Billius

Leafs Fan

Membre depuis

15 juin 2017

Équipe favorite

Maple Leafs de Toronto

Messages dans les forums

324

Messages par jour

0.1

MESSAGES

SUJETS

MENTIONS "J'AIME"

ÉQUIPES VIA FAUTEUIL-DG

Forum: Armchair-GM4 mars 2020 à 21 h 48

Sujet: Leafs 2020-21 From Within Scenario

All excellent points. I chose a year for Mikky assuming the team and he would want to have a redo to see how he does post-injury but a longer term would be ideal if they are both ready.
You led into what I am writing - I am building up from committed, to from within, to trade scenarios (writing now) so I think we are in general agreement haha. Engvall can easily move to left side if AJ is traded, that leave's Korshkov as an option, as I think you suggested. Lily definitely needs more time imo.

Forum: Armchair-GM4 mars 2020 à 20 h 10

Sujet: Leafs 2020-21 From Within Scenario

"From Within" looks at a 2020-21 scenario where the Leafs don't make any trades or free agent acquisitions this offseason beyond those currently signed with the Leafs. Instead, it tries to picture what the roster might look like with signings of key players.

I chose $85M for the salary cap based on the 1% inflator the NHLPA went with last season. It can range from $84M (0% inflator) to 88.2M (5% inflator).

The biggest uncertainty for me is the signing of Dermott, he could cost more, he could get more than a bridge deal, or he could be included in a trade to bolster the right side. I have him playing the right side next season.

Clifford is another wild card for me because of what he might demand as a FA.

This also assumes Mikheyev can return to his level of play after a serious wrist injury.

I have left a small buffer to deal with some of the estimates.

Comments more than welcome. I'm a little rusty at CF.

Forum: Armchair-GM4 mars 2020 à 19 h 49

Sujet: Toronto 2020-21 - Committed

Hi palhal,
I've been really busy on some analytics learning, creating viz, and writing for MLHS. I've forgotten much of my cap knowledge so hope you can help when I get confused. Cheers :)

Forum: Armchair-GM30 oct. 2019 à 23 h 5

Sujet: Muzzin

If Muzzin accepted that contract I'd be happy but I don't think his agent would like it. He's probably going to get closer to 6.

Forum: Armchair-GM28 sept. 2019 à 22 h 49

Sujet: 2019 Leafs Oct 2 Starting Lineup

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Gauss</b></div><div>From what I saw of the preseason I have not been impressed with Kapanen on the LW with Tavares and Marner. They really miss Hyman. Kapanen may start there but I think Trevor Moore will get a shot there before hyman is back and Kapanen will be back on the third line. I want to see what Mikheyev, Kerfoot and Kapanen will do. I think Kapanen will fit in better with them.</div></div>

I agree. I am posting what Babcock will start with but Kapanen has not had that great a preseason on Tavares left side. I have been very impressed with Mikheyev so far.

Forum: Armchair-GM28 sept. 2019 à 12 h 36

Sujet: Getting Rid Of Mitch Marner

Satire detected.

Forum: Armchair-GM23 sept. 2019 à 14 h 35

Sujet: Sep 23 Finding space to fit Sandin in after Dermott returns

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>The issue with Sandin isn't so much the slide ELC, it's whether it is good enough to play 14 minutes every game for 82 games. Preseason is just preseason. Leafs have other vets who might have to proof they aren't NHL good enough in order for then Leafs take a chance on Sandin at least October 1st.

Marincin looked good last game. I still say he might be OK if given regular time. Right now he's my choice as the 3rd right side Dman.</div></div>

He still has a lot to prove against NHL competition over the remainder of the preseason. I just wrote a blog on Medium where I suggested that the most likely scenario is that he will get a taste of the NHL (under 10 games) and then head back to develop more on the Marlies. I see that Babcock issued his main roster for Sept 25 and the third pair is Sandin - Marincin. Let's see how they do.

Forum: Armchair-GM14 sept. 2019 à 12 h 0

Sujet: Next Years 2020-21 Leafs Under Cap

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>Keep muzzin and Hyman lose barrie.

People are saying we are screwed when it is very easy if you actually look at it. Thanks for proving otherwise!</div></div>

Thanks. That's definitely an option because Jake Muzzin is seriously underrated and brings size and defensive chops to the team. I opted for Barrie because the Leafs need a mobile offensive threat on the right side more than anything to balance off Rielly on the left. I believe a rental will be more easily found on the left side, in Muzzin's slot as well. Doing it this way protects the 7 key forwards and 3 D. (Hyman and 4th D would be exposed to the Seattle draft).

Forum: Armchair-GM13 sept. 2019 à 22 h 22

Sujet: Can they get under the cap

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>Nice to see you back Billius. Your insight to the cap and the LTIR is appreciated. Just the warn you, on CapFriendly, the Leafs aren't allowed the same benefits as other teams have when they have players on LTIR. Clarkson and Horton are just fake injuries so the Leaf can sign Marner. :s</div></div>

Haha yeah, we run the league from Toronto, they should just accept it. Look forward to seeing some realistic roster projections here over coming days.

Forum: Armchair-GM13 sept. 2019 à 22 h 18

Sujet: Can they get under the cap

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jordant89</b></div><div>Not a big issue with the Marlies in town as well. Just daily transactions with that one extra roster slot if needed</div></div>

True although it's a little trickier is they are on a road trip b2b with a D injured.

Forum: Armchair-GM13 sept. 2019 à 21 h 33

Sujet: Can they get under the cap

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>redwings_fun</b></div><div>They get a little extra wiggle room with Hyman and dermott on LTIR for 2 months and a 22 man roster. Will put them at cap</div></div>

Yes but they won't be able to accumulate any daily cap savings so once D and H are back, they have to fit under unless they make some sort of trade.

Forum: Armchair-GM13 sept. 2019 à 21 h 31

Sujet: how do they get under the cap when everyone is healthy

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NR1203</b></div><div>Send one more guy down. 1 extra player.</div></div>

They have to do a little better than that, I think they may have to run with a minimum 20 man roster, because you need a buffer for IR situations, other player movements, and LTIR top up not exactly filling available LTIR on day 1.

Forum: Armchair-GM13 sept. 2019 à 20 h 3

Sujet: Leafs

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>EthanK24</b></div><div>Love the 21 man roster. Very useful.</div></div>

Thanks but it is not really feasible due to Cap $ needed to cover player movements, IR, andthe fact that LTIR will not be perfectly filled to the brim on day 1 of the season (any gap will persist all season)

Forum: Armchair-GM24 juill. 2019 à 15 h 1

Sujet: Is this accurate

I am just not buying the $11M figure for Marner. I still think he will be lucky to get $9.5M.

As for the lineup, I see Nick Shore taking the 4C job and I don't see Trevor Moore being bumped out of the lineup.

Forum: Armchair-GM24 juill. 2019 à 14 h 42

Sujet: Leafs - Maximizing LTIR relief last day of training camp

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CrazyK04</b></div><div>So basically 18 or so of the players above will be sent grown and the LTIR people will be placed in said reserve and the leads will have around 16 million dollars i. Cap space without Marner. Right?</div></div>

I haven't done the math or 23 man roster build to see what excess they may have, let me know if you build one.

Forum: Armchair-GM24 juill. 2019 à 14 h 37

Sujet: Leafs - Maximizing LTIR relief last day of training camp

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>hanson493</b></div><div>you cant exceed that 10% in the offseason to get your calculation here.</div></div>

There is offseason LTIR which the Leafs reportedly used two years ago with Horton and Lupul. The 10%, to my understanding, is above that.

Forum: Armchair-GM24 juill. 2019 à 14 h 22

Sujet: Leafs - Maximizing LTIR relief last day of training camp

I don't pretend to know everything but I have tapped into some resources and done some research, asked questions of a cap expert and read sections of the CBA. Looking forward to seeing what I got wrong or how it can be improved.

Forum: Armchair-GM19 juill. 2019 à 18 h 1

Sujet: opening night 2019

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DocArin0</b></div><div>Would be correct, Mathews behind closed doors has reportedly asked Babcock not to pair him with Johnsson or Kap, its why i can see a Mikheyev-Mathews-Nylander line to start the season.</div></div>

Is there a report or news source out there I can read on that?

Forum: Armchair-GM18 juill. 2019 à 14 h 12

Sujet: opening night 2019

I'm not sure Mikheyev wins a spot beside Matthews, especially with Johnsson coming off a good rookie year.

I could see a third line centred by Shore, with Spezza on RW. That would allow Moore to move up on the left side at least temporarily in replacement of Hyman.

Forum: Armchair-GM14 juill. 2019 à 19 h 6

Sujet: Theoretical Marner Offer Sheet Insurance Roster

I very much doubt the Leafs would match such an offer but the fact that they CAN match it is the insurance deterrent, along with the fact that the team paying over-market has to provide 4 firsts.
Add in the fact that a term over 5 years (eg 7) has to have the AAV inflated by Term/5 and Marner's camp has reportedly asked for no long term offers, and it's hard to imagine any team being interested.

Forum: Armchair-GM3 juill. 2019 à 10 h 5

Sujet: Leafs RD Solution

Here's a link to the thread covering the development of the trade proposal.
I have 1500+ followers so faking this would be tricky lol. The original tweets are on my twitter @Billius27

<a href="https://twitter.com/Billius27/status/1146086483100610560" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/Billius27/status/1146086483100610560</a>

EDIT: CapFriendly put in Barrie's reduced $, my proposal was $5.5M and a signed extension going forward.

Forum: Armchair-GM29 juin 2019 à 18 h 56

Sujet: Leafs June 27

I don't think he's quite ready either but with Dermott injured, they are running out of right-handed bodies to start the year.

Forum: Armchair-GM6 févr. 2019 à 15 h 1

Sujet: 2019-20 Roster before MarnerKapanenJohnsson sign

Certainly moving Nylander solves a lot of Cap issues. It's a major decision for the team. I still haven't gotten to the point where the three RFA's would cost $16M but maybe you've had many discussions on that already.

Forum: Armchair-GM6 févr. 2019 à 14 h 21

Sujet: 2019-20 Roster before MarnerKapanenJohnsson sign

What moves would you make to sign them under the Cap if you can't move Marleau and Zaitsev, assuming you have $12.2M to spend after keeping a $500k buffer?

Forum: Armchair-GM3 déc. 2018 à 16 h 46

Sujet: Leafs 2019-20

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DJSums17</b></div><div>It'll cost a lot more for a RHD of all things to play top pair minutes then 3 mill. Lol</div></div>

Totally agree but I'm putting that D there because *Leafs have no choice* the way Zaitsev has been playing. He would be basically a vet third pair guy, much like Hainsey was.

12 Suivant

Page 1

PARAMÈTRES D’AFFICHAGE

COTES DES PARIS

LANGUE

ARCHIVES

CBA

CALCS

OUTILS - FANTASY HOCKEY

OUTILS

JOUEURS

CONFÉRENCE DE L'OUEST

CONFÉRENCE DE L'EST

OUTILS INTERACTIFS

Billius

Leafs Fan

Membre depuis

Équipe favorite

Messages dans les forums

Messages par jour