Rejoint: nov. 2015
Messages: 1,086
Mentions "j'aime": 324
In my opinion, Hertl is pretty close to the ideal fit for Colorado’s current lineup. He adds size to their 2nd line, has positional versatility, and is obviously very skilled. There’s a sense that the Avs may prefer a right-shot to go with all their lefties, but I don’t think that’s a deal breaker.
I struggle a little bit with the asking price specifically for COL. I think SJ will get a great return for Hertl if they decide to deal him. But the Avs may be better off by giving up 70% of the asking price to get a player who’s 90% as effective. Joe Pavelski is a guy who checks a lot of boxes in my opinion. He may not be quite as impactful as Hertl, but I would guess he’s not nearly as expensive (although I could be wrong).
The other piece of this is the potential extension. Trading for a rental comes with the inherent risk of the player walking away in the summer, but I think most teams are hopeful that they’ll have a chance to re-sign said player. In Colorado’s case, they already have pending UFAs in Kadri, Burakovsky, and Nichushkin. Plus MacKinnon is up the following year, and they have some guys coming off ELCs at the same time. A big ticket extension for Hertl is unlikely unless they let a couple other guys go as free agents. They may be better off giving up similar/less assets to get a less impactful player who has some term. Connor Brown, for example, has come up on this forum.
I wouldn’t be upset if Sakic & Co. got aggressive and brought in a Tomas Hertl, especially if it pays off with playoff success. But it may not be the most efficient use of their assets this TDL.