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What Has Gone Wrong For Alexis Lafreniere

Créé par: Agent_Of_R9
Équipe: 2021-22 Rangers de New York
Date de création initiale: 10 nov. 2021
Publié: 10 nov. 2021
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Though I'm not a Rangers fan, I have followed Alexis Lafreniere since his days in junior and always felt he had the potential to be an elite player. I'm not talking about franchise caliber, but a good first line left wing who can carry his line like Taylor Hall or Matthew Tkachuk. After he got drafted, I have been more interested in the Rangers and I try to tune into their games whenever I can. However, I have to admit, I haven't seen much that suggests he'll be an NHL caliber player.

Last season, it was understandable to cut him some slack as he didn't play in a year and had to play under David Quinn who wasn't a very tactical coach in terms of attacking systems, he mostly relied on established individual players to facilitate plays through anticipation. However, he is gone and the Rangers brought in Gallant, a coach with pedigree and ability to develop situations suitable for elite talents. Yet it still hasn't gone well, Lafreniere has 4 points through 13 games and the Rangers have just been a very bad 5v5 overall.

My biggest takeaway from watching Lafreniere this season is that he is scared to hold onto the puck and carry it in hopes of facilitating a play with his skillset. Every time he receives it, he defers it right away to a teammate or chips it into the corner for them to chase. Although he has never been a flashy or elusive player even in junior, he has always been known for his ability to carry out plays in tight spaces at the right time and that's just not something we're seeing enough in the NHL. Based on the way that he's playing and the linemates Gallant is putting him with, it seems like they are trying to develop him into a grinder or enforcer rather than a power forward with playmaking abilities. Like he's doing the work physically but they don't seem to believe in his attacking talents and are trying to transform him into someone he's not familiar with.

Although I am not a fan of using advanced analytics to measure a player but I have to admit that there is still hope for Lafreniere despite the poor situation that he's in. He's second amongst Rangers forwards in on ice xGoal share. His individual shooting and chance creation numbers are in the same range as a number of highly rated playmaking wingers:

Lafreniere - 0.726 iXG/60 + 0.8 xA/60
Panarin - 0.715 iXG/60 + 0.853 xA/60
Marner - 0.8 iXG/60 + 0.88 xA/60
Kaprisov - 0.68 iXG/60 + 0.68 xA/60
Marchand - 0.88 iXG/60 + 0.84 xA/60
Gaudreau - 0.75 iXG/60 + 0.92 xA/60
Teravainen - 0.89 iXG + 0.93 xA/60

At this point, it's not even about the linemates that he's playing with or the amount of ice time that he's getting. It really comes down to the style they want him to play, and if they want him to fulfill his potential, they have to allow him to express himself more freely with the puck. Let him try to carry the puck more and give him the opportunity to control the play for his teammates using his instinct. There will be successes and failures, but that's how a player grows, you have to allow him make mistakes. I'd try to give him an extended with Chytil or try to acquire another offensive center like Strome of CHI. If the Rangers don't have belief in Lafreniere's abilities, then it's time to explore trading him for a prospect whom they have a better chance at developing.
Transactions
CHI
  1. Chytil, Filip
  2. Kravtsov, Vitali
  3. Choix de 3e ronde en 2023 (NYR)
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TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2281 500 000 $72 428 969 $0 $7 550 000 $9 071 031 $

Formation

Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
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6 500 000 $6 500 000 $
AG
NMC
UFA - 6
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5 350 000 $5 350 000 $
C
NMC
UFA - 1
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11 642 857 $11 642 857 $
AG
NMC
UFA - 5
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4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
AD, C
UFA - 1
Logo de Rangers de New York
3 641 667 $3 641 667 $
C, AG
M-NTC
UFA - 6
Logo de Rangers de New York
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance2 850 000 $$3M)
AG, AD
RFA - 2
Logo de Blackhawks de Chicago
3 000 000 $3 000 000 $
C
UFA - 1
Logo de Rangers de New York
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance2 650 000 $$3M)
AD
RFA - 1
Logo de Rangers de New York
762 500 $762 500 $
AG, AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Rangers de New York
750 000 $750 000 $
C
UFA - 1
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1 500 000 $1 500 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Rangers de New York
1 750 000 $1 750 000 $
AD
UFA - 1
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
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3 000 000 $3 000 000 $
DG
RFA - 3
Logo de Rangers de New York
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Rangers de New York
5 666 667 $5 666 667 $
G
UFA - 4
Logo de Blackhawks de Chicago
2 000 000 $2 000 000 $
DG/DD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo de Rangers de New York
8 000 000 $8 000 000 $
DD
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo de Rangers de New York
2 425 000 $2 425 000 $
G
UFA - 1
Logo de Rangers de New York
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance350 000 $$350K)
DG
RFA - 2
Logo de Rangers de New York
925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
DD
RFA - 3
Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
Logo de Rangers de New York
775 000 $775 000 $
AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Rangers de New York
737 500 $737 500 $
DG
UFA - 1

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11 nov. 2021 à 4 h 32
#51
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Too soon to give up, but the excpectations and pressures are too high.

Sometimes its the right veteran mix, and I dont think NYR has that. Its also guidance and faith in management, and after the debacle of last season, NYR doesn;t have that.

other examples are similar/dissimilar: Nolan Patrick in Philly had right vets, leadership, put up 31 pts in 3rd line time first 2 seasons, but his downfall/non-progression was injuries (but similar was his almost fear to carry the puck/make decisions). Nico H in NJ was placed with a very poor team, wrong vets and leaders and expected to carry the load (which I see as a developing problem in Buffalo of just throwing 7-8 forwards in their 3rd yr or less out there and asking them to develop and shoulder the load of production and winning). Theres only so much ice time/coaches/development focus in every organization and its almost natural that some dont get the focus they need.

Ultimately, not a good deal for CHI, they just signed McCabe long term (his first spot outside BUFF) and Strome is a good young player in a rut.

NYR might be better off moving those struggling pieces elsewhere, theres nothing to say that they couldn;t develop far better elsewhere or that they are what they are. I don;t believe that Kravtsov is another Pavel Brendl, but I dont see him getting the icetime/development focus when NYR has 3-4 projects ahead of him
11 nov. 2021 à 13 h 2
#52
Hockey247
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Quoting: Penguins_Legend_Sheary
Yeah agree everyone having a rough time at 5v5. Lafreniere is actually struggling less than the top guys because of his physicality and grind, but I’m more worried about what not having any offensive success will have on his development.


both KK and Laf as of now don't look like elite players. obv we need to give them some time, but imo how patient is ownership?
12 nov. 2021 à 16 h 32
#53
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Quoting: Hockey247
both KK and Laf as of now don't look like elite players. obv we need to give them some time, but imo how patient is ownership?


Maybe it can't be reflected in the points but Kakko was really good last season. I think ownership's patience with Lafreniere is running thin, so far he has only been good at bodychecking.
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12 nov. 2021 à 16 h 37
#54
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Quoting: Hammerwise
Too soon to give up, but the excpectations and pressures are too high.

Sometimes its the right veteran mix, and I dont think NYR has that. Its also guidance and faith in management, and after the debacle of last season, NYR doesn;t have that.

other examples are similar/dissimilar: Nolan Patrick in Philly had right vets, leadership, put up 31 pts in 3rd line time first 2 seasons, but his downfall/non-progression was injuries (but similar was his almost fear to carry the puck/make decisions). Nico H in NJ was placed with a very poor team, wrong vets and leaders and expected to carry the load (which I see as a developing problem in Buffalo of just throwing 7-8 forwards in their 3rd yr or less out there and asking them to develop and shoulder the load of production and winning). Theres only so much ice time/coaches/development focus in every organization and its almost natural that some dont get the focus they need.

Ultimately, not a good deal for CHI, they just signed McCabe long term (his first spot outside BUFF) and Strome is a good young player in a rut.

NYR might be better off moving those struggling pieces elsewhere, theres nothing to say that they couldn;t develop far better elsewhere or that they are what they are. I don;t believe that Kravtsov is another Pavel Brendl, but I dont see him getting the icetime/development focus when NYR has 3-4 projects ahead of him


For sure, I just don't think NYR's coaching staff have much faith in Lafreniere's talents. Everyone says he's not so confident yet but he hasn't even tried to use his skillset to make plays with the puck. If the coaching staff is encouraging of your ability, you'd feel more courage to use your instincts to make some plays. But the Rangers want him to not make any mistakes.
16 nov. 2021 à 18 h 17
#55
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How do you find xA/60?
16 nov. 2021 à 18 h 34
#56
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Quoting: deys3232
How do you find xA/60?


Created xGoals
16 nov. 2021 à 23 h 44
#57
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Quoting: Penguins_Legend_Sheary
Created xGoals


and where do you find that?
17 nov. 2021 à 6 h 57
#58
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Quoting: deys3232
and where do you find that?


Moneypuck
 
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