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BStinson

Membre depuis
21 mai 2020
Équipe préférée
Red Wings de Detroit
Deuxième équipe préférée
Golden Knights de Vegas
Messages dans les forums
2495
Messages par jour
9,9
Sujets de discussion
12
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 3 heures
Sujet: Helping Detroit With An Expansion Issue While Adding Rentals
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Old_Snowman</b></div><div>You're overthinking this a lot.

Detroit Protects the Following.
Forwards: Larkin, Mantha, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Rasmussen, Namestkinov, Smith.
Defense: Hronek, Lindstrom, Stecher
Goal: Greiss

I take Lindstrom over Cholowski. He can at least play Defense and has some edge. Cholowski gets all his points on the PP and can't do much 5v5 and is atrocious in his own zone. Seattle can have him if they want. Stecher over Dekeyser. Seattle unlikely to take DD anyway as he's 30+ and overpaid.</div></div>
This is the exact protection I have in the ACGM I’m creating at the moment. Some will scoff at Lindstrom but he is a perfect cost controlled third pairing defensive D. Same goes with Smith but fourth liner instead and soon to be fan favorite.
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 11 heures
Sujet: Firesale and Skinner cap dump
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>My evidence was that you look at base stats and judge from there, which youve admitted.</div></div>
I never once admitted anything but I was a Detroit fan. A coworker of mine is a die hard Sabres/Bills fan so I try and watch them so we can talk over lunch but I don’t watch 100% of their games, so yeah you keep trying to spin that narrative with nothing backing it. :hushed

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lsendel3</b></div><div>I generally don’t speak for anyone but myself. Skinner is playing well, but playing with guys who are on their last contract in the NHL and has been for two seasons now. I’m not generally a fancy stats guy, but they do say what my eyes are telling me. He’s playing well, but extremely snake bitten. Whether that be unlucky, the quality of line mates, or most likely a combo, I think he’ll bounce back. Me responding, and I think the others as well, are saying why would we gut the future for an overpaid, but still probably productive player once the unluckiness stops. That’s all. I didn’t see anyone saying that we should try to trade him for less, or any real disagreement.</div></div>
Some are saying what you’re saying and others aren’t, which makes sense that opinions differ. Yeah, playing Sheahan + Lazar isn’t ideal by any stretch nor is his ~2 min PP for a 9M player.
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 12 heures
Sujet: Firesale and Skinner cap dump
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lsendel3</b></div><div>Agreed but like I just said, at this point what are we supposed to do? **** and moan about a bad contract from a former GM that was clearly in over his head? Or hope skinner returns to at least a top line forward if played with decent talent. He’s currently playing with two guys that were waived last year and this in Sheahan and Lazar..</div></div>
I commented initially on OP’s value and then further commented towards Sabres fans trying to debunk my initial statement because their only evidence is that I’m a Detroit fan. You don’t want to trade Skinner because it would cost too much, I get that but that’s not the first couple posts from Sabres fan and if it was initially addressed like so I’d probably not even comment in this ACGM. Hopefully he turns it around for you guys and doesn’t have any more concussion issues and as you know no one is touching that contract currently.
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 12 heures
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 15 heures
Sujet: My View on Dunn
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>A_K</b></div><div>Most shifts are on the fly, I've seen smarter people than me argue that zone starts have virtually no impact on results and effectiveness (https://hockeyviz.com/txt/shifts2). And besides a team with Pietrangelo and Parayko would be expected to use them against tougher competition and let the less experienced, offensive d-man beat up on easier competition. A lot of usage is based on team personnel; would Thomas Chabot be playing 25+ minutes against top competition at age 21 if he was on a contending team? Now, the natural next step was to pair Dunn with Parayko and give them big minutes this year, but the team clearly went out of their way to avoid that, so my question is do they have a good reason or are they miscalculating Dunn's value? I won't argue about the trade value, but I will argue that the Blues are making a big mistake by shopping him in the first place.</div></div>

There is always going to be an appeal to authority that some category is ineffective when evaluating a player’s value/impact. What I’m saying is that’s just one that can provide context in which we use to determine value/impact. For example, that’s why GSAx was created to displace SV% by accounting for high danger shots but we all know the technology isn’t there yet to determine exact location which is critical when talking about a game of inches/luck. Hopefully these new pucks stick and we can have some reliable data that doesn’t fluctuate based on the arena/rink.

At the same time we could argue that an appeal to authority to the STL FO shouldn’t of acquired Krug if they thought highly of Dunn’s ability. Faulk obviously threw a wrench in their plans and I think they’d be better off with AP and Parayko on the right side and insert whoever you want on the left but it is what it is at this point.

I’m not saying Dunn can’t develop but rather he hasn’t shown he can routinely hold down a top 4 spot for various reasons. There are multiple players that continue to grow into complete players after the age of 24. The first defensemen that comes to mind for me is Spurgeon who is definitely under appreciated by the casual fan. It’s also worth noting that Dunn isn’t ED exempt so that will factor into his value.
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 16 heures
Sujet: My View on Dunn
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>A_K</b></div><div>I don't know, those were just the guys off the top of my head that had defensive lapses but offensive upside and are now thought of as more complete/used in more complete roles. Dunn's scoring rate lies between the two.

I've seen about 200 fan posts in the armchair section with about 25 teams potentially trading for Dunn. I know these are fans and not GMs, but there will clearly be interest and I would hope that Armstrong can squeeze a late 1st out of someone. It's still a bad trade for STL when you look at the likelihood of a pick becoming an everyday player (and STL's picks in 2020, yikes).</div></div>
But if you’re comparing scoring rates you need to also factor utilization and opponents. Dunn is a 60-61% (not counting this years 70% due to sample size), Ozone and Nurse is a sub 50%, and Hamilton ~50% during that time frame. Nurse and Hamilton were also younger and much larger and we know larger guys take longer to develop. Maybe you guys can squeeze out a late first for him but I constantly see ACGMs where they’re not accounting for the initial leaked ask and hyping Dunn up as a solid top 4 guy which he hasn’t proven.
Forum: Armchair-GMTue at 6:00 pm
Sujet: How much is Danault worth and should we trade him before TDL if he doesnt sign
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>F50marco</b></div><div>The way I see it, the Habs both need him still and dont want to lose him for nothing.

This screams just sign him already and move him at a later date once Suzuki and Kotkaniemi officially supplant him.

Even if you slightly overpay, who cares? Habs still need him and teams are lining up for him even if he was 5.75-6M a season.

Losing him for nothing is bad management. Trading him this season before the playoffs is bad management. The answer is simple. You sign him. Deal with him in the future if necessary.</div></div>
What doesn’t stop Danault from asking for a NTC NMC like Gallagher? I’m sure he’ll want to control where he lives and plays going forward.