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Avs trade deadline hope

Créé par: Alte91
Équipe: 2021-22 Avalanche du Colorado
Date de création initiale: 13 févr. 2022
Publié: 13 févr. 2022
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Maybe too cheap for G, but hes just a rental. All depends on other team offers to Philly. I like Strålman on RD in avs. Think that price could be lower, but with the retaining it seems reasonable.
Transactions
1.
COL
  1. Strålman, Anton (2 750 000 $ retained)
ARI
  1. Gilbert, Dennis
  2. Kaut, Martin
  3. Choix de 6e ronde en 2023 (COL)
2.
COL
  1. Giroux, Claude (4 100 000 $ retained)
PHI
  1. Compher, J.T.
  2. Ranta, Sampo
  3. Choix de 6e ronde en 2022 (COL)
  4. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (COL)
Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
2022
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
2023
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
2024
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2181 500 000 $77 037 296 $1 741 463 $850 000 $4 462 704 $

Formation

Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
7 000 000 $7 000 000 $
AG, C
NMC
UFA - 8
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
6 300 000 $6 300 000 $
C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
9 250 000 $9 250 000 $
AD, C
UFA - 4
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
2 500 000 $2 500 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
C
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
4 900 000 $4 900 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
725 000 $725 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Flyers de Philadelphie
37 500 $37 500 $
AD, C
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
908 333 $908 333 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
C, AG
RFA - 2
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
1 000 000 $1 000 000 $
C, AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
2 000 000 $2 000 000 $
C
UFA - 2
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
1 075 000 $1 075 000 $
AD
UFA - 1
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
4 100 000 $4 100 000 $
DG
UFA - 3
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
9 000 000 $9 000 000 $
DD
UFA - 6
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
3 500 000 $3 500 000 $
G
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 6
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
DD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 2
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
2 000 000 $2 000 000 $
G
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
2 000 000 $2 000 000 $
DG
UFA - 1
Logo de Coyotes de l'Arizona
2 750 000 $2 750 000 $
DD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
750 000 $750 000 $
DG
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
750 000 $750 000 $
AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
725 000 $725 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
894 167 $894 167 $ (Bonis de performance2 500 000 $$2M)
DG/DD
RFA - 2

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13 févr. 2022 à 4 h 29
#1
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That offer for Giroux isn't serious is it?
13 févr. 2022 à 4 h 31
#2
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
That offer for Giroux isn't serious is it?


Guess you're right. In my dreams... Upgrade of 2nd to 1st might do it?
13 févr. 2022 à 4 h 39
#3
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Quoting: Alte91
Guess you're right. In my dreams... Upgrade of 2nd to 1st might do it?


It cost a 2nd to dump 2 years of Compher. So I would say add a 1st all together then upgrade Sampo to a more legitimate prospect
13 févr. 2022 à 5 h 3
#4
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
It cost a 2nd to dump 2 years of Compher. So I would say add a 1st all together then upgrade Sampo to a more legitimate prospect


Compher doesn't have negative value, come on now. He's producing at a ~20 goals and ~35 point pace (8 goals and 16points in 33 games) and is winning over 50% of his face-offs this year. Many teams would love to add a versatile third line RHS forward with that production. According to The Athletic's model he is outperforming his contract this year (market value $4.1m) and has a GSVA of +1.4. That's very solid for a 3rd liner.

It just so happens that AVS are a very deep team and if capspace needs to be found to add someone like Giroux then he's an obvious candidate given that NAK and O'Connor have emerged and done so well at super low caphits.

Yes, Compher's salary is $4.5m this year ($3.5m caphit) but by the deadline only 20% ($900k) of that salary will be left, and his salary drops back to $3.5m next year, so he'd easily be moveable for a pick if needed. I say this as a critic btw, just ask the other AVS posters on here.

PS. Despite this yes AVS need to add to the offer above. Upgrade the 2nd to a 1st and it's probably close, though I suspect Philadelphia will push hard for Barron.
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13 févr. 2022 à 5 h 20
#5
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Quoting: Richard88
Compher doesn't have negative value, come on now. He's producing at a ~20 goals and ~35 point pace (8 goals and 16points in 33 games) and is winning over 50% of his face-offs this year. Many teams would love to add a versatile third line RHS forward with that production. It just so happens that AVS are a very deep team and if capspace needs to be found then he's an obvious candidate given that O'Connor has emerged and done so well at a super low caphit.

Yes, Compher's salary is $4.5m this year ($3.5m caphit) but by the deadline only 20% ($900k) of that salary will be left, and his salary drops back to $3.5m next year, so he'd easily be moveable for a pick if needed. I say this as a critic btw, just ask the other AVS posters on here.


Compher does have negative value. He may be "on pace" for ~20 goals and ~35 point but he also has 5 points in his last 18 games. Also take in that during that same stretch Colorado outscored their opponent 69-31.
He is playing at a below replacement level this season in terms of GAR and WAR, and has the worst Corsi% on the team. winning 157/312 face offs not a selling point for "is winning over 50% of his face-offs this year." That's literally +2 face-off, and he averages 9.5 face-offs per game. At 3.5M his stock is only a bit better than Tyler Johnson's was last year
13 févr. 2022 à 5 h 36
#6
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Modifié 13 févr. 2022 à 5 h 53
Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Compher does have negative value. He may be "on pace" for ~20 goals and ~35 point but he also has 5 points in his last 18 games. Also take in that during that same stretch Colorado outscored their opponent 69-31.
He is playing at a below replacement level this season in terms of GAR and WAR, and has the worst Corsi% on the team. winning 157/312 face offs not a selling point for "is winning over 50% of his face-offs this year." That's literally +2 face-off, and he averages 9.5 face-offs per game. At 3.5M his stock is only a bit better than Tyler Johnson's was last year


Compher does NOT have “negative value” bc of an EXTREMELY SMALL 18game sample size u point out
That’s utterly ridiculous

Compher is a good 3rd liner who can play a defensive role,
and still is a 15-20goal scoring talent

I’m not even an AVs fan
But if u can’t recognize that he’s a decent player….
then just do everyone a favor & stop posting on this topic
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13 févr. 2022 à 5 h 38
#7
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Despite being a rental,
I’m fairly certain Giroux is still gonna cost a 1st +
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13 févr. 2022 à 6 h 15
#8
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Compher does have negative value. He may be "on pace" for ~20 goals and ~35 point but he also has 5 points in his last 18 games. Also take in that during that same stretch Colorado outscored their opponent 69-31.
He is playing at a below replacement level this season in terms of GAR and WAR, and has the worst Corsi% on the team. winning 157/312 face offs not a selling point for "is winning over 50% of his face-offs this year." That's literally +2 face-off, and he averages 9.5 face-offs per game. At 3.5M his stock is only a bit better than Tyler Johnson's was last year


You're twisting facts to suit your narrative.

Using an 18 game sample size is pretty ridiculous considering that Compher has been a ~35 point forward his entire career. Even including his rookie season and last years down season his career point pace is 33.72 pts/82 (125 points/304 games). Needless to say, pointing out that he's pacing for ~35 points (with the implication that he's a 35 point forward) is hardly a reach, it's just a statistical fact.

And again with the faceoffs, it doesn't matter if it's one faceoff over 50%, he's still statistically winning "over" 50%, that's a fact. Being able to win ~50% of your faceoffs is definitely a selling point for GM's and coaches, or are you going to argue that it's not?

Lastly, I'd genuinely love to see the GAR and WAR charts/graphs that you're referring to, if you wouldn't mind sharing them here. smile
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13 févr. 2022 à 6 h 39
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Quoting: Richard88
You're twisting facts to suit your narrative.

Using an 18 game sample size is pretty ridiculous considering that Compher has been a ~35 point forward his entire career. Even including his rookie season and last years down season his career point pace is 33.72 pts/82 (125 points/304 games). Needless to say, pointing out that he's pacing for ~35 points (with the implication that he's a 35 point forward) is hardly a reach, it's just a statistical fact.

And again with the faceoffs, it doesn't matter if it's one faceoff over 50%, he's still statistically winning "over" 50%, that's a fact. Being able to win ~50% of your faceoffs is definitely a selling point for GM's and coaches, or are you going to argue that it's not?

Lastly, I'd genuinely love to see the GAR and WAR charts/graphs that you're referring to, if you wouldn't mind sharing them here. smile


I only used the 18 game sample size for the 5 points, if anything that proves he is streaky. The rest of the stats I provided are based on the entire season.

Then sell him as a 50% FO guy because that's what he is this season. Someone who is an "above 50% FO guy" is someone like Cizikas with 253/463 wins
13 févr. 2022 à 6 h 59
#10
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
I only used the 18 game sample size for the 5 points, if anything that proves he is streaky. The rest of the stats I provided are based on the entire season.

Then sell him as a 50% FO guy because that's what he is this season. Someone who is an "above 50% FO guy" is someone like Cizikas with 253/463 wins


He's not really that streaky though. See the chart 3rd from the top below, showing his points output by game. There's nothing particularly streaky about that at all. If anything he produces at a pretty regular rate. His point totals by year haven't fluctuated much either apart from last year. Neither has there been a discrepancy in his point production in the regular season vs playoffs.

comphj.95

Your point about not being an "over" 50% faceoff guy seems quite pedantic. I didn't say he was the best faceoff guy in the league, I simply stated that he is winning over 50% of his draws this year which is just a fact.
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13 févr. 2022 à 7 h 42
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Quoting: Richard88
He's not really that streaky though. See the chart 3rd from the top below, showing his points output by game. There's nothing particularly streaky about that at all. If anything he produces at a pretty regular rate. His point totals by year haven't fluctuated much either apart from last year. Neither has there been a discrepancy in his point production in the regular season vs playoffs.

comphj.95

Your point about not being an "over" 50% faceoff guy seems quite pedantic. I didn't say he was the best faceoff guy in the league, I simply stated that he is winning over 50% of his draws this year which is just a fact.


Forgot to add this to the last post, here is the WAR for this year
PfSs3OL.png
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13 févr. 2022 à 7 h 50
#12
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Forgot to add this to the last post, here is the WAR for this year
PfSs3OL.png


Thanks for posting smile

He's definitely one of the most obvious guys to trade if capspace is needed in a trade for Giroud for example. But if he is moved it won't just be as a pure cap dump, he still has positive value.
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13 févr. 2022 à 8 h 4
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Quoting: Richard88
Thanks for posting smile

He's definitely one of the most obvious guys to trade if capspace is needed in a trade for Giroud for example. But if he is moved it won't just be as a pure cap dump, he still has positive value.


He doesn't have positive trade value though. Similar to how Lucic has 9 goals and 17 points this year while also being an effective role player, he doesn't have positive trade value
13 févr. 2022 à 8 h 13
#14
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
He doesn't have positive trade value though. Similar to how Lucic has 9 goals and 17 points this year while also being an effective role player, he doesn't have positive trade value


Lucic is 33 years old and has a $6m caphit with a M-NTC/NMC. I don't see how that's even remotely comparable to a guy who's 7 years younger and plays a completely different game including playing center and not exclusively on the wing. Calling Lucic an "effective" role player is a pretty big stretch considering how ineffective that contract is.
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13 févr. 2022 à 8 h 18
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Quoting: Richard88
Lucic is 33 years old and has a $6m caphit with a M-NTC/NMC. I don't see how that's even remotely comparable to a guy who's 7 years younger and plays a completely different game including playing center and not exclusively on the wing. Calling Lucic an "effective" role player is a pretty big stretch considering how ineffective that contract is.


Lucic's cap hit is 5.25M, not 6M. He is effective at what he does, his cap hit is not good though. He would probably make 2-2.5M on the market.

Maybe you can swap Compher for DeBrusk or something. Someone also on a rough contract and struggling. It won't be Zacha though like your other post
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13 févr. 2022 à 8 h 21
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Lucic's cap hit is 5.25M, not 6M. He is effective at what he does, his cap hit is not good though. He would probably make 2-2.5M on the market.

Maybe you can swap Compher for DeBrusk or something. Someone also on a rough contract and struggling. It won't be Zacha though like your other post


I agree it won't be Zacha. That was more just me being curious to hear some thoughts from people about how they view Zacha since he was mentioned by some insiders as being available. I don't think that player fits the Avs though for reasons I mentioned in that thread.

DeBrusk would be an interesting reclamation project, could see Sakic looking at that if the price is cheap.
13 févr. 2022 à 16 h 54
#17
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
It cost a 2nd to dump 2 years of Compher. So I would say add a 1st all together then upgrade Sampo to a more legitimate prospect


Under those circumstances there will be no trade from avs perspective then. 1st, 2nd, compher and legitimate prospect like Newhook/Byram will never happen for a rental. I don't see a 2nd just for dumping Comhper as reasonable at all, Avs management would never do such thing since they see him as a contributing player. Though I agree that he is well overpayed and does not add value to the trade.
13 févr. 2022 à 17 h 7
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Quoting: Alte91
Under those circumstances there will be no trade from avs perspective then. 1st, 2nd, compher and legitimate prospect like Newhook/Byram will never happen for a rental. I don't see a 2nd just for dumping Comhper as reasonable at all, Avs management would never do such thing since they see him as a contributing player. Though I agree that he is well overpayed and does not add value to the trade.


Nah i was thinking more along the lines of Annunen, Barron, or OO for the prospect. Not Newhook or Byram
13 févr. 2022 à 17 h 29
#19
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Nah i was thinking more along the lines of Annunen, Barron, or OO for the prospect. Not Newhook or Byram


Okay, something like 1st+Barron/Annunen/OO+JT+late pick/low tier prospect. Kind of expenseive, but I don't hate it and would accept it just because we really should go for it this year. But guess you would want to upgrade late pick to a 2nd, and then its a no for me.
 
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