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Just My Thoughts

Créé par: KentHughesMTL
Équipe: 2021-22 Canadiens de Montréal
Date de création initiale: 16 août 2021
Publié: 16 août 2021
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
*Published so you know I'm god if I get it right*
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In Depth Dive into Fantasy Land: Projecting MTL Team Statistics (This is ALL Bias, but I Based it off Them being Offensively Better then Last Year. Hate it or like it this is all just for fun anyways..

Team Record: 43-32-7 for 93pts Makes Playoffs as 1st Seeded Wildcard and 4th in Atlantic.

Team Stats - Forwards

Anderson : 39 Pts (21 Goals, 18 Assists) in 79 Games
Armia : 24 Pts (9 Goals, 15 Assists) in 70 Games
Byron : 13 Pts (4 Goals, 9 Assists) in 25 Games
Caufield : 57 Pts (28 Goals, 29 Assists) in 78 Games
Drouin : 44 Pts (11 Goals, 33 Assists) in 76 Games
Evans : 21 Pts (5 Goals, 16 Assists) in 76 Games
Gallagher : 56 Pts (24 Goals, 32 Assists) in 80 Games
Hoffman : 50 Pts (24 Goals, 26 Assists) in 80 Games
Kotkaniemi : 41 Pts (13 Goals, 28 Assists) in 77 Games
Lehkonen : 21 Pts (8 Goals, 13 Assists) in 75 Games
Paquette : 4 Pts (0 Goals, 4 Assists) in 14 Games
Poehling : 24 Pts (13 Goals, 11 Assists) in 71 Games
Perreault : 9 Pts (2 Goals, 7 Assists) in 19 Games
Suzuki : 80 Pts (23 Goals, 57 Assists) in 82 Games
Toffoli : 47 Pts (22 Goals, 26 Assists) in 82 Games

530 Pts (197 Goals, 333 Assists) in 984 (82 x 12) Games

Team Stats - Defense

Chiarot : 11 Pts (2 Goals, 9 Assists) in 82 Games
Edmundson : 14 Pts (2 Goals, 12 Assists) in 77 Games
Norlinder : 19 Pts (6 Goals, 13 Assists) in 74 Games
Petry : 58 Pts (17 Goals, 41 Assists) In 80 Games
Romanov : 28 Pts (9 Goals, 19 Assists) in 80 Games
Savard : 11 Pts(1 Goals, 10 Assists) in 82 Games
Wideman: 2 Points (1 Goals, 1 Assists) in 6 Games
Kulak: 4 Points (1 Goals, 3 Assists) in 11 Games

Total Points By Defense: 146 Pts (39 Goals, 108 Assists) in 492 (82 x 6) Games

Team Stats - Goalies

Price : 29 - 21 - 5 / 2.33 GAA and .923 SV%
Allen : 14 - 11 - 2 / 2.79 GAA and .911 SV%

Overall Team Stats - Compared to Last Year (Reg. Season)

Total Team Points: 677 Pts (245 Goals, 432 Assists) in 82 Games - 8.26 PPG as a Team / 2.98 GPG
Last Years Total: 415 (158 Goals, 257 Assists) in 56 Games - 7.41 PPG as a Team / 2.82 GPG
Signatures de joueurs autonomes
RFAANSCAP HIT
2875 000 $
32 275 000 $
Rachats de contrats
Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
2022
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de ANA
Logo de MTL
Logo de TBL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de STL
2023
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
2024
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
Logo de MTL
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2481 500 000 $67 447 144 $597 561 $1 557 500 $14 052 856 $

Formation

Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
2 125 000 $2 125 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 3
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
863 333 $863 333 $ (Bonis de performance537 500 $$538K)
C
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
880 833 $880 833 $ (Bonis de performance300 000 $$300K)
AG, AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
AG
UFA - 3
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
2 275 000 $2 275 000 $
C
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
6 500 000 $6 500 000 $
AD, AG
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 6
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
5 500 000 $5 500 000 $
AG, AD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
875 000 $875 000 $
C, AG
UFA - 2
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
5 500 000 $5 500 000 $
AD, AG
M-NTC
UFA - 6
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
1 150 000 $1 150 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
750 000 $750 000 $
C
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
3 400 000 $3 400 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 4
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
875 000 $875 000 $
DG/DD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
2 343 750 $2 343 750 $
DD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 4
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
10 500 000 $10 500 000 $
G
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
894 167 $894 167 $ (Bonis de performance637 500 $$638K)
DG
RFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
3 500 000 $3 500 000 $
DD
UFA - 4
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
2 875 000 $2 875 000 $
G
UFA - 2
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
1 750 000 $1 750 000 $
DG/DD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
859 167 $859 167 $ (Bonis de performance82 500 $$82K)
DG
RFA - 3
Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
950 000 $950 000 $
AG, AD, C
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
3 400 000 $3 400 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
7 857 143 $7 857 143 $
DD
UFA - 5
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
750 000 $750 000 $
DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
950 000 $950 000 $
C, AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Canadiens de Montréal
925 000 $925 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 1

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16 août 2021 à 12 h 20
#1
Lenny7
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I'm kinda a bit wary of the goaltending projection. Can they do it? Absolutely. Will they? I have my doubts.

Consider that, over the past 4 seasons, Price has hit both the GAA and Save % numbers zero times, and that Allen has done it with the GAA 3 times, but save % only once.

We all know that Carey Price is really, really good sometimes. The way I look at it though, is that the Habs are going to be in really, really tough in that division. Florida and Tampa have both improved, Toronto is a regular season team, and the Bruins, while they have question marks at 2C and between the pipes, always seems to be good. Not saying that all of these teams will be in front of the Habs, I just think that it's going to be tough sailing if Price goes on regular season vacation again...

Good looking squad, tough f*cking division.

Cheers!
16 août 2021 à 12 h 25
#2
Hockey247
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I actually like this. But I think KK's numbers are a bit lower then I expect. i also think price won't be that bad. he wont have to play b2bs and that playoff run will leave him hungry. i also think you're a bit low on toffolis numbers. he's in the prime of his career. nothing says to me that he can't score 30 again. hes locked in long-term and he knows his place on the roster. in van and LA, he moved around a lot and there was contract uncertainty. i think that mental weight off his shoulders will help. as for hoffman, i belive you're way off. he's a shooter and habs dont have to run their pp through weber. i think he scores 32-34 goals.
16 août 2021 à 12 h 26
#3
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Quoting: Lenny7
I'm kinda a bit wary of the goaltending projection. Can they do it? Absolutely. Will they? I have my doubts.

Consider that, over the past 4 seasons, Price has hit both the GAA and Save % numbers zero times, and that Allen has done it with the GAA 3 times, but save % only once.

We all know that Carey Price is really, really good sometimes. The way I look at it though, is that the Habs are going to be in really, really tough in that division. Florida and Tampa have both improved, Toronto is a regular season team, and the Bruins, while they have question marks at 2C and between the pipes, always seems to be good. Not saying that all of these teams will be in front of the Habs, I just think that it's going to be tough sailing if Price goes on regular season vacation again...

Good looking squad, tough f*cking division.

Cheers!


Goalies were a stretch yes, but I think if price can stay healthy the whole season he can be around those numbers , but it is indeed hopeful
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16 août 2021 à 12 h 29
#4
Lenny7
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Quoting: HabsRSus
Goalies were a stretch yes, but I think if price can stay healthy the whole season he can be around those numbers , but it is indeed hopeful


Yeah, IMO, he's definitely going to need to be that good.
16 août 2021 à 12 h 31
#5
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Quoting: Hockey247
I actually like this. But I think KK's numbers are a bit lower then I expect. i also think price won't be that bad. he wont have to play b2bs and that playoff run will leave him hungry. i also think you're a bit low on toffolis numbers. he's in the prime of his career. nothing says to me that he can't score 30 again. hes locked in long-term and he knows his place on the roster. in van and LA, he moved around a lot and there was contract uncertainty. i think that mental weight off his shoulders will help. as for hoffman, i belive you're way off. he's a shooter and habs dont have to run their pp through weber. i think he scores 32-34 goals.


KK- Depends on if he is playing constant 2C minutes or if they bring him closer to 3C minutes.. Would like to see him get more but rn hes under .5PPG so I went with a number slighty over that .5 PPG

Toffoli - With Hoffman and Drouin coming back I think toffoli will either go to a two way guy hovering around 22-25 goals with equal assists, but he could easily come out on fire again with the goal scoring and lead the team again.

Hoffman - Hoffman is good yes but Montreal's wing depth is insane, its why I don't have anyone over 30 goals. I think it'll be a balanced 3 line attack
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16 août 2021 à 12 h 32
#6
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Quoting: Lenny7
Yeah, IMO, he's definitely going to need to be that good.


Yeah he'll need under a 2.50GAA average and atleast a .914 SV% to keep us in the fight
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16 août 2021 à 18 h 8
#7
Wreckless
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This is a fantastic post.
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17 août 2021 à 8 h 16
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Quoting: Wreckless
This is a fantastic post.


Thanks, it took awhile
17 août 2021 à 9 h 44
#9
Wreckless
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Modifié 17 août 2021 à 9 h 51
Quoting: HabsRSus
Thanks, it took awhile


What’s your take on 2x$750k for Poehling? He’s only owed a 1 year QO that’s 2way. So basically only 100k guaranteed. 10.2(c), so precedent setting for the organization as well.
Bergevin gives two years but 1 way in both, so $1.5mm guaranteed across the 2 years. Also, his cap hit makes it more likely for him to stick with the big club.
Plus that he’s behind Jake Evans on the depth chart, so there’s no real reason for Poehling to be above his cap hit.

Would seem to me a win win for both sides.

Love the Caufield and Suzuki goals and points calls.

I think the KK contract would be the right number for 3 years, but that both the team and the agent might prefer a 2 year deal with a 1 handle for future precedent setting for the team and young players, and the ability to reset quicker for the player.
17 août 2021 à 9 h 57
#10
Wreckless
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Quoting: Lenny7
I'm kinda a bit wary of the goaltending projection. Can they do it? Absolutely. Will they? I have my doubts.

Consider that, over the past 4 seasons, Price has hit both the GAA and Save % numbers zero times, and that Allen has done it with the GAA 3 times, but save % only once.

We all know that Carey Price is really, really good sometimes. The way I look at it though, is that the Habs are going to be in really, really tough in that division. Florida and Tampa have both improved, Toronto is a regular season team, and the Bruins, while they have question marks at 2C and between the pipes, always seems to be good. Not saying that all of these teams will be in front of the Habs, I just think that it's going to be tough sailing if Price goes on regular season vacation again...

Good looking squad, tough f*cking division.

Cheers!


I think the Habs have the recipe now with the Allen addition to Price.
1) play Price 2/3 - 3/4 of the time from now until the deadline.
2) have Price go on LTIR and rest his numerous injuries from before the trade deadline until the start of the playoffs.
3) hand the ball to Jake Allen and Cayden Primeau for the rest of the regular season.
4) use the LTIR cap space to bring in acquisitions at the deadline to get us over the finish line and players we’ll need in the playoffs.
5) healthy and mentally fresh Price (and maybe even Weber) for your playoff roster.

I agree though that it’s not going to be easy to get in, really tough division. Tampa hasn’t improved though. They’ve lost a lot of really good players.

Florida is my pick to win the division, any of 4 or 5 teams for me could come in 2nd.
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17 août 2021 à 10 h 6
#11
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Quoting: Wreckless
What’s your take on 2x$750k for Poehling? He’s only owed a 1 year QO that’s 2way. So basically only 100k guaranteed. 10.2(c), so precedent setting for the organization as well.
Bergevin gives two years but 1 way in both, so $1.5mm guaranteed across the 2 years. Also, his cap hit makes it more likely for him to stick with the big club.
Plus that he’s behind Jake Evans on the depth chart, so there’s no real reason for Poehling to be above his cap hit.

Would seem to me a win win for both sides.

Love the Caufield and Suzuki goals and points calls.

I think the KK contract would be the right number for 3 years, but that both the team and the agent might prefer a 2 year deal with a 1 handle for future precedent setting for the team and young players, and the ability to reset quicker for the player.


Not much thought went into the 2 contracts TBH, I think Poehling will sign for 1 year and hopefully they let him stay in the lineup consistently cause he could be a solid option for 3C letting evans run the checking line with Lehkonen and Armia.

For KK I think the number is right but there's not much leaked to say what way they are leaning for 2 or 3 year deal. I Think 3 year would be good but could also mean a larger paycheck if he does show up and break out over those 3 years.

Suzuki playing with Caufield all year should only help the team. Caufield had 17 pts in 30 games this year(Reg. and Playoffs) and I think he'll come back with some insane confidence this year

My Hot Take of the year is I think we could see Drouin on the 1st line by seasons end, if he finds confidence again him and Suzuki played well together and Drouin is HEAVILY Pass first which would help Caufield out.
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