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2020-21 Habs Stats Projections

Who will lead Montreal in points this year?
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10 janv. 2021 à 0 h 8
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These are my stats predictions/projections for each season. These totals are assuming full health from everyone and that everyone plays all 56 games.

The numbers are goals, assists, points in that order. In brackets are what those numbers translate to in an 82 game season.

T. Tatar - 17, 26, 43 - (25, 38, 63)
P. Danault - 8, 27, 35 - (11, 40, 51)
B. Gallagher - 21, 18, 39 - (31, 26, 57)
J. Drouin - 15, 31, 46 - (22, 46, 68)
N. Suzuki - 14, 32, 46 - (21, 47, 68)
J. Anderson - 19, 14, 33 - (28, 21, 49)
T. Toffoli - 17, 18, 35 - (25, 26, 51)
J. Kotkaniemi - 12, 24, 36 - (18, 35, 53)
J. Armia - 11, 10, 21 - (16, 15, 31)
P. Byron - 12, 12, 24 - (18, 18, 36)
J. Evans - 3, 8, 11 - (4, 12, 16)
A. Lehkonen - 10, 11, 21 - (15, 16, 31)
B. Chiarot - 5, 9, 14 - (7, 13, 20)
S. Weber - 12, 18, 30 - (18, 26, 44)
J. Edmundson - 4, 11, 15 - (6, 16, 22)
J. Petry - 9, 22, 31 - (13, 33, 46)
B. Kulak - 3, 8, 11 - (4, 12, 16)
A. Romanov - 6, 12, 18 - (9, 18, 27)

Also I’d guess GP for the goalies to be:
C. Price - 32
J. Allen - 24
nickthehabsfan a aimé ceci.
11 janv. 2021 à 2 h 39
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Going to have to reduce goal totals. How you have it would give MTL 198 goals for the season or 291 "goals for" in a pro rated 82 game season.... only 1 team has done that or more in the past decade.... TB lightning two years ago....

If you want MTL to be in the top 10 of goals scoring teams (which is still a stretch...) you need that number somewhere between 260 and 270 pro rated.. so around 177 and 184 in a 56game season. So you need to at least shave off 21 to 24 goals...
Kotkaniemi15 a aimé ceci.
11 janv. 2021 à 8 h 48
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Quoting: Blazingbat11
Going to have to reduce goal totals. How you have it would give MTL 198 goals for the season or 291 "goals for" in a pro rated 82 game season.... only 1 team has done that or more in the past decade.... TB lightning two years ago....

If you want MTL to be in the top 10 of goals scoring teams (which is still a stretch...) you need that number somewhere between 260 and 270 pro rated.. so around 177 and 184 in a 56game season. So you need to at least shave off 21 to 24 goals...


Yeah, I was considering that, although I was thinking that these totals would be reduced with injuries, since the replacement won’t likely score much at all. But I could maybe reduce Drouin’s totals and reduce Toffoli’s to account for not as good linemates. And with better forwards, the D might end up with fewer goals, so that could probably be lowered too.
 
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