Christian17

Membre depuis
8 fév 2017
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Ducks d'Anaheim
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Oilers d'Edmonton
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Forum: Armchair-GM 2 mar à 10 h 34
Forum: Armchair-GM28 fév à 15 h 09
Forum: Armchair-GM27 fév à 18 h 20
Forum: Armchair-GM27 fév à 15 h 47
Forum: Armchair-GM27 fév à 0 h 50
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheJoeMan</b></div><div>Murray is and has been accruing assets. At some point he needs to let them cultivate and supplement them with talent. This team can handle another awful season like these last two, the fan base is too fragile for that (they've hardly supported this team when we were contenders). It does him no good trading away some of the few good players he has. That's not to say Gudbranson is a stud or anything but he's perfectly fine for what he makes and for how much we spent to get him. And I'm not concerned about Rico and the expansion draft. If Murray is concerned he'll be lost to Seattle than he'll trade him elsewhere. At the very least it'll be worth it to hold onto to him for next season in order to actually be competitive.

I just don't see the logic in preferring Honka over Larsson. If his numbers were so good (and I'm sure you're referring to his shot-differential numbers which are terribly flawed when evaluating individual players, especially ones who don't get a ton of ice-time; they're no different than plus/minus) why doesn't anyone else want him? I'm sure Dallas would give him away. Plus Larsson is just starting to settle in. I am so over trading away young d-men we've spent years developing before they've settled into their roles as NHL players. Unless it's for a clear upgrade and that ain't Honka. I mean we could have them both, easily. Murray doesn't have a gun to his head to make room for Mahura, not until Josh proves he's worthy of such a move.

I want this team to be good next year. There's no reason why they can't. Our young core has had two years now to mature into quality NHL regulars, next year they'll have to show they're ready to prop this team up.</div></div>

The stats i'm looking at aren't his shot differentials, they're a combination of xGF% CF% and heat maps as provided by hockey viz. Honka is definitively better than Larsson. Mahura has also shown to be just as, or better than Larsson in limited sample size.

The likelihood of the Ducks being contenders next year is slim to none. Best to situate this team to be competitive for a long time rather than just keeping their head above water for the next 4 years.
Forum: Armchair-GM26 fév à 16 h 27
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheJoeMan</b></div><div>Honka and Mahura are not an upgrade over Larsson and Gudbranson. Honka is a bust, there's a reason Dallas couldn't move him and why he's not playing in the NHL right now. I would absolutely rather have Larsson. I think if Honka was a left-handed shot we'd never bring him up (this obsession everyone has on RHD has gotten out of control if you ask me). I'm also not convinced Djoos is a long-term option for us. He has arb rights and was buried in the minors most of the year so he seems like a No QO candidate to me unless he impresses down the stretch here.

I'd also much rather keep Rico and Rowney. Zegras is probably a year away still so there's no need to make room for him unless he blows everyone away in camp (he may very well play another year at BU though I doubt it). I think our roster will look almost identical in October as it does now.</div></div>

Honka's stats in 2019 were much better than Larsson's have ever been. Djoos looked good last night and has offensive upside. Gudbranson doesn't fit into the long-term plans, might as well get assets for him. Djoos is a low-risk medium-reward type of signing. Honka doesn't want to play for Dallas, that's why he isn't playing in the NHL much like Dallas.

Don't get me wrong, i doubt this happens. But the Ducks would be much better positioned to compete for a Cup by 2023 if they went this direction.

Zegras is dominating in the NCAA on a very bad BU team, I think it's pretty likely that he gets into the NHL next year, especially when he hinted towards only doing one year at the beginning of the season.

Ducks aren't going to contend next year. They need to accrue assets that will be useful when they do contend, if they kept Henrique they'd likely lose him in the expansion draft.
Forum: Armchair-GM31 jan à 13 h 57
Forum: Armchair-GM20 jan à 16 h 03
Forum: Armchair-GM17 jan à 18 h 27
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>It's not tag-along success though. Read what the players, coaches and media observers are saying. He's a big, big part of that line's success. Money quotes:

“Yamo, he wins races, he wins pucks, he does little things that a lot of people that watch games probably don’t really see. He’s very feisty and hard to play against. It’s a lot of fun and I think we can still create more offensively. That will come with more chemistry.” - Leon Draisaitl

“He plays with speed, he makes good plays, the tenacity he brings to our group,” (Oilers Head Coach Dave) Tippett said. “He’s not a big guy but he plays really hard and (is) a smart player. He’s come in and in a short time has contributed and made our team a better team. He’s a smart player, he reads situations well. He makes good plays with the puck and that’s why you see a guy like Draisaitl likes to play with him, because he can play a give-and-go game and he makes intelligent plays. That along with the tenacity, he gets to the front of the net, he finds loose pucks, he’s a smart player with a good skill set and he’s willing to work.”

<a href="https://theathletic.com/1525669/2020/01/10/kailer-yamamoto-has-impressed-the-oilers-and-especially-star-linemate-leon-draisaitl/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://theathletic.com/1525669/2020/01/10/kailer-yamamoto-has-impressed-the-oilers-and-especially-star-linemate-leon-draisaitl/</a></div></div>

I'm not saying Yams won't be good in the future, but right now he's nowhere near the player that Kase is.

According to hockey-viz <a href="https://www.hockeyviz.com/player/yamamka98/EDM/1920" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://www.hockeyviz.com/player/yamamka98/EDM/1920</a> Yams' offensive on-the-ice contribution is -20% threat below league average (very bad), EDM without Yams is -6% below the league average (less bad). Yam's defensive on-the-ice contribution to the opponents' offensive threat is +12% above the league average (bad), EDM without Yams is -4% (good).

Kase's offensive on-the-ice contribution is +100% threat above league average (very good), ANA without Kase is -7% below the league average (bad). Kase's defensive on-the-ice contribution to the opponents' offensive threat is +3% above the league average (less than decent), ANA without Kase is +4% (even lesser than decent).

So yeah his teammates and coaches may like him, but his on-the-ice contribution actually hasn't been as good as the eye test may say. He's just a kid though.
Forum: Armchair-GM17 jan à 15 h 58
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div><a href="/users/OldNYIfan" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@OldNYIfan</a>
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Let me know what you guys think.</div></div>

I don't think the Ducks should sell low on Kase as he's only 24, has the best possession metrics on the team (players with &gt;10 GP), is suffering from a 4.5 S% (if he equaled his S% from last year 11.7% he'd have 13 goals, so 26 pts in 41 GP) and his contract ends after next year and he'll likely get signed to a very team-friendly contract extension this summer because he's been unlucky this season with a 97.8 PDO.

Also, the Ducks already have a similar player to Puljujarvi in Sprong and I don't think the Ducks want to take another risky asset on.