Quoting: CanucksPain
Miller AND Boeser… for Nylander…. Do you see how ridiculous that is?
I love Brock Boeser and I think he's a phenomenal player. I don't think his value is low, but I do think that Nylander's value will be exceptionally high, especially after a career high in points.
2021-22:
Nylander: 80 Pts, 34 G in 81 GP. Elite skater, passer, and an underrated sniper. 2 years left on his deal at a solid AAV. A very high ceiling (85+ pts, 40+ goals are not out of the realm of possibility on a yearly basis). He is also a proven playoff performer (say what you will about TOR's lack of playoff success, but Nylander has shown up and his point totals prove this - 30 points in 39 playoff GP).
Boeser: 46 Pts, 23 G in 71 GP. Now, I understand that Boeser has had a tough year or two, so I don't think his stats are reflective of his best, nor do I think his trade value is/should be low. Again, I'm a fan of Boeser. But, objectively, his production has been stagnant or declined since 2017-18. He has never hit 30 goals, nor 60 points. He is also an RFA this summer (summer of 2022). There is no cost-certainty, like there is for Nylander.
JT Miller is a commodity, no doubt. However, he will be a UFA in the summer of 2023 (meaning only 1 season under contract remaining). That alone places his value well-below Nylander's. Moreover, JT Miller has never hit 30 goals, and seems to be a 40-50 point player (he hit 72 pts in 2019-20, and 99 pts in 2021-22, therefore only two 60+ pt seasons). Miller has not hit 60 points in any other season (Nylander has three 60+ pt seasons and one 59 pt season in much less time). He is also older than Nylander (which you may very well view as a positive since he is more experienced, but can also easily be a negative since his skating ability may begin to deteriorate). JT Miller had an unbelievable season this year (2021-22) with 32 goals and 99 points. However, Nylander's 34 goals and 80 points is still exceptional in its own right, especially given the fact that he scored 34 goals playing on TOR's 2nd and 3rd lines. Also, JT Miller does not have a robust track-record of playoff success with 44 points in 78 playoff GP (again, compared to Nylander's 30 points in 39 GP). Miller may very well become a key playoff performer, but currently, we can not make that case. Finally, Miller likely brings a lot of intangibles to the table, but it's very difficult to evaluate that since he was traded from the Tampa Bay Lightning just prior to their back-to-back Stanley Cup championships. I am definitely NOT saying that Miller was the reason for TBL's lack of success, but I am saying that it's difficult to argue that he has "it", in the context of a Cup contender.
Thus:
2 cost-certain years of Nylander at a very reasonable AAV for 1 year of JT Miller and the rights to Boeser (no cost-certainty). I'm sure TOR would have to throw in a draft pick as well, but it's a relatively even trade when you factor in player potential, playoff success, etc.