Ban Price trades
Rejoint: oct. 2017
Messages: 6,482
Mentions "j'aime": 6,455
A thought experiment:
If we assume the standings remain as they are today, Edmonton's first will be #20 overall. The Bruins, Canadiens, and Panthers picks are #51, #83, and #86 overall. I'll use this (https://bluebulletreport.com/2020/10/05/2020-nhl-draft-rankings/) in order to determine trade values.
This Edmonton pick has a value of 14.44. The Bruins pick has the value of 4.45, the Habs pick of 2.32, and the Panthers pick of 2.23. Math shows a total value of 9 going back to Edmonton and a deficit of 5.44 on Edmonton's end. That's value equivalent to the #35 pick, which suggests this is a substantial deficit.
Now, I'll happily agree that trading 4 picks for one pick is a bit silly. Is there another way for this value to be met?
Using the recent three-way trade between the Lightning, Blue Jackets, and Red Wings, AND by looking at cash dollars instead of cap hits, we can assume that $2M is worth the equivalent value of Tampa's 4th this year (#125ovr, value of 0.91). In terms of cash dollars, $12M in real dollars going back to the Sabres bridges this deal ($2M * 5.44/0.91).
By the time the Draft rolls around, James Neal will be owed $11.5M in actual cash dollars.
Thus, a much more acceptable deal for Edmonton would be Neal + #20ovr for #51, #83, and #86.