Quoting: Christian17
I think he'll regress because he's shooting +20% right now and he and Silfverberg currently hold the worst xGF% and CF% on the team. However, for some reason, his reputation is exploding this year, despite the fact that his numbers haven't been ideal and his counting stats aren't sustainable. So personally I think the Ducks should sell high for a 23-year-old top 4 D with term who can slide in where Lindholm was, and let one of Steel, Groulx, or another prospect fill out the 3rd line C role that Lundestrom would hold in the future. Chychrun is far more valuable to a team than Lundestrom.
To counter your corsi stat, he starts his shifts in the dzone more than 2/3 of the time, more than any other duck. His relative corsi makes total sense. Corsi just highlights the difference in shot attempts, so if he’s starting way more shifts in the dzone he’s going to have more shot attempts against. He plays on the PK more than almost any other duck forward, look at his PK corsi, it’s the best among forwards who have any decent sample size. If you cherry pick numbers it’s easy to shade him, but he’s solid defensively. Watch him in a game, he’ll pass the eye test too.
His shooting percentage is high for sure. But take away a couple goals and I’m still happy with his performance. His shots would be higher if he started more shifts in the offensive zone, but as much as you don’t seem to want to admit it, he is deployed defensively an overwhelming amount of the time. He’ll grow a lot in that role too since he’s like 5 years away from his prime. Again, Lundestrom for Chychrun? Sure. But Lundestrom + a 1st for Chychrun? Nah I’ll definitely pass.
Steel hasn’t looked good at center at the NHL level at all, and Grouxl still needs to prove himself at the NHL level at all, let alone at center.