie McAvoy (8 Years / $9,500,000 AAV)

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Aero_Astro_Guy</b></div><div>Easily a top 5 RHD in the game. He is and will be worth his money. Huge win for Boston. Makar and Fox have yet to prove. Especially in terms of playing in their own zone. Especially, considering the fact that this is a third contract for Charlie.

Huge win for Boston.</div></div>

Fox is excellent in his own zone, and Makar isn't a sieve either. Just because they rack up points and are under 6'0" doesn't mean they're poor defensively.

Forum: NHL Signings15 oct. 2021 à 11 h 46

Sujet: Boston Bruins signed Charlie McAvoy (8 Years / $9,500,000 AAV)

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Rangsey</b></div><div>I don't understand this thread. Do people not know he's good?
He's a top 5 dman in the league and he should get paid like it.</div></div>

People just look at the points and assume he's a tier below Fox and Makar, when in reality he's just as good. He was held off of the Bruins' PP1 unit for years by Krug so he didn't have the opportunities to rack up points, despite being an elite two-way defenseman at even strength and an excellent penalty killer.

Forum: NHL Signings27 sept. 2021 à 11 h 40

Sujet: Toronto Maple Leafs signed William Villeneuve (3 Years / $817,778 AAV)

Loved his work on <em>Arrival</em>, can't wait to see <em>Dune</em>.

Forum: NHL Signings10 sept. 2021 à 16 h 15

Sujet: Calgary Flames signed Michael Stone (1 Year / $750,000 AAV)

Why sign just Michael Stone at league minimum when you can sign Erik Gudbranson at $2 million <strong><em>AND </em></strong>Michael Stone at league minimum?

Forum: NHL Signings31 août 2021 à 13 h 1

Sujet: Chicago Blackhawks signed Connor Murphy (4 Years / $4,400,000 AAV)

Murphy, McCabe, and De Haan as three of your top four defensemen is a pretty solid base to have, especially for a team that has issues in its own zone. I'm not that high at all on Jones, but even I don't think he'll have another terrible season like last year, so if he can bounce back to even a respectable level of play, Chicago's top four doesn't seem all that terrible, especially for how it's looked over the past few seasons.

Forum: NHL Signings26 août 2021 à 11 h 24

Sujet: Carolina Hurricanes signed Andrei Svechnikov (8 Years / $7,750,000 AAV)

This will, if it hasn't already, turn into one of the most team-friendly deals in the league. Svechnikov is already arguably the best young winger in the game, and will likely turn into one of the league's top 3-5 offensive wingers.

Forum: Site Discussion29 juill. 2021 à 11 h 19

Sujet: 35+ Buyout Rules

In the Buyout FAQ section of the sight, it states the following regarding 35+ contracts:

<strong>A buyout of a 35+ contract that is two years in length or longer <em>and</em>:

1. Has a signing bonus in the 2nd or later year, OR
2. Is front-loaded

Will not benefit from a reduced cap hit.</strong>

So I found two 35+ contracts that were recently signed that seem to avoid points 1 and 2, Ryan Suter and Mike Smith. Both are signed for 2+ years, but both contracts are back-loaded and neither of them have a signing bonus in years 2 or later. Therefore, it stands to reason that if either of these contracts were bought out after year 1 the teams <em>would benefit from a reduced cap hit</em> despite both contracts being 35+, is that correct?

I'm just verifying since the buyout calculator says that since they're 35+ contracts there will be no effect on the cap hit; I'm guessing the calculator doesn't look at the salary structure or the years where there are signing bonuses, which makes sense since these types of contracts are very rare.

Forum: NHL Trades23 juill. 2021 à 16 h 27

Sujet: (STL/NYR) - Blais, 2nd for Buchnevich

Nedeljkovic, Gostisbehere, Ristolainen, and now Buchnevich...this is the year of lopsided trades.

Forum: Site Discussion19 juill. 2021 à 11 h 38

Sujet: Cap Errors Megathread

Year 4 (2024-25) of Heiskanen's new contract shows him earning $1.1 million in the minors, rather than $11 million.

Forum: NHL16 juill. 2021 à 13 h 18

Sujet: NHL Tracking Project

Shawn Ferris (@shawnferris98 on Twitter) was looking for folks to take part in a tracking project he's putting together for next season. I'm not sure if he still needs trackers, but I'm sure it wouldn't hurt to reach out to him.

Forum: NHL22 févr. 2021 à 13 h 57

Sujet: does vegas have to give away in the expansoion draft

They're also not receiving a cut of the nine-figure expansion fee Seattle is paying, which is another reason they're exempt from the expansion draft.

Forum: Site Discussion25 janv. 2021 à 17 h 24

Sujet: Confusion About CapFriendly Terms M-NTC and NMC

Everyone else has pretty much nailed it, but just to break it down:

NMC: Cannot be traded or placed on waivers (barring a buyout) without permission, requires expansion draft protection even when paired with a M-NTC
NTC: Cannot be traded without permission, but can be placed on waivers, does not require expansion draft protection
M-NTC: Can only be traded to particular teams as specified by the player or <em>not</em> traded to particular teams as specified by the player, the number of which is determined at the signing of the contract

The M-NTC can be paired with a NMC, which essentially turns the NMC into a "No Waivers Clause".

For the expansion draft, the NMC requires protection by the team, even if it is paired with a M-NTC.

Forum: NHL13 janv. 2021 à 10 h 21

Sujet: Site Wide Playoff Series Predictions

Toronto in 6
Edmonton in 6
Philadelphia in 7
Boston in 5
Tampa Bay in 6
Carolina in 7
Colorado in 5
Vegas in 7

Forum: NHL7 janv. 2021 à 10 h 30

Sujet: No Draft This Year

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheFlamingC</b></div><div>There shouldn't be a draft this year IMO. The age should be 19, not 18 and this is the only year you can make the shift. <strong>Every other league drafts at like 22</strong>, why do we draft at 18?</div></div>

The MLB frequently drafts 18-year-olds right out of high school. The NBA has a "high school graduation + 1 year" rule, so they draft 19-year-olds quite often. The NFL is the only league that regularly drafts older players, as they have a "high school graduation + 3 years" rule.

Forum: NHL6 janv. 2021 à 14 h 46

Sujet: Who is the next team to go into full rebuild

Pittsburgh should still try to compete; they don't really have any bad contracts other than Matheson and maybe Tanev, but those are mostly due to the term and have lower AAVs compared to San Jose's contracts in Burns, Vlasic, Karlsson, and Jones. I also like the overall construction of the team: they have a very good top 4 on the blue line, they have great top-end forward talent, and I'm a big fan of their forward depth. They do have questionable goaltending, depending on if Jarry can prove to be a consistent starter, and I'm not a fan of that potential Matheson-Ceci bottom pairing. I expect them to finish 2nd or 3rd in their division.

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DoctorBreakfast

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