Rejoint: juin 2019
Mentions "j'aime": 7,102
I think there are a lot of calculations to be made for both sides. I don't think Boeser or Garland have as low of value as some people suppose. But CHI probably isn't the team that is going to value either of them either. So, breaking these ideas up is probably important. If VAN can squeeze some value out of those players with other teams they should absolutely do so, because CHI isn't the team that is going to do it. As far as the value of the picks goes, Dom Luszczyszyn's draft pick valuation model, among other valuation models out there, suppose that the 19th and 35th pick are worth significantly more than the 11th pick. Also, the quality and depth of this draft would suggest that the 11th and 19th overall picks are closer in value than a normal draft year, AND that 35th overall pick is also more valuable than normal.
So, then we have to figure out what else is involved, and what the value of those assets are, but CHI is the last team that is going to assign positive value to Boeser or Garland. Which is why I suggest trading them elsewhere. But then that defeats the purpose of VAN moving the 11th pick to buy themselves cap space, to begin with. So maybe Myers or OEL are better options... As far as Myers goes, his bonus is only part of the equation, and with a $6M cap hit, he will still cost them to move regardless of his $1M actual salary. And then OEL should easily cost the 11th pick alone with zero compensation going back to VAN, in order to dump, due to his age, on ice play, cap hit, and term. Which gives them nothing in return, aside from cap space. Which, I would think would be more important to VAN next summer, given the much better free agent class in 2024.
There are so many considerations and calculations to make, and so many unknowns about VAN's targets and strategy for their retool. So, we'll just have to wait and see. But, judging from the end of VAN's season, I honestly don't think they have to do as much as people think. If they could play that way consistently under Tocchet for an entire season, and even improve upon it, they should be a much better team, and their pipeline is decent enough too. Sure, as a CHI fan, I would love to have that 11th overall pick, but I don't think we should go out of our way to acquire it, and I don't think VAN needs to go out of their way either.