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Book_Hockey

Membre depuis
12 sept. 2019
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Devils du New Jersey
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Forum: Armchair-GM19 avr. 2023 à 15 h 5
Sujet: My ideal offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tkecanuck341</b></div><div>LA will not be doing that.

<div class="tweet"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Gabe Vilardi led Kings forwards in almost every 5v5 on-ice defensive metric this season:• 61.78% actual goal share (2nd)• 56.13% expected goal share (1st)• 1.56 GA/60 (1st)• 2.02 xGA/60 (1st)• 92.88 Sv% (1st)Big add to the LA lineup.<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/GoKingsGo?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">#GoKingsGo</a></p>— Russell Morgan (<a href="/users/NHLRussell" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@NHLRussell</a>) <a href="https://twitter.com/NHLRussell/status/1648757036249935872?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">April 19, 2023</a></blockquote>

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You beat me to it lmao I was literally bringing that up
Forum: Armchair-GM4 avr. 2023 à 19 h 26
Sujet: Would not be the end of the world
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Book_Hockey</b></div><div>I don’t care about points. Points (especially as a defenseman) are a product of opportunity, playing time, and who you’re surrounded by. Miller’s on pace to put up 45ish? This season, which IMO is his first full season playing big minutes (I know he played a ton in the playoff run).

Defense possession numbers- what are you looking at? Genuinely curious. I’m using EH’s RAPM models and they’re not telling the same story.</div></div>

Don't pay for EH so using NST's on-ice numbers - Sergachev in 2019-20 had a higher xG%, was better at suppressing high danger chances and goals, and generally Tampa was better at controlling play while he was on the ice - in fact, he was better in all 3 of his first 3 NHL seasons at that than Miller has been. I understand that RAPM tries to cut out some noise from the affect teammates and QoC can have between two players, but sorry, I'm already subscribing to too many sports sites to add another!

Beyond that, though - I think it gets into splitting hair territories, because we can sit here all day arguing over which analytics provide a better picture of a player and it would be ignoring the simple fact that NHL GMs are loathe to set precedents when it comes to RFA players - while I won't disagree that in a completely open market Miller could get $5-6M AAV, there's no way in hell Chris Drury is going to go that far above and beyond that most recent highwater mark for an RFA defenseman, especially not in a flat cap world. What's the worst that'll happen to him, another team actually getting off their ass and offer sheeting someone?
Forum: Armchair-GM27 févr. 2023 à 14 h 29
Sujet: A reminder of the rejected offer
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac555</b></div><div>This is what Lebrun reported, but my understanding is that the Canes did offer the second first with conditions. I’m no insider so
Lebrun knows more than me.

It came down to No Nikishin and you’re out. Canes said we are out.


From LeBrun;

“The Canes tried valiantly over the past 10 days, especially. One of their final offers had six pieces in it, including a first-round pick and a second-round pick, plus prospects. But the one young player they never relented in not wanting to move is Russian blueliner Alexander Nikishin. It might have been a game-changer had Carolina included him in the package, but I don’t blame the Canes for wanting to keep him. They have big plans for him.“</div></div>

I would have done it. Nikishin plays on a team that's just better than the rest of the league as a whole. Not just 1 player. I'm pretty sure it's now 7 straight years being the league's top team. Hard to say going from 4 assists with Moscow Spartak for the full year to <strong>44</strong> is all due to him/his development. It's at least in part because of the team he's on. It's also 3 years from now that his contract is up and CAR would still have had Morrow / Heimo.
Forum: Armchair-GM14 févr. 2023 à 10 h 26
Forum: Armchair-GM8 févr. 2023 à 22 h 40
Sujet: Timo Meier Trade Comps
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>No, sharks fans are asking for Holtz+Nemec+1st++...or Holtz+Mercer+1st+...or similar.

Also, I just don't understand the fixation on Holtz.

<em>"He sucks...can't crack NHL lineup"
"If you want Meier...it has to include Holtz"</em>

Research some other prospects. Or other teams.

Also, I think the odds of Meier-to-NJ are very low any way. Fitzy is likely just trying to price NYR out of the running (like he did with Gaudreau and PHI/NYI).</div></div>

Holtz has a good shot and most of the sharks prospects are set up guys, plus the relationship with Eklund. it just kind of fits. I know Nemec and Mercer are off limits and accept that. but Holtz to me doesn’t seem off limits and the deal would help both clubs.