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CaseyFlyman

Membre depuis
7 sept. 2018
Équipe favorite
Blue Jackets de Columbus
Deuxième équipe favorite
Bruins de Boston
Messages dans les forums
2016
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1.0
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 16 heures
Sujet: Worst-case scenario
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BoomerTheHero</b></div><div>I love Boone, but the time of him being the 1C should be over. Fantilli is the 1C going forward.</div></div>

I'd absolutely love to see it, but I don't expect it.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>squashmaple</b></div><div>It's going to be another development year whether the draft pick is Celebrini or sixth overall.

Also this is Columbus. Pencil in worst case scenario as guaranteed.</div></div>

Sloppily formulated description from me there. This is a realistic worst-case scenario and my conclusion is that either way, next year is a development year. However, the size of the step taken will be smaller than I personally would have hoped for. With that said, who knows? Maybe a smaller step now is better in the long run.

You know what they say, hope for the best but prepare for the worst.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CaseyFlyman</b></div><div>Not only will we fall to 6OA, Chicago will get 1OA and Pittsburgh wins the other lottery to nab 3rd OA. We get to watch Celebrini and Bedard become Kane and Toews 2.0 (but better) and Pittsburgh lands another elite talent in Demidov that torments us for the next 20 years.

The Hunters are hired as coach and GM. Provorov gets a hefty extension, Elvis sticks around for another year after a buyout/trade falls through. Jiricek demands a trade due to mismanagement, and Johnson follows suit once he gets healthy. Fantilli is injured in the presseason and out for the year. Yet, with all that, Gaudreau bounces back and leads the team to a 35-win, 80-point season; just bad enough to finish well out of wildcard contention and just good enough to land outside the top 10 picks or so.

Voronkov leaves for Russia and Texier returns to France.</div></div>

Oof, that's just depressing. Do they sell the team to Meruelo too? I tried to keep it within the realms of reasonable probability.

It does make me curious about a Jiricek trade scenario though... ;)
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 20 heures
Sujet: wings
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>zadinaveleno</b></div><div>I dont even know why we are arguing about this lol

Must be another year without the playoffs for me as a Wings fan

I just think you are "under-valuing" Maatta a bit, but I get it, youd rather play Jiricek or Mateychuk or Svozil, or a prospect making less $ than Maatta

I do think someone out there takes Maatta from us, and we likely dont need to retain, but I guess that team isnt Columbus.</div></div>

And that's all I've been trying to tell you. He's not worthless, just not worth it to Columbus. Not sure why Yzerman signed him, either, tbh. No, Columbus isn't good and won't be next year either, but the roster spot being open for prospects to get their feet wet is more important right now than whatever meaningless extra win or two over the course of the season Määttä might contribute.
Forum: Armchair-GMHier à 12 h 15
Sujet: few changes for another season of development
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CaseyFlyman</b></div><div>I think the hangup is just the price. You've just got a pick swap (let's assume 4OA for 6OA) for Justin Barron, a guy who's at best our 5th RD. I'm all for trading back in that situation if we're viewing Catton, Iginla, Lindstrom, etc. as essentially equal, but I think that costs MTL at least their 2nd rounder this year, not just a depth defenseman.

If it's 4OA for 6OA and the WPG 1st, then yeah, that's a no brainer. No player inclusion necessary.</div></div>

You are right - the worst part, is that I was convinced that I had added WPG's first already LOL.

Yeah - it would most likely involve another pick.

I think the habs are likely to try to GARANTY Lindstrom/Demidov - and the price could even include CAL's 2025 first round pick.
Forum: Armchair-GMHier à 9 h 33
Sujet: Time to Make It Happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jacketsman61</b></div><div>Edm fans need to comprehend that they will not be able to keep Draisaitl long term. The math is not there. McDavid is up for contract in two years and they can’t even re-sign him until after the sign Draisaitl. By going into next season with Draisaitl you run the risk of losing him for nothing and his trade value goes down. Edm is almost in the 75% range of trade him and we haven’t even seen the playoffs yet. That trade for him is insane value. McDavid could be set up with a deep team for years from this deal. I am sorry but Edm absolutely does not turn that down…</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jacketsman61</b></div><div>There is no money in Edm. That is clear. McDavid comes up for contract the summer after that. Do you really think Edm can pay Draisaitl around 11+ mil and give a hefty increase to McDavid, who on the open market, could garner at least 15 to 16 mil per? Not going to happen. RNH has a NMC so they can’t move him either. They are already lacking on defense and goaltending. They can’t justify spending more to retain Draisaitl while ignoring the real problems or otherwise McDavid will walk.</div></div>

This is all BS. Edmonton has the cap space to re-sign both, considering Draisaitl's new contract won't kick in until the 25-26 season and McDavid's until the 26-27 season.

They have money coming off the books every summer and the cap appears to be rising every year. And if that's not enough, they would trade any other player to make room for Draisaitl and McDavid before trading either Draisaitl or McDavid.

The ONLY scenario either gets traded is if he doesn't want to sign in Edmonton. Then he'll be traded with 1 year left on his deal to a team he's willing to sign with.
Forum: Armchair-GMHier à 5 h 33
Sujet: Time to Make It Happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jacketsman61</b></div><div>The ranges in this draft are very interesting. There are going to be some players that are going to fall and moving down to improve the D is not a terrible idea. This is an aggressive move to try and make this team competitive. SJ has no reason to move Ferraro so the Jackets have to give them a reason to. The Jackets are a team that doesn’t need to get involved in FA bidding wars. They are better to move assets to bring him in now. We have a lot of players we need to find space for and this would help while giving us a legit 1-2 punch down the middle. Fantilli is great but he is not ready to carry the team. We need Draisaitl to be a player who can instantly make Gaudreau a factor again.</div></div>

If I recall correctly, the top 10 is really good, while the late 1st round is a step down and not all that different from the 2nd round. So I would be keen to keep that top 6 pick and not be very interested in trading down to a 13th or 14th. At this stage, I would rather see them just sign a player like Brenden Dillon, keep the top pick and try to sell Provorov at 50 % retained for another 1st.

I agree that the CBJ need to use some combination of our good prospects to get a fantastic player to take the next step. If Draisaitl decides to leave Edmonton, I wouldn't be surpried if he ends up a UFA though. The Blue Jackets would then be in a position to give him a really good offer. As I said, they are one of the few teams that can give him a high salary (in combination with lower taxes). In parallel with that, you can trade some of the prospects to strengthen the top 6, which would give Columbus Draisaitl and another top player. A sign-and-trade situation might be on the cards in the 2025 off-season and if so then yes, Columbus should be heavily involved. But even then, it will be a few teams involved and Draisaitl decides where he gets to go, so his salary will still be high. In the ACGM scenario, Edmonton have no incentive to move him and thus need a very strong offer. It's a pipe dream anyway. I assume he will re-sign in Edmonton.

Next year is a development step for the players and the season in which the GM starts to discern what players he wants to build around, in my opinion. Selling the sun and the mopn looking to compete next year already might have long-term negative consequences.