Quoting: Optimism
I agree, not about 1st line production but that he is a valuable 3rd line winger and should get a return.
Warren Foegele is among the best in the league at generating scoring chances.
[A little context for my stats. I took full season 5v5 stats and applied two filters: forwards only and minimun TOI of 495 minutes. That leaves us with the top 385 players by minutes played. Why 385? Because there are 32 teams and each with 12 regular forwards. 32 x 12 = 384, so pretty close. This way we can divide results by "1st line" (top 96 players), "2nd line" (97-192), etc. All stats are expressed as "per 60 minutes" to equalize for TOI differences.]
So here's how Foegele stacks up:
G/60: 0.93 (84th, tied with Panarin) 1st line rate
P/60: 2.09 (85th, tied with Tavares) 1st line rate
S/60: 9.36 (50th, tied with Cozens) 1st line rate
xG/60: 1.16 (9th, tied with Tavares) elite 1st line rate
SCF/60: 10.90 (23rd) elite 1st line rate
HDCF/60: 6.19 (8th), elite 1st line rate
Tka/60: 3.63 (3rd), elite 1st line rate
Hits/60: 7.11 (108th tied with Kreider) high 2nd line rate
Now consider that he spent just 8% of his TOI with McDavid this year. Foegele is a value contract. He scores at a 1st line rate while being paid like a 3rd liner.
Quoting: Optimism
Problem is teams are not going to do the Oilers any favors so we may see less than desired in a return.
They'd be doing
themselves a favor!