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AndrewPawlack
18 lotteries, 0 wins
Membre depuis
18 oct. 2017
Équipe favorite
Blue Jackets de Columbus
Deuxième équipe favorite
Avalanche du Colorado
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1222
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0.5
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MENTIONS "J'AIME"
ÉQUIPES VIA FAUTEUIL-DG
Forum:
Armchair-GM
lun. à 18 h 20
Sujet:
Offseason jackets
Big no from LA, Moore is a very team friendly contract. If LA is going for a goaltender it will be Vezina caliber not someone who is putting up .899 SV%
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 mars à 7 h 50
Sujet:
Big ol trade
Oh, very clever on the returns in the Boqvist trade.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
4 mars à 13 h 29
Sujet:
Tear it down again
Couldn't have picked a worse trade partner for Boqvist. Hawks decline instantly.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
4 mars à 12 h 43
Sujet:
Tear it down again
Tear what down? There’s nothing left to tear down. The whole team is prospects.
Your team is in first finally after being mismanaged for five decades. Focus on your own yard.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
4 mars à 14 h 58
Sujet:
Offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>squashmaple</b></div><div>Source? Give me an example of that ever happening in league history. You know who gets moved out in rebuilds? Veterans. You know who doesn’t? Young players on ELC’s.
He just had labrum repair surgery and will be out indefinitely, rehabbing and training through summer and into fall. He’s not being moved. And certainly not for a joke offer like this. This kind of thing is why people hate Montreal fans.</div></div>
Dach, but thats an exception rather than the rule, it's possible Kent Johnson is moved but unlikely, I wouldn't do it until Columbus get a competent coach that gives him a chance
Forum:
NHL
15 févr. à 9 h 57
Sujet:
2023-2024 NHL Discussion Thread #3: After Further Review...
Seems Jarmo has been finally let go by the Jackets.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 févr. à 21 h 43
Sujet:
Boone
Welcome to the never-ending conversation. He's not getting moved (though he should while his value is high). Player, FO, and ownership all want him to stay.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 févr. à 18 h 59
Sujet:
My TDL
Let's just start with Jenner isn't getting moved, and Andersen isn't getting moved unless the Canes actually do manage to land Saros (and even then...???).
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>Freddie's played 6 games and is a starting goalie. Elvis is a fringe backup making 5 million.
KK's better defensively, better age, better creator. This is a bad overpayment for a middle six guy.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AndrewPawlack</b></div><div>yes I can see he's only played 6 games. But in those 6 he's played like **** with the best defense in the league in front of him. As I said to someone else, Canes don't need Boone, but if they trade him for KK that's a Columbus loss.
"great deal long term" 8 year nearly 5 mill per for a bottom 6 player loooool</div></div>
Moneypuck has Freddie's GSAx/60 at -.096, Elvis is at +.047. Of goalies to play 5+ games this year, Freddie ranks 48th, Elvis ranks 41st.
Freddie's GAA: 2.87, 0.09 worse than expected. Elvis: GAA is 3.21, 0.05 better than expected.
Freddie's SV% is an .894 (46th in the league), Elvis' is a .904 (30th in the league) per ESPN.
They're both league average. Literally average. Calling Freddie a "starting goalie" and Elvis a "fringe backup" is blatant homerism. Saying Freddie has "played like ****" is also just untrue. Given the contracts, you take Freddie 100 times out of 100, but people love to slander Elvis when he's objectively fine, just overpaid.
Same goes with KK vs. Jenner.
Better defensively? KK is starting 59.6% of his shifts in the offensive zone (career 62.7% in Carolina) vs. Jenner's 47.6% and 45.9%, respectively. FO%: KK = 48.4%, Jenner = 54.5%. Shorthanded, KK's played a grand total of 4.3 minutes this year, vs. Jenner's 48.1 (where he's only allowed 5 shots).
Better age? Yeah, clearly. Better creator? Sure, KK has a 55.2% xGF% (-.8% relative to the rest of Carolina) and a 61% CorsiFor% vs. Jenner's 48.6% xGF% (+5.2% relative to the rest of Columbus), 52% CorsiFor%. That, though, has a lot to do with the team play.
Points? KK: 9-9-18, -11, career best: 18-25-43, +10.
Jenner: 15-5-20, -7, career best: 30-19-49, -15.
If you're only looking at points, yeah, Jesperi looks like he's a Jenner-type. But the fact is, he's a bottom-6 center who does everything...okay, but is sheltered by a great team and favorable matchups. Jenner is a middle-6 center who does basically everything but playmaking pretty well, and is asked to do too much on a terrible team.
Again, they're not getting moved, but at least try to have some objectivity here, both of you.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 févr. à 16 h 6
Sujet:
My TDL
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>Canes pass on the Nashville deal. Like Saros, but he's having a down year and doesn't have enough value for Necas.
Canes pass the CBJ deal. Kotaniemi is already a Jenner comparable while being 6 years younger. Why are we adding for someone who puts up similar point totals to KK? AND the organization's starting goaltender? No. Stop it.
Probably a little much for Duclair on his own, who has all of 17 points. I'd want more than that for that kind of return</div></div>
hahaha Canes do not pass on the Saros deal. This website is funny
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 févr. à 15 h 20
Sujet:
Burger for Bam Bam
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AndrewPawlack</b></div><div>I'm really split on Jenner because he's loyal and effective for us, but his value is at an all time high right now. And he doesn't seem to be much of a leader either. I defend his value, but I wouldn't mind getting an overpay for him</div></div>
I'm in the camp to trade him while his value is at an all-time high in a crazy market. But I was also of the opinion we should have sold on Panarin and Bob in 2019 rather than buy.
In a dream scenario, he returns in 2026 as a 3C/4C role for a team primed to compete, alongside the pieces he returned in a trade.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 févr. à 16 h 34
Sujet:
Trade deadline
Ottawa declines and leafs pass on all peeke trades we wouldn’t take him half retained for future considerations the guy sucks that bad
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 févr. à 12 h 1
Sujet:
Boone Might Be Available Future
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SociallyHawkward</b></div><div>I think it's official Boone Jenner is now the most overrated player on cap friendly.</div></div>
Nick Robertson. 😬
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 févr. à 12 h 0
Sujet:
Boone Might Be Available Future
The Hockey $hiters? 🤔
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 févr. à 11 h 38
Sujet:
Boone Might Be Available Future
The Hockey Writers are high, Boone isn't getting that kind of return.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
7 févr. à 19 h 49
Sujet:
Boone Jenner is the most overrated player right now
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AndrewPawlack</b></div><div>GMs value that for some reason. Why else the hell would Dubas have gotten Foligno a few years ago. Wasn't even having a good year</div></div>
because he thought he was getting someone who would drop gloves in the playoffs when the rest of the team was incapable of doing it.
The we need a "tough" guy bs. instead of focusing on hockey.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
7 févr. à 14 h 43
Sujet:
Sell sell sell tank tank tank
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NucksnOilers</b></div><div>Deal!</div></div>
I'd say make the '25 a 2nd that turns into a 1st, not a 1st or nothing; but, I take that all day. Want Bemstrom added in for nothing?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
7 févr. à 14 h 14
Sujet:
Sell sell sell tank tank tank
Deal!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 févr. à 16 h 31
Sujet:
Flyers unrealistic offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AndrewPawlack</b></div><div>i would love zegras in the metro. beef beef beef. but torts won't like him</div></div>
Torts cooled off the Zegras hate train a little while back. I'm sure he wouldn't love it at times but Torts gets say in trades to my knowledge, he's basically a GM
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 févr. à 14 h 8
Sujet:
PLEASE TRELIVING PLEASE JUST DO IT
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jamathon</b></div><div>Winnipeg? What? They’re not even involved with these trades lmao. Keep complaining</div></div>
Oops. I must have stuck this comment in the wrong tab. Mea culpa.
Also, I can't help but feel like you don't know what complain means. Chill.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 févr. à 18 h 13
Sujet:
Boone Jenner is the most overrated player right now
That's All Star Boone Jenner to you
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 févr. à 18 h 2
Sujet:
Boone Jenner is the most overrated player right now
Is this what "rent free" is? Is that what the kids are saying nowadays?
For anyone just now joining the daily discussion:
1. Jenner the <em>player </em>is probably worth a 1st + mid round pick. (i.e. Foligno trade from 2021 which yielded a 1st and 4th. That was an overpay, but Foligno was a UFA, winger, and had worse production at the time, so Jenner's value is obviously a little higher).
2. Columbus has no intention or desire to move him. If you want him, that bumps the price up. Every CBJ fan will preface a Jenner proposal on here with "he's not available".
3. He's on a great contract, so most teams can afford him, even cap-constrained contenders. Increases his trade value.
4. His contract has term (and he's only 30, so still in his prime for the duration). Increases his trade value.
5. He plays a defensive style game as a center, scores a lot of goals, and wins ~55% of his faceoffs. Increases his trade value.
6. He brings intangibles (grittiness, work ethic, leadership). <em>Ever so slightly</em> increases his trade value.
7. The center market is insane right now. Increases his trade value.
I consistently put his ask at a 1st, 2nd, and A-prospect. What's it worth to your team to have a 2C making under $4M for 3 playoff runs? What's it worth to your team to make sure Colorado or Boston <em>doesn't</em> have that 2C making under $4M for 3 playoff runs?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 févr. à 23 h 53
Sujet:
PLEASE TRELIVING PLEASE JUST DO IT
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jamathon</b></div><div>Why else would I be making an acgm</div></div>
Personally, I'd only include trades for players I'm interested in rather than ones I think are overrated, but that's just me.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 févr. à 23 h 4
Sujet:
PLEASE TRELIVING PLEASE JUST DO IT
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jamathon</b></div><div>Jenner is overrated. They’re lucky to be getting an offer like this</div></div>
Then why are you making an ACGM to trade for him? :|
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 févr. à 10 h 30
Sujet:
no hate just curious
oh ya im so here for this i am ur target audience with this question.
cole sillinger: absolutely in the midst of a comeback season. the NHL debut at age 18 was the wrong development plan for him. typically only the greats play a true age 18 season and cole sillinger was never supposed to be a great. he overperformed thanks to Gus Nyquist, Jakob Voracek, and Oliver Bjorkstrand being his wingers. made the game really easy for him to rack up points because all three had very nice seasons (they were the CBJ number 4, 1, and 2 scorers that season respectively). to put voracek's 2021-22 season into context: he had 3 more assists than johnny gaudreau did with the same CBJ team the following season.
so then for cole in 2022-23, he's dealt the hand of: voracek plays just 11 games before LTIRetiring, nyquist has a just okay season before being IR traded, and bjorkstrand was moved in the summer for johnny gaudreau, who cole does not get to play with. so he spends that season playing significant time with rookie Kent Johnson (didn't work), Liam Foudy (who isn't an NHL player), and Emil Bemstrom (who isn't an NHL player). naturally, it went terrible. he is not and probably never will be an elite finisher and so playing with people who also aren't great finishers nor great creators means there's simply nothing that happens.
this year, cole started the season super cold because he was bumped around the lineup trying to re-earn his spot. the CBJ have a LOT of forwards in the organization. he was out for a short time due to injury and ever since he came back from that, he was given a steady spot in the lineup with quality linemates (a lot of Yegor Chinakhov) and has really elevated his game. i would say that over the last two months, he's established that his ceiling is true 2C. he is using his size better than ever and the skating has been decent enough even if the speed hasn't come back. he is an impact player on PK and PP and had a solid month stretch where he was our best player. the faceoff percentage is coming up, he's putting some points on the board, and is making a positive impact on possession stats as well.
the big question that remains with cole is can he become a 60 point per season guy. the finishing has to get to 20 goal range and the creation has to get to 40 assist range if he wants to reach that 2C ceiling. his current play is like 16-20-36 which is not bad for a 20 year old and could easily develop into 22-38-60. but we gotta see it start happening.
kent johnson: quite the opposite of cole. no matter who he has played with, he's been in the 15-25-40 neighborhood consistently. this season has had a lot more highs and lows en route to those numbers than last season did. i have described him on another thread as "a strong wind could knock him of the puck". he's so impressive with the puck on his stick in any sort of space but he's not creating space for himself very well. the vision is really good but the passes often don't connect.
the number one big thing with him is that he needs NHL adult strength. it will make a huge difference in his game because opponents will have to respect him more. currently, they just crowd him physically and apply pressure to limit his ability to create. his hockey sense still has a ways to go as well as he's susceptible to open-ice hits and pokechecks that he hasn't learned to anticipate yet. which makes sense for a 21 year old with just 122 NHL games.
i don't personally think that he's shown he has a real future as an NHL center and i think he'd be best suited to focus on becoming one of the league's premier creators on the wing, but im no expert.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 févr. à 11 h 3
Sujet:
Wild Idea
CBJ accept.
Not sure how Nolan's <a href="https://thehockeynews.com/nhl/columbus-blue-jackets/columbus-blue-jackets/the-adam-foote-saga-revisited-15-years-later" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">dad will feel about it.</a>
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