Hot take: the Flames will pull the chute and Ottawa will pass them down the stretch.

Hope not
Flames fan

I have a gut feeling

I just think that if Calgary decides to sell, they have way more to move, and could end up a lot worse down the stretch than they are now. By contrast, Ottawa doesn't have that much to sell, so they won't take as big a dive. They'll arguably get better with the addition of guys like Jacob Bernard-Docker and Shane Pinto. Will basically come down to goaltending. If Ottawa gets competent goaltending down the stretch I think they pass the Flames.

Just for the irony of it i want TB to play CBJ in round 1 again

The way the Blues have been playing I'd be more worried about them keeping the 4th spot than overtaking the Wild for 3rd, although they will play each other 8x coming up so anything can happen. Hopefully getting healthy can get them back on track.

Is that a joke? Oilers and Avalanche getting 1st place? I highly doubt it.. And I think that the Stars might be buyers. To win a round or two.

Please give me your reasons for why the OIlers wont get first place?

There's over 20 games left and Toronto and Edmonton (and Winnipeg) are all tied at 42. Toronto has 2 games in hand on Edmonton (WPG has 1) so they have a slightly better chance of winning the division, but it could go to any of those three teams. Projecting the Oilers to win is reasonable for 2 reasons: they hold the tie-breaker (regulation wins) and have the momentum.

Regulation Wins
EDM: 20
TOR: 17
WPG: 14

Past 10 games:
EDM: 7-3-0 = 14 points
WPG: 5-4-1 = 11 points
TOR: 4-6-0 = 8 points

Past 20 games:
EDM: 14-6-0 = 28 points
WPG: 12-7-1 = 25 points
TOR: 11-8-1 = 23 points

Because they have crappy depth...

Im pretty sure youre getting the Oilers confused with my fantasy team

No... after Barrie, Nurse, RNH, Draisitl and McDavid, the next highest scorer is Yamamoto with 16, then Puljarvi with 13, then Chaisson with 10, Ennis with 9 and Kahun with 9.
Pittsburg, Minnisota, Winnipeg, Boston, Montreal and St. Louis are the teams closest to Edmonton in the standings.
Scorers 6-10 from Pittsburg have 21, 15, 13, 13 and 9
Minny: 15, 15, 13, 12 and 12
Winnipeg: 24, 20, 18, 17 and 16
Boston: 15, 10, 9, 9, 7 (ok, Boston also has bad depth, but they are an elite defensive team so it doesn't really matter)
Montreal: 19, 16, 15, 15, 14
St. Louis: 16, 13, 12, 12, 11

Also, the other 2 closest Canadian teams.
Toronto: 21, 19, 15, 15, 12
Vancouver: 16, 14, 11, 11, 9

They have bad depth. This is a fact. Toronto has decent depth (not as good as Tampa or Colorado but still good), but they are still a top heavy team overall. When Matthews hit a slump/injury, and Toronto goaltending fell apart, Toronto went from being a very clear best in the North to not very clear at all. Edmonton is too top heavy that we can expect all 5 of their offensive stars to keep up production. I would be suprised if they got 1st in the North.