Quoting: Tintin
Actually, according to Dom's GSVA model he is not.
The model suggests that Henrique is about 200k overpaid, and will probably get worse in the last years of his deal.
It might not mean a lot to lottery team like the Ducks (trust me I get it) but a team looking to contend over the course of the next decade would do well not to enter that window of contention with a contract that's already looking rather iffy.
I do like Henrique though and I could see the case in the Devils trading for him with retention.
Though not for this suggested return, obviously.
Dom's model also had his market value at 8.3 million last season, which is well in excess of his 5.6 cap hit. He is on pace for just a few points shy of last year, still looking to put up about 27 goals and ~50 points in total. He adjusted the model this off season as I recall, and updates the cards weekly. Next monday Henrique is probably back above board as he is on another scoring streak. However, the model likely needs some tweaking, and doesn't account for the realities of the cap environment. His model is good, but its nor perfect.
There's a lot of bad going on in Anaheim this season, Strome & Vatrano are not providing the scoring depth that is needed, so we went from two lines that could score last season to really just one. The fact that Henrique is potentially going to have a career high in goals this year, while having to constantly play against each teams best shutdown line, would point to him having one of the best years as far as offense goes. Against easier matchups, he could be tearing up the score sheet.
However, 200k of deficit this week does not make his current deal a sh*t contract, and at 2.9 mil, for this season and next, that will cost a premium to acquire.