Quoting: jonh514
First off. I really appreciate you for debating with me using facts rather than just saying everything I say is wrong. FWIW I DID put some thought into this, it was not a "Troll" post.
Your argument regarding "dumping cap" being more expensive than I am offering actually won me over. I saw with Monahan the cost of moving cap. So I will remove both Armia & Hoffman from my trade offer for Hellybuyck. The Habs do not need the cap room anyway and it just muddies up the valuation of Hellybuyck. I still do think a later 1st and a goalie prospect who is expected to be an NHL starter at one point is appropriate for Helly... because the most anyone has paid for a Goalie in a long time was when Minny paid a 1st for Fleury. Goalies do not get value when traded ever. It's just one of those things...
I would argue the Panthers overpaid for Tkachuk because his playoff performance has been pretty poor and he's only had 1 year of that kind of success. That being said there is a scarcity of that kind of player and Connor does not bring the same physical game. I'm definitely not matching what was paid for Tkachuk here, but I disagree that I should need to.
On paper Panthers absolutely overpaid for Tkachuk, but there's more nuance to this trade than meets the eye simply by looking at names.
FLA was in a position where they couldn't financially keep both Huberdeau and Weegar, and potentially neither of them. These guys are also older than the rest of their core, such as Barkov, Reinhart, Ekblad and Lundell, so Zito most likely looked for options that fit in better in this age group.
CGY was also in a position where their hands were tied. They had just lost their top player in Gaudreau for absolutely nothing, and their other top player in Tkachuk had told them that he had no intention of staying in Calgary for more than one year. They needed to do something, and given their run last year starting a rebuild wouldn't do them any good, they had some unfinished business.
For both of these teams the respective trade partner had something very interesting to offer. FLA had players to offer for CGY that would keep their window open to compete for a cup again. CGY had a player for FLA that could fit their core and age group perfectly.
Evidently, the trade made sense for both teams. FLA added a complimentary first for CGY because of the potential risk of losing these pending UFAs again after the playoffs, but now with Huberdeau already re-signed, CGY has successfully filled the gap Gaudreau walking left with a long-term option, and strengthened their D with an extremely solid D-man in terms of analytics.
Tkachuk trade in a sense is not value-wise the most sensible trade. The "sense" in it comes from filling the respective needs of both teams at almost equal importance and influence. This makes it also a bad comparison for a Connor trade (especially in a situation where you assume WPG is looking to rebuild), but at the same token there's little to no trades in the recent past that would have a player of Connor's tier getting traded strictly for futures, and with three years left to boot, which also makes the scenario hella unique.
In the other comment where I replied to you used DeBrincat and Fiala as comparisons for a top line winger for futures trade, but they also have the problems that is the term and team situation. WPG doesn't have an actual need or hurry to move Connor anywhere, so the offer would truly have to blast their pants off before they actually would consider moving him.
If anything, considering how good Connor is, I'd consider building a team around him, unless I really got the offer that would absolutely mesmerize me.
Also, Fleury wasn't traded for a first. It was a conditional 2nd that turned into a first if Wild reached the conference finals and Fleury had an agreed amount of wins under him, which ultimately didn't happen. Plus, he's 37, and turning 38 soon. It's not a good comparison Hellebuyck trade, who's almost nine years younger than him, and overall better goalie.